What Will Happen Tonight?
The 2011 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of
determining supremacy, will be held on Tuesday, May 17, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in
Secaucus, New Jersey.
The 27th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery will determine the order of selection for the first
14 picks of the 2011 NBA Draft.
Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001
possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of
selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery
teams by a computer.
The Minnesota Timberwolves finished the season with the NBA's worst record (17-65), so they
will be assigned 250 combinations. The Houston Rockets, the best team in the lottery at 43-39,
will have five combinations out of 1,000.
Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been
assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the
drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one
unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined
by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, Minnesota can pick no lower than fourth,
Cleveland (19-63) no lower than fifth and Toronto (22-60) no lower than sixth.
The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast on
ESPN with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of
Ernst & Young in attendance.
Following the drawing, team logo cards will be inserted into envelopes marked 1 through 14 by an
Ernst & Young representative. These envelopes then will be sealed and brought on-stage, where
the announcement of the Lottery results will be made by NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam
Silver. A second representative from each participating team will be seated on-stage. Neither the
Deputy Commissioner nor the team representatives will be informed of the Lottery results prior to
the opening of the envelopes.
The team whose logo is in the last envelope opened will pick first in NBA Draft 2011, to be held
on Thursday, June 23, at The Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.
Following are the chances out of 1,000 for teams in 2011 NBA Draft Lottery:
2011 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY CHANCES
(Out of 1,000)
Following are the 14 teams in 2011 NBA Draft Lottery who did not qualify for the 2011 NBA
Playoffs. Each team will be assigned a certain number of combinations out of 1,000. The third
column below lists the number of combinations each team will have in the NBA Draft Lottery.
The three columns on the right list the percent chances that teams have at getting one of the top
2011 NBA Draft Lottery Probabilities
|Utah (from New Jersey)||24-58||75||7.50%||8.34%||9.39%|
|Cleveland (from L.A. Clippers)||32-50||28||2.80%||3.26%||3.88%|