Fantasy Forecast: Time To Buy Low And Sell High

Week 5 means the first month of the season has come and gone, and we now have a better idea of who the sleepers and busts are. We all know that Kevin Love, Lebron James or Dirk Nowitzki are the sure fire bets to anchor your fantasy team; but, the more important question is always who to get that others may not know about. Well, this week I am going to talk about some of those buy low guys that you should target and the sell high guys you should be offering in trades.

Buy low

Paul George: George is someone I was high on heading into this season and that confidence hasn’t wavered one bit. Danny Granger could hit water if he fell off a boat these days, and George has been deemed the future of the franchise in the post-Granger era that is coming soon. George is on track to finish with a breakout season and he is someone I would buy low on in any format right now.

Zach Randolph: I know he is hurt, but he will be back with plenty of games left to play and the owners who stashed him on the bench are thirsty to replace those missing points and boards. I would contact the person who owns him and see if you can trade pennies on the dollar for him before he gets close to returning.

Jordan Crawford: Crawford has been heating up over the last week, averaging 17.7 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists. With the Wizards being the worst team in the NBA (record wise), and John Wall basically a fantasy bust thus far, they are sure to be looking for any and all help they can get offensively.

Sell High

Kris Humphries: Humphries is sure to be a force on the boards all season long, but his stats will surely see a sharp decline once Brooks Lopez returns in mid-February. He is ranking out in the top 50 players so far this fantasy season, and that is what I would pound him in trade talks.

Byron Mullens: Mullens has been a hot waiver wire pickup due to his 12.7 PPG average. But, for a center to shoot just 47.2 percent shooting from the field and sub 30 MPG average is a little worrisome. Not to mention that in the last 15 days he has grabbed just 63 rebounds, and when you compare that to even Tyson Chandler who has 100 rebounds in that same time span, you can see there is a problem if Mullens goes into a scoring slump.

Paul Millsap: Millsap has game and can be a nice piece for most fantasy teams. But, his value is inflated right now due to Derrick Favors’ ankle injury. When Favors returns, Millsap’s numbers will return closer to the 14-16 range in points and 7-8 rebounds a night we saw at the start of the season.

Start ‘em

Mike Conley: Conley is the textbook definition of what a fantasy PG should be: A guy that dishes out assists, steals the ball and scores some points. In the last week, Conley has managed to score 74 points while handing out 35 assists and racking up 12 steals. Believe it or not, the guy is in the elite of fantasy PGs’ over the last two weeks.

DeMar DeRozen: With Andrea Bargnani close to returning, you will want to get DeRozan in your lineup this week. DeRozan has too much talent to sit on your fantasy bench and when he gets Bargnani back, his scoring will pick back up once again.

Shawn Marion: Dirk Nowitzki is dealing with a sore right knee, and that means Marion is going to get some extra looks until he heals up. Right now Marion is averaging 10.8 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.1 steals a night, solid value in typical 12-team leagues.

David West: The Pacers team is coming fresh off a defeat of the Lakers Sunday night, and West was able to put up 15 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists. Yes, all his scoring came in the first half, but the team is starting to gel and West is worth playing now that he has found his groove.

Tyson Chandler: Chandler certainly isn’t a sexy fantasy option, but he is putting up the stats that should make owners take notice. Right now Chandler has been able to post 9.9 points and 9.7 rebounds a night, while blocking 1.4 shots per-game. He will often score sub 10 points a night, but with that comes rebounds in the teens and a few blocks most nights.

Sit ‘em

Jameer Nelson: Despite being owned in roughly 60 percent of leagues out there, Nelson is ranking out around No. 210 in fantasy basketball this season. With just 8.9 points, 5.6 assists and 0.8 steals per-game this season, Nelson is one of the biggest busts so far.

O.J. Mayo: Too many people are going to look at his 22 point effort against the Kings and think he is ready to break out. The fact is that the Grizzlies were already up big, so Mayo got some garbage stats. Let someone else read into this while you read between the lines and see what they all missed.

Danny Granger: Since you picked Granger as one of your core players, it is going to be hard to sit him. The good news is that he is still scoring about 16 points a night, along with 4.2 rebounds and 1.69 steals. The bad news is that he is still shooting just 36.0 percent from the field, down from his 43.9 percent career mark. The points and steals help, but the FG percentage is killing your team.

Al Harrington: Harrington and the Nuggets play just three games this week, so he won’t have time to build upon his back-to-back 20-plus point games (29 and 24). Add to that two of the three games (Kings and Raptors) this week don’t offer too much competition.

DeAndre Jordan: For the most part, Jordan has been a disappointment this season. Outside of the 3.1 BPG, none of his other stats stand out and he routinely scores in the low single digits. Sure, he is likely to get you about 8 boards a game, but he fouls a lot and his Free Throw shooting is atrocious at best.

For more Fantasy advice, follow James Morris on Twitter or on Facebook.