2024 NBA Draft on B/R

Bleacher Report: New 2-round Mock Draft, major competition for No. 1 pick

Bleacher Report's Jonathan Wasserman has a new mock draft with multiple prospects in the race for the top pick.

Jonathan Wasserman, Bleacher Report

January 5, 2024 6:59 PM

Rob Dillingham from the University of Kentucky is No. 7 in the latest Bleacher Report mock draft.

Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.

(B/R) — Conference play has begun and the 2024 NBA draft is still looking at roughly six No. 1 overall candidates.

That number may actually increase, with not much separating the perceived Tier 2 prospects from Tier 1.

International names are gaining more steam at the top of the board. We may not even see the first NCAA player taken until No. 4, 5 or 6.

Parity continues to be a theme for this current class. Scouts are valuing high floors without as many obvious high-ceiling prospects in the field, and they’re digging extra deep this year trying to find hidden gems in unexpected places.

1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 4
Team/Nationality: Perth Wildcats/French
Position: PF/C
Age: 18
Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
Pro comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

Without an obvious answer for best prospect in the draft, fit and needs could play a larger role than normal at No. 1. Aside from Alexandre Sarr looking capable of plugging into the 4 position between Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson, his size, athleticism and translatable defensive versatility create a level of certainty that other prospects aren’t offering.

Even if his development stalls early, there is still safety tied to 7-foot-1 height and quick, light feet for surefire finishing, shot-blocking and switching. But flashes of open-floor ball-handling and shotmaking also create a path to more offensive upside.

The most eye-opening number so far shows that he’s 10-of-22 on pull-up jumpers. He has also made 15 threes and had success putting the ball down and attacking closeouts. When paired with his rim protection and defensive movement, the face-up flashes that produce those perimeter scoring stats have some scouts seeing No. 1 overall potential.

2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topic

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 2
Team/Nationality: KK Crvena Zvezda
Position: PG
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
Pro comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

With Nikola Topic moving from Mega MIS to Red Star, scouts will get to see the Adriatic League’s most productive teenager now play tougher competition in EuroLeague.

The results were mixed in his two games, where we saw his passing and vision, finishing adjustments, physical/athletic limitations and suspect defensive tools/awareness.

At this stage, it’s easier to buy his transition play, slashing and playmaking translating. It’s tougher to buy a high-level, NBA scorer based on his inconsistent shot, thin frame and lack of explosion.

EuroLeague could ultimately expose some of the weaknesses that go masked in Adriatic League play, but he also has a chance to strengthen his draft case against some of the most experienced pros overseas.

3. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 6
Team/Nationality: JL Bourg/French
Position: SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
Pro comparison: Michael Porter Jr.

Now at 47.3 percent on 91 three-point attempts, LNB All-Star Zaccharie Risacher continues to strengthen his shotmaking credibility. And it’s helping him create the perception that he’s an easy NBA fit with a high-floor and valued speciality skill, which is important in a draft that’s missing persuasive high-ceiling prospects.

As long as he doesn’t hit a wall that raises questions about a fluke start or random hot streak, the combination of positional size, athleticism, shooting and perimeter defense should be enough to keep him in the top-five mix.

Playing with JL Bourg, 86.4 percent of his possessions have come from spot-ups, transition, off-ball screens, offensive boards and cuts, so there has been limited film this year of Risacher showing what he can do on the ball or with creation.

That does raise questions about his archetype and its upside, but he did show more ball-handling last year in France’s under-21 league, where he averaged 4.4 assists. And it’s also tough to be picky based on the alternative options.

4. Charlotte Hornets: Cody Williams

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 5
School/Team: Colorado
Position: SF
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
Pro comparison: Jerami Grant

A wrist injury sent Cody Williams to the sidelines on a high note after consecutive 21-point efforts and a 67.7 true shooting percentage through seven games.

Given how efficient/productive he’s been, plus the fact that he owns a coveted, big-wing archetype, scouts have temporarily placed him in the same tier as the top projected NCAA picks until his return.

The small sample size, inferior competition and low-volume three-point numbers (6-of-10) do mean Williams has more to prove. He can be loose with his handle, and he doesn’t take many jump shots for a projected perimeter player.

Even if scouts learn that his shot and creation aren’t sharp for a traditional top pick, his positional size, slashing and finishing, passing and defense still create comforting versatility.

5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis

Stock: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 1
School/Team: G League Ignite
Position: SG/SF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
Pro comparison: Franz Wagner

Despite Matas Buzelis’ underwhelming efforts at the G League Showcase, 6-foot-8 size, fluid athleticism, shotmaking versatility and on-ball defensive flashes seem to be swaying scouts to remain patient.

He had an excellent stretch heading into Orlando, and he’s bounced back slightly since.

Making more jumpers would solve some of Buzelis’ issues, and high school scouting suggests his shooting percentages will rise. He does need to improve creating in tight spaces and handling contact, but at 19 years old, teams figure to covet his versatility and fit and bet on him strengthening his handle and body.

6. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland

Stock status: Down
Previous mock draft spot: No. 3
School/Team: G League Ignite
Position: SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore

Ron Holland’s sales pitch remains the same as it did when he was a strong No. 1 overall candidate. He possesses unteachable burst attacking downhill and defensive quickness, while signs of ball-handling and shotmaking (at 18 years old) hint at room to improve as a scorer and shooter.

However, those signs haven’t flashed enough this season. He’s at 21.4 percent from three, he’s struggling more lately inside the arc, and the 61 turnovers to 47 assists highlight limited playmaking and erratic decision-making.

Natural talent and age still have to play into the equation, as Holland figures to give a team an injection of speed in transition, rim pressure and defensive energy at the least.

He’s just making it difficult for teams to realistically picture a wing who’ll offer any creation or reliable shooting anytime soon.

7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: PG/SG
Age: 18, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
Pro Comparison: Kemba Walker

While teams may still question whether Rob Dillingham projects as a primary ball-handler or combo, they aren’t going to nitpick. He may sway a team in the top 10 that’s just interested in adding his creativity and shotmaking to its rotation.

While his physical shortcomings have shown up in finishing plays inside the arc, he’s at 44.7 percent from three and averaging 4.5 assists to 1.6 turnovers. His handle, pull-up and floater should serve him well scoring in ball-screen situations. He’s also been playing unselfishly, making the right passing reads.

And Dillingham is at 44.1 percent on catch-and-shoot chances, a good sign for his potential to play off the ball next to another point guard.

8. Chicago Bulls: Ja’kobe Walter

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 7
School/Team: Baylor
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
Pro Comparison: Moses Moody

Positional tools and shotmaking versatility create a floor and easy fit that’s seemingly solidified Ja’Kobe Walter in the top-10 discussion.

His skill set is tailored for plug-and-play off-ball scoring, with Walter shooting 40.0 percent on spot-up threes and 9-of-16 on shots off screens. But he’s also looked effective scoring in ball-screen situations, mostly by attacking downhill, finishing through contact or earning trips to the free-throw line.

At 6-foot-5 with length and strength, he has the defensive tools to pair with a jumper, creating a low-risk, popular archetype.

9. Atlanta Hawks: Reed Sheppard

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs
Pro comparison: Donte DiVincenzo

The lack of convincing high-upside prospects in this draft will lead to teams valuing Reed Sheppard’s floor. It’s propped up by translatable strengths such as shooting, passing IQ and defensive instincts, a mix that makes him both adaptable and capable of impacting games without needing to create.

The efficiency numbers and analytics are still off the charts. He’s converting 60.0 percent of his twos, 56.0 percent of his threes and 90.0 percent of his free throws with 52 assists to 19 turnovers, an absurd 5.6 steal percentage and an usual 3.9 block percentage for a guard.

At some point in this draft—possibly in the late lottery—teams are going to look past the inch or two Sheppard is missing for a traditional 2-guard.

10. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Yves Missi

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 19
School/team: Baylor
Position: C
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 7-foot-0, 235 lbs
Pro comparison: Mark Williams

With Dereck Lively II and Mark Williams going top 15 in stronger drafts, Yves Missi should generate 2024 lottery interest from teams looking to add frontcourt depth and rim protection.

Shooting 63.6 percent while averaging 4.6 blocks and 13.3 boards per 40 minutes, Missi also has the body, athleticism, hands and motor for his finishing and interior presence to translate. Watching him prevent Duke’s Kyle Filipowski from creating separation on a handful of possessions helped him move the needle with scouts.

11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Jazz): Tidjane Salaun

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 11
Team/Nationality: Cholet/France
Position: PF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs
Pro comparison: Obi Toppin

While some teams may prefer to settle on high-floor role players, others may want to roll the dice on upside. And Tidjane Salaun’s ceiling is starting to look more tempting by the week, with the 18-year-old forward now 17-of-25 from three over his last six games.

Right now, the draw to Salaun revolves exclusively around athleticism and shotmaking. He hasn’t shown much off the dribble, and he has just 19 assists and five blocks through 26 games.

But he’s also one of the draft’s youngest prospects producing in France’s top league. And his positional size, movement and three-ball create a relatively translatable catch-and-score/finish package.

12. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Kyle Filipowski

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 16
School/Team: Duke
Position: PF/C
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 7-foot-0, 248 lbs
Pro comparison: Moritz Wagner

While it’s still difficult to pinpoint one signature strength or skill for Kyle Filipowski, he’s building a case around versatility rather than scoring potential.

He’s not the shooter or fluid mover that Lauri Markkanen is, but he does check boxes, even if he doesn’t dominate any. He’s become a tougher low-post player. Though his three-point numbers aren’t much different than last year’s, he’s still a spot-up or pick-and-pop threat. And he can initiate fast breaks with his open-floor handle.

Averaging 3.0 assists per game, Filipowski is showing that he can give teams a big who can impact games in a variety of ways.

13. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Isaiah Collier

Stock status: Down
Previous mock draft spot: No. 8
School/Team: USC
Position: PG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
Pro comparison: Ty Lawson

The early hype around Isaiah Collier is fading as his shooting percentages keep dipping, his turnover rate remains high and the USC losses continue to pile up.

Rather than picturing a franchise point guard to build around, It’s starting to look wiser to view him as a rotational guard who can help put pressure on the defense and rim and add some opportunistic playmaking.

While his shooting and decision-making have been problematic, his shiftiness, physical drives, tough finishes and passing flashes could still translate to effective offense in the right NBA role.

14. Phoenix Suns: Ryan Dunn

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
School/Team: Virginia
Position: SF/PF
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
Pro comparison: Herbert Jones

There is debate over how much stock scouts should be into Ryan Dunn’s offensive limitations. He won’t be for everyone, but certain teams could see value in adding a defensive specialist and explosive finisher midway through the first round of a perceived weaker draft.

While sustaining his current defensive playmaking rates seems unlikely, he’s on pace to become the only NCAA player on record to register a 10.0 block percentage and 5.0 steal percentage.

However, Dunn may have a tough time justifying starter minutes at the next level without a threatening three-ball.

15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Donovan Clingan

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: 13th
School/Team: Connecticut
Position: C
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
Pro Comparison: Jakob Poeltl

A foot strain cost Donovan Clingan a month back in September, and now he’s out another three to four weeks with a foot injury suffered against Seton Hall. It’s going to generate some discussion on durability, particularly given the amount of weight (280 lbs) he carries around.

When healthy, he changes games on defense with his height, strength, mobility and anticipation. And that’s what NBA teams will be coveting, along with his ability to pick up easy finishes and putbacks.

16. Orlando Magic: Stephon Castle

Stock status: Down
Previous mock draft spot: No. 9
School/Team: Connecticut
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs

An early-season injury and a talented, deep Connecticut rotation have affected Stephon Castle’s ability to build any rhythm.

Given his role in just 20.9 minutes, scouts will have to put more stock into the flashes and the potential valuable archetype they could create for the 6-foot-6, 215-pound point wing.

Per 40 minutes, he’s averaging 6.2 assists and 1.9 steals, his passing and defense have been the strengths that have separated him most from others at his position.

However, poor shooting (1-of-9 3PT) and bad misses do figure to hold Castle back from generating interest from most teams in the top 10.

17. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
School/Team: Kansas
Position: SG/SF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
Pro comparison: Austin Reaves

While teams may have a difficult time detecting upside with Kevin McCullar Jr., he could be a popular target outside the lottery based on his coveted passing and defense and improving slashing and shotmaking.

Staying around his current 37.7 three-point percentage and 85.2 free-throw percentage should help the senior to continue building scouts’ confidence in his shot. Having one that’s just threatening or average should be enough to play a supporting Swiss Army knife role.

18. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tyler Smith

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 32
Team: G League Ignite
Position: PF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs

Tyler Smith has bounced back from a cold-shooting December, a good sign for a player whose three-ball and touch are driving NBA interest.

At 6’11, the stroke looks clean, and he’s shown he can do enough damage around the basket using his physical tools.

Smith won’t have much margin for error with his shotmaking, given his lack of creation and defensive upside. But continuing to hover around his current 38.7 percent from three should be enough to draw first-round interest from teams who see a stretch, pick-and-pop 4.

19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Tristan da Silva

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 22
School/Team: Colorado
Position: SF/PF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs
Pro comparison: Jake LaRavia

Athletic limitations shouldn’t negate Tristan da Silva’s shotmaking prowess. Teams should see a plug-and-play stretch 4 who can also shoot off quick pull-ups and movement.

Aside from possessing a convincing jump shot, he also compensates for limited burst with soft touch on his runners, while his IQ translates to good decision-making with his passing.

20. Indiana Pacers: Ulrich Chomche

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: Off the board
School/Team: NBA Academy Africa/Cameroon
Position: PF/C
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs

December has been a huge month for Ulrich Chomche, with standout performances at the Sunrise Prep Showcase and G League Showcase for NBA Academy Africa.

NBA teams should detect extreme defensive upside tied to his 6-foot-11 size, 7-foot-4 wingspan, verticality at the rim, movement and recovery ability. While his offense is raw, he’s been surprising with three-point shooting, one-on-one moves from the post/short corners and passes, including some off live dribbles.

It would be understandable if teams were hesitant to consider Chomche in June, considering he hasn’t played against any high-level competition. And it does sound like he’ll entertain the idea of playing college basketball in 2024-25.

But he also has a December 30 birthday, making him barely eligible for the 2024 draft. This is also the type of draft where teams may be willing to gamble earlier on upside.

Depending on the feedback he gets, and how determined he is to immediately start his NBA journey, Chomche could be a name to watch once the predraft process begins.

Between his age, physical tools, surefire defensive versatility and some enticing offensive flashes, he’d surely draw first-round consideration.

21. Miami Heat: Dalton Knecht

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
School/Team: Tennessee
Position: SF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
Pro comparison: Max Strus

A recent Dalton Knecht slump through blowout wins isn’t likely setting off any alarms. Scouts have confidence in the 6-foot-6 wing’s shooting, and he’s already had strong, efficient scoring outings against North Carolina (37 points, 13-17)), Illinois (21 points, 7-14), Purdue (16 points, 6-13) and Wisconsin (24 points, 8-15).

While he doesn’t offer much creation upside, he has the physical tools and skill set for off-ball scoring with his movement shotmaking (48.3 percent) and cutting (9-of-9).

22. New Orleans Pelicans: Kel’el Ware

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
School/Team: Indiana
Position: C
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 7-foot-0, 242 lbs
Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen

Kel’el Ware still falls away into tough jumpers or fades into the background too often for such an obvious talent. But the 7-foot-0 size, easy leaping and shotmaking skill have swayed scouts to look past the lapses in activity.

The 7-footer is averaging 14.6 points, using his outstanding finishing tools for lobs and putbacks while scoring on defenders in the post with his high release and touch.

Indiana doesn’t trust him much to space the floor as a spot-up or pick-and-pop shooter. But predraft workouts should represent another chance for Ware to showcase some hidden range.

23. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Bobi Klintman

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 23
Team/Nationality: Cairns Taipans/Swedish
Position: SF/PF
Age: 20
Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter

Bobi Klintman has been up and down all season, though playing a spot-up heavy role for a new team in a pro league makes the inconsistency understandable.

NBA teams will be drawn to his archetype as a 6-foot-8 combo forward who’s delivered flashes of shooting, touch shots and live-dribble passing.

There is some risk tied to the idea that he’s missing a bankable strength, but Klintman’s physical tools and skill set create appealing versatility.

24. OKC Thunder (via Clippers): Melvin Ajinca

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin/France
Position: SG/SF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-7

Teams in the 20s and 30s will target Melvin Ajinca’s shotmaking and shooting versatility, as it’s carried over from the U19 World Cup to LNB Pro A in France.

At 19 years old, he’s hit 34 threes in 18 games playing 23 minutes. And at 6-foot-7, he has a strong frame for either wing position.

He just hasn’t showcased much else, and analytics departments may see red flags with his scary-low assist and steal rates.

25. Denver Nuggets: Ajay Mitchell

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 25
School/Team: Santa Barbara
Position: PG
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs

Ajay Mitchell’s recent 39-point eruption marked the fourth time in 10 games he’s scored at least 25 points this season.

On one hand, he’s taking over without shooting many threes, which may worry scouts who believe he’ll need a jumper at the next level. On the other hand, averaging 20.9 points on just 2.2 three-point attempts highlights how effective he is at using change of speed, body control, finishing adjustments and touch.

Given the uptick in successful NBA guards who are producing without advantageous athleticism, it’s not unreasonable to think a team would use a first-round pick to bet on his production, methodical ball-handling and tough shotmaking working at the next level.

26. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: Off the board
School/Team: Duke
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-3, 197 lbs
Pro comparison: Landry Shamet

Now up to 46.9 percent from three, Jared McCain is shooting himself into the 2024 first-round discussion. He’s at 50.0 percent on catch-and-shoot threes, but also 43.8 percent on two-point dribble jumpers, showing some ability to put the ball down and separate into pull-ups inside the arc.

His limitations are obvious: He lacks burst and strength for blowing by, finishing or drawing fouls. NBA teams will ultimately see a shotmaking specialist who can also move the ball and make good decisions.

27. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Hunter Sallis

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 55
School/team: Wake Forest
Position: SG
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs

Coming off three consecutive 20-point games, Hunter Sallis continues to put up points with the type of three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing that could help convince scouts that his scoring is translatable.

He’s been an effective slasher, one of the nation’s most efficient pull-up shooters (48.3 percent) and a sufficient three-point threat hitting 2.0 per game at a 36.1 percent clip.

He just doesn’t offer playmaking, which reduces his versatility and margin for error and makes it important that he’s comfortable playing off the ball.

28. Milwaukee Bucks: D.J. Wagner

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 18
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: PG/SG
Age: 18, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs
Pro comparison: Collin Sexton

With questions about his frame, athletic ability, playmaking instincts and range, D.J. Wagner was going to have to produce his way through some early skepticism. But he’s now down to 11.9 points and 3.5 assists on a weak 49.5 percent true shooting.

Kentucky’s loaded backcourt has contributed to Wagner’s fluctuating contributions, though he’s clearly been the least effective among the Wildcats’ backcourt group of Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard and Antonio Reaves.

Wagner still has a special knack for creating drives and rim pressure with his handles, quickness off the dribble and ability to detect lanes to the basket. There should be interest in his potential to thrive in a bench-spark role that values his north-south scoring and potential to add some complementary shotmaking and set-up passes.

29. Minnesota Timberwolves: Trevon Brazile

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 24
School/Team: Arkansas
Position: PF/C
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-10, 220 lbs
Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

Trevon Brazile becomes less interesting when the threes start falling. But the numbers still indicate gradual shooting improvement, a notable development for an explosive, 6-foot-10 leaper.

While he may not be moving up boards, he’s keeping himself in the first-round conversation.

30. Boston Celtics: Tyrese Proctor

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 29
School/Team: Duke
Position: PG
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs
Pro comparison: Shake Milton

Tyrese Proctor has been efficient coming off the bench during his two games since returning from injury. Even if the lack of burst prevents him from creating, beating defenders and putting pressure on the rim, his shotmaking and passing IQ could earn him connector minutes.

Given his athletic limitations, consistently knocking down threes will ultimately be key to his draft stock.

31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Oso Ighodaro

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
School/team: Marquette
Position: C
Age: 21, Senior
Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
Pro comparison: Jaylin Williams

Teams could see the most value in Oso Ighodaro’s ability to handle and pass as a 5. And he should threaten as a scorer with his signature touch and push shots—he’s already converted a wild 25-of-41 one-handers around the key, a wild number for a 6-foot-11 big.

Without the ability to offer a great deal of rim protection or floor spacing, Ighodaro figures to be used more as a specialty center who can give a team a different look with a unique skill set at the position.

32. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 27
School/team: Miami
Position: SG
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

An ankle injury will cost Wooga Poplar games, but he’s firmly on scouts’ radar with plenty of time left to capitalize on the attention.

While his athleticism always pops—he’s converting 77.4 percent of his finishes—he’s taken his shotmaking to another level, as he’s currently shooting 44.0 percent off the catch and 42.9 percent on pull-ups.

The obvious knock on Poplar is the lack of creation and playmaking for a guard who’ll be too small to defend most forwards.

33. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Justin Edwards

Stock status: Down
Previous mock draft spot: No. 28
School/team: Kentucky
Position: SF
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs
Pro comparison: Olivier Maxence-Prosper

Justin Edwards has been efficient and mildly productive—he just hasn’t showcased any particular skill that seems useful or reliable for the next level.

Positional size, athleticism, defensive flashes and some shotmaking ability will buy him time. At this stage, though, he doesn’t offer enough on-ball creation or off-ball shooting to convince NBA teams he’ll fit anywhere offensively.

34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Izan Almansa

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 39
Team: G League Ignite
Position: PF/C
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-10, 230 lbs
Pro comparison: Jabari Walker

Izan Almansa is coming off a season-best 24 points that highlighted his soft hands and timing around the basket. There isn’t anything too exciting about his game, as he’s been used and effective mostly as a play-finisher.

Teams may put stock into previous FIBA flashes of face-up drives and threes, which suggest there could be hidden versatility in his game.

35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Adem Bona

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 34
School/team: UCLA
Position: C
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs
Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson

Athleticism and motor remain the selling points to Adem Bona, despite the extra post scoring he’s delivered this season. His defensive upside has shined over the past two games against UCLA and Oregon State, when he combined for eight blocks and four steals.

NBA teams will covet his finishing and ability to erase shots around the basket. But a sky-high 21.1 turnover percentage, suspect decision-making and 5.1 fouls per 40 minutes suggest he isn’t suited for full-time minutes at the next level.

36. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Devin Carter

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
School/team: Providence:
Position: PG/SG
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
Pro comparison: Jose Alvarado

Devin Carter has scouts’ attention with his signature, pesky defense and improved shooting. He’s drawing big Jose Alvarado comparisons for his relentless ball pressure and high intensity level, but he’s also up to 39.7 percent on 6.5 three-point attempts per game.

In the second round, teams won’t worry as much about his creation or decision-making. They’ll value his ability to make life difficult for opposing ball-handlers, hit enough open shots and occasionally provide some streak scoring once his confidence starts to pump.

37. Los Angeles Clippers (via Raptors): Jaxson Robinson

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 46
School/team: BYU
Position: SF
Age: 21, Senior
Size: 6-foot-7, 190 lbs

Jaxson Robinson’s three-point makes and percentages have brought attention to BYU games. He’s backed up the numbers with a convincing eye test that buys his 6-foot-7 size and stroke. And he’s even delivered some bonus flashes of transition offense, self-creation and touch around the key.

Scouts will just want to see a large sample size of both accuracy and shotmaking versatility to buy that there is first-round value, considering he did little to come off as a pro prospect through three years in college.

38. Boston Celtics (via Bulls): Mantas Rubstavicius

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 52
Team/nationality: New Zealand Breakers, Lithuanian
Size: 6-foot-5, 196 lbs
Age: 21

Averaging 17.3 points since being inserted into the New Zealand Breakers’ starting lineup four games ago, Mantas Rubstavicius has become a name to track for this upcoming draft.

With solid positional wing size, he’s shooting 14-of-29 from three and converting his spot-up drives and transition finishes at an excellent rate.

39. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Baba Miller

Stock status: Down
Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
School/team: Florida State
Position: SF/PF
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs
Pro comparison: Jonathan Isaac

Despite Baba Miller’s enticing flashes and archetype, continuing to play a backseat role as a sophomore is making it difficult for scouts to picture an NBA contributor.

The wing’s skill set at 6-foot-11 should keep interest alive. He handles in space, finishes well and demonstrates some defensive versatility with his size and mobility.

However, the lack of aggression, limited creation, low-volume shooting and 42.9 free-throw percentage for a second-year player will make it tough for a team to use a first-round pick in Miller.

40. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aaron Bradshaw

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 37
School/team: Kentucky
Position: C
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs
Pro comparison: Mohamed Bamba

The initial eye test on Aaron Bradshaw sees a capable shooter and worker in the paint with no passing skill, advanced post moves or plus athletic abilities.

The idea of a 7-foot-1 big who can potentially stretch the floor, block shots and grab offensive boards will keep interest alive. But a high center of gravity seems to hurt him around the basket, and it’s still too early to buy his jump shot as a reliable weapon.

Scouts will have a better read on Bradshaw after a few weeks of conference play. The last few games have been Kentucky blowouts, with its freshmen center playing a limited role offensively.

41. New York Knicks (via Jazz): PJ Hall

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 56
School/team: Clemson
Position: PF/C
Age: 21
Size: 6-foot-10, 238 lbs
Pro comparison: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Though still a heavy post-up player, PJ Hall looks more explosive and confident shooting threes this year.

With his dunk, block, three-point and assist rates all up, scouts will be taking him more seriously in 2024 as a potential stretch 4 or 5.

42. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Tyler Kolek

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 44
School/team: Marquette
Position: PG
Age: 22, Junior
Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
Pro comparison: Malachi Flynn

NBA teams looking for extra playmaking could target Tyler Kolek, a pick-and-roll specialist with some unteachable feel and passing IQ in ball-screen situations.

The fact that he’s a 43.3 percent catch-and-shooter gives him some versatility to provide off-ball shotmaking as well, though athletic and physical limitations may hurt his ability to create and separate, finish and defend.

43. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 43
School/team: Purdue
Position: C
Age: 21, Senior
Size: 7-foot-4, 300 lbs

It still seems likely that the majority of teams would prefer to gamble on a guard, wing or forward than a 300-pound big who can’t shoot or defend away from the basket. But all it takes is one front office to buy into Zach Edey’s college dominance and 7-foot-4 size translating to high-percentage post offense, finishing and shot-blocking.

The success rate of players in his mold is very low, but there’s no denying his skill level and touch with his back to the basket.

44. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Alex Karaban

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 42
School/team: Connecticut
Position: PF
Age: 21, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs

Shotmaking at 6-foot-8, 220 lbs should get Alex Karaban drafted, though he’s also been an effective cutter and plus defender.

Despite offering minimal creation or athletic ability, he checks the right boxes for an NBA stretch 4 with his size, shooting and foot speed to guard away from the basket.

45. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Dillon Jones

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: Off the board
School/Team: Weber State
Position: SG/SF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs
Pro comparison: David Roddy

Scouts sound conflicted by Dillon Jones’ out-of-the-box fit and versatility. Questions about whether he’s dangerous enough on the ball or a good enough shooter to play off it are valid.

However, some team in the second round figures to be enticed by the Swiss Army knife potential that his ball-handling, passing, rebounding and shot-making flashes create.

46. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Trey Alexander

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 38
School/team: Creighton
Position: SG
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs
Pro comparison: E’Twaun Moore

Though Trey Alexander’s three-point numbers are down this year, he’s shown improvement in key areas with the increased rim pressure and extra playmaking.

The improved on-ball play creates more versatility, but shotmaking will still be his NBA moneymaker, assuming his thin frame and athletic limitations make it difficult to regularly separate from and blow by NBA defenders.

Last year’s success and the eye test suggest his shooting percentages will climb back up by March.

47. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Bronny James

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: No. 51
School/team: USC
Position: SG
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-4, 210 lbs
Pro comparison: De’Anthony Melton

Bronny James continues to look more comfortable and confident attacking in space, stepping into jumpers and making ball-screen reads.

A lack of burst and ball-handling wiggle for self-creation is evident, but scouts will lower the bar to picture more of a connector than a lead guard.

And James has the right skill set and mentality for a supporting role, just based on his package of shooting, passing IQ and defensive quickness.

48. Orlando Magic: Matthew Cleveland

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 53
School/team: Miami
Position: SF
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs
Pro comparison: Otto Porter Jr.

Through two seasons at Florida State, limited shooting kept Matthew Cleveland from generating any draft buzz.

After hitting three threes Wednesday night against Clemson, he’s now 16-of-34 from deep with Miami. And the mid-range shotmaking and athletic play-finishing have carried over as well.

He still doesn’t offer any real creation, while 2.6 three-point attempts make the 47.1 three-point percentage less convincing. He’ll still need a second-round team to really buy the improved shooting for Cleveland to look like a serviceable offensive player at the next level.

49. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Kobe Johnson

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 40
School/team: USC
Position: SF
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs
Pro comparison: Kent Bazemore

Kobe Johnson finally broke through a rough shooting slump by combining to hit 6-of-12 threes against Oregon State and California.

He still has plenty of convincing to do regarding his shot, but a capable one could be enough for him to compete for an NBA role, given his passing, defense and cutting for a 6-foot-6 wing.

50. Indiana Pacers: Judah Mintz

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 45
School/team: Syracuse
Position: PG/SG
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs
Pro comparison: Jaden Ivey

The draw to Judah Mintz stems from his open-floor speed, rim pressure in the half court, paint scoring and two-way playmaking.

Scouts’ questions about his limited frame, length and shooting range have them worried about his NBA fit.

51. Atlanta Hawks (via Heat): Harrison Ingram

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
School/team: North Carolina
Position: SF
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-7, 235 lbs

Invited to the 2022 NBA combine, Harrison Ingram is back on scouts’ radar now that he’s shooting 42.9 percent from three.

Limited athleticism holds him back inside the arc, but the improved jump shot and passing—which he got to show more of at Stanford—create interesting connector potential for the next level.

52. New Orleans Pelicans: Zvonimir Ivisic

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 48
School/team: Kentucky
Position: PF/C
Age: 20, Freshman
Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs

There still aren’t any updates on when or if Zvonimir Ivisic will be cleared to play for Kentucky. Even if he doesn’t suit up this season, FIBA tape (11.4 points, 3.4 blocks, 1.6 threes at the U20 European Championship) and workouts should create enough intrigue for a team to draft him.

Until then, he’ll be merely thought of as a second-round flier and project, though one who’s flashed rare, enticing ball-handling and shotmaking skill for a 7-foot-2 big.

53. Sacramento Kings: Branden Carlson

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: Off the board
School/team: Utah
Position: C
Age: 24
Size: 7-foot-0, 220 lbs

Though already 24 years old, Branden Carlson is making a case to earn some consideration late in the draft. The 7-footer just went for 34 points and seven assists against Washington, and he’s now up to 20-of-50 shooting from deep.

54. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
Team/nationality: Ratiopharm Ulm/France
Position: SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-6, 187 lbs
Pacome Dadiet put together his best stretch of shotmaking, slashing and finishing last week against Mitteldeutscher to score a season-high 17 points in 17 minutes. With NBA wing size, his jumper also looks promising, both off the catch and dribble.

Not turning 19 until July, he still looks more like a draft-and-stash option if he declares and stays in the draft.

55. Houston Rockets (via OKC): Pelle Larsson

Stock status: Up
Previous mock draft spot: Off the board
School/Team: Arizona
Position: SF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

The case for Pelle Larsson revolves around positional size, versatility and his success in slashing, passing, finishing in transition and making open open shots. He’s at 45.9 percent on total jumpers this year.

The case against him has to start with his 24 three-point attempts in 13 games. For a 22-year-old (turns 23 next month), he hasn’t demonstrated much confidence in his shooting, which could problematic at the next level for a limited creator.

56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Trentyn Flowers

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 49
Team/nationality: Adelaide 36ers/USA
Position: SG/SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

Trentyn Flowers hasn’t hit a three since November 17, and while there’s still plenty of time to get back on track, he isn’t going to have a consistent role to make it easy.

Pre-draft workouts will be his best chance at selling teams on his positional size, athleticism and shotmaking.

57. Denver Nuggets (via Wolves): Nikola Djurisic

Stock status: Steady
Previous mock draft spot: No. 54
Team: Mega MIS, Serbian/Belgian
Position: SG/SF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

Nikola Djurisic just scored a season-high 18 points in Mega’s first game without potential top-five pick Nikola Topic, who transferred to Crvena Zvezda.

Despite another year of inconsistent shooting, it’s still worth tracking Djurisic and staying patient, given his shoot-dribble-pass skill set for a 6-foot-7 19-year-old.

The next few months without Topic will give him an opportunity to be more aggressive and start re-selling scouts on his scoring and shotmaking.

58. Charlotte Hornets (via Celtics): Reece Beekman

Stock status:
Previous mock draft spot: No. 47
School/team: Virginia
Position: PG
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs
Pro comparison: Jevon Carter

Reece Beekman will still be auditioning for a defensive specialist role, but he’s been far more efficient this year finishing inside the arc.

However, scouts have been wanting to see more progress made with his shooting, and he hasn’t shown any so far as a senior.

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Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.

Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.