2024 NBA Draft on B/R

Bleacher Report: Latest Mock Draft + biggest risers and fallers

Bleacher Report's Jonathan Wasserman tracks which players are rising and falling the most in his latest mock draft for 2024.

Jonathan Wasserman, Bleacher Report

Updated on December 13, 2023 1:23 PM

Kentucky’s Reed Sheppard (left) and Rob Dillingham are rising the ranks in Bleacher Report’s latest mock draft.

Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.

(B/R) — The top of 2024 NBA draft boards are fuzzier than any in recent memory heading into the holiday break.

There still isn’t a true No. 1 overall favorite, which means the lottery order and team needs could play a bigger role in who goes first than usual. Right now, our projected first pick could change each mock draft depending on the NBA standings and odds.

While several top NCAA prospects have underwhelmed early, the top names overseas have exceeded expectations. At this current rate, three of the top five picks may be international.

The upcoming draft may be receiving some needed boosts from surprise college freshmen and breakout upperclassmen. But unless one of the high-profile prospects starts to separate from the pack, there could be a lot of trade chatter at No. 1 after the lottery.

Draft order based on standings heading into Wednesday’s games.

Biggest Risers and Fallers Since Last Mock Draft

Risers

Reed Sheppard, Kentucky
Rob Dillingham, Kentucky
Trevon Brazile, Arkansas
Ajay Mitchell, Santa Barbara
Dalton Knecht, Tennessee
Terrence Shannon Jr., Illinois

Fallers

Tyrese Proctor, Duke
Justin Edwards, Kentucky
Aday Mara, UCLA
Carlton Carrington, Pittsburgh
Aaron Bradshaw, Kentucky

Biggest Risers and Fallers This Season

Risers

Nikola Topić, Mega MIS
Carlton Carrington, Pittsburgh
Reed Sheppard, Kentucky
Ryan Dunn, Virginia
Hunter Sallis, Wake Forest
Kevin McCullar Jr., Kansas
Dalton Knecht, Tennessee
Ajay Mitchell, Santa Barbara

Fallers

Aaron Bradshaw, Kentucky
Justin Edwards, Kentucky
D.J. Wagner, Kentucky
Mark Mitchell, Duke

1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 4
School/Team: Perth Wildcats
Position: PF/C
Age: 18
Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
Pro Comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

Alexandre Sarr’s flashes at both ends have created visions of a 7-foot-1 power forward/center who’s a switchable rim protector and 3-point threat, capable of driving past closeouts and scoring with touch around the key.

And for an 18-year-old, those visions give Sarr some wiggle room with his consistency and polish. Reminders of his lack of strength, shooting reliability and handle are served regularly. But scouts will be patient due to his coveted archetype and his NBL production as a teenager.

He’s making an impact at his absolute floor with play-finishing, occasional shotmaking and defensive contests. There may be a wide variety of potential outcomes when dealing with Sarr’s trajectory, but there is top-player-in-the-class upside if a best-case scenario plays out with his development, while Sarr still figures to improve a rotation if he winds up plateauing as an athletic two-way energizer.

2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topić

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 2
School/Team: Mega MIS
Position: PG
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
Pro Comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Potentially the youngest 2024 draft prospect, Nikola Topić leads the Adriatic League in assists and ranks second in scoring.

Questions over his athleticism aren’t setting off alarms thanks to his 6-foot-6 size, a 61.6 two-point percentage and surge in NBA star guards (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tyrese Haliburton, Jalen Brunson, Luka Dončić) who’ve excelled with shiftiness, footwork, IQ and skill over speed and explosion.

He’s demonstrated a special knack for beating defenders with timely moves, change of speed, surprise bursts and low ball-handling moves. And he’s outstanding off the dribble with his vision, passing feel and finishing craft.

Topić would have a stronger first-pick case if he was shooting better from deep, but he’s still hit 17 threes in 12 games, and historically, he’s always been capable from behind the arc and over 80.0% from the free-throw line.

3. Washington Wizards: Isaiah Collier

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 3
School/Team: USC
Position: PG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
Pro Comparison: Baron Davis

The biggest draws to Isaiah Collier right now are his shifty ball-handling and strength for attacking and finishing at the rim, along with his ability to create shots for teammates. These are aspects of his game that seem translatable, given his NBA positional tools/burst and how passing transitionally carries over.

Washington should feel it can bank on Collier for rim pressure and playmaking at the least.

He’s also shot well early, both off the catch and with his mid-range pull-up. His jump shot still isn’t highly convincing, however, given the low-volume attempts and a borderline set shot that doesn’t seem super conducive for consistent long-range shooting.

Collier’s decision-making is the most discussed flaw. He’s averaging 4.6 turnovers per game, coughing it up 34.4% of the time in ball-screen situations. Despite USC’s talented roster, it has lost three of eight games, and Collier ranks fifth on the team in box plus-minus.

I’s also a difficult draft to nitpick a highly productive freshman, particularly one with outstanding physical tools, valuable creativity, obvious passing vision and a capable shot.

4. Memphis Grizzlies: Zaccharie Risacher

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 5
School/Team: JL Bourg
Position: SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
Pro Comparison: Harrison Barnes

In a class that’s missing convincing All-Star prospects, Zaccharie Risacher is building a case around a high floor.

He’s been on a heater over the past month, raising his 3-point mark to 45.6% between LNB Pro A and Eurocup. It’s illuminated some exciting shotmaking ability to complement his 6-foot-8 size, explosiveness, open-floor ball-handling and defensive versatility.

The case against Risacher as a top pick focuses on his current archetype and the unlikelihood he’ll operate as an offensive initiator in the half court. But at 18 years old with plenty of time/room to grow, his three-and-D floor and flashes of passing (at lower levels) should be enough to justify looking at Risacher in the top three of this particular draft.

5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 6
School/Team: G League Ignite
Position: SG/SF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
Pro Comparison: Franz Wagner

Back from an ankle injury, Matas Buzelis showcased his jumbo-guard skills and athleticism in two games for Ignite with open-floor ball-handling, fluid slashing, above-the-rim finishing and defensive contests.

He’s missed six of his first seven threes, but shooting isn’t a concern for Buzelis. He’s a comfortable three-level shot-maker with range, though the upside pops most when he’s creating into smooth drives and mid-range jumpers or fallaways.

He isn’t tight enough with the ball yet to consistently get to his spots in the half court. He’s looked vulnerable when pressured. A stronger frame and tighter handle should eventually help, and at 19 years old, scouts could think Buzelis can eventually achieve both.

6. Chicago Bulls: Ron Holland

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 1
School/Team: G League Ignite
Position: SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
Pro Comparison: Shawn Marion

Back on track after a brief slump in November, Ron Holland has averaged 23.2 points on 52.7% over Ignite’s last five games.

He’s seemingly activated a different level of focus with his determination to attack defenders and cut down on turnovers. His explosiveness in the open floor is tough to top. And in the half court, he’s turning the corner, playing through contract until he’s gotten to the hoop or he’s putting back his own misses.

Though his self-creation still isn’t great for a potential No. 1 overall wing prospect, he has still delivered some encouraging flashes, changing speeds and directions to shake free.

At this point, his 23.5 3-point percentage, 57.7 free-throw percentage and decision-making raise the most red flags, particularly for a limited creator and playmaker in the No. 1 overall mix. It’s almost becoming safer for teams to project more of an energizer type than a top option.

On the other hand, the fact that he’s still scoring at a strong clip in the G League at 18 years old—without an advanced bag or jump shot—suggests Holland offers both a high floor and pathway to upside.

7. Charlotte Hornets: Stephon Castle

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 7
School/Team: Connecticut
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
Pro Comparison: Jimmy Butler

Stephon Castle’s return from a knee injury against North Carolina was mostly uneventful. Scouts are just pleased he’s back in the lineup, given the draft’s need for more star power and Castle’s promising start in November.

Scouts figure to be patient with the freshman, given the missed time, Connecticut’s depth and the long-term appeal of a 6’6″ point-wing and strong, versatile defender.

Concerns may pop up around his 3-point shooting and lack of explosion for creating separation. However, Castle plays at his own, slower pace that allows him to control possessions and defenders. And he’s showcased enough three-level shotmaking over the years to give him some wiggle room with his percentages.

8. Utah Jazz: Ja’Kobe Walter

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 8
School/Team: Baylor
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
Pro Comparison: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Though Ja’Kobe Walter has been streaky this season, age, physical tools, obvious shotmaking skill and a weak lottery will earn him a pass.

Limited creativity has been the biggest problem that’s led to difficult shots and no translatable playmaking (seven assists, eight games).

Still, at 6-foot-5 with a strong frame, deep range, a runner/floater and the ability to shoot off movement, he should have the right skill set and body for three-level off-ball scoring.

9. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Cody Williams

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 9
School/Team: Colorado
Position: SF
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
Pro Comparison: Jerami Grant

Despite performances at the Nike Hoop Summit, McDonalds All-American week and World Cup that painted Cody Williams as raw and unpolished, he’s averaging 14.0 points on 62.3% shooting.

Even without any advanced creation or a high-usage jumper, he’s scoring efficiently, mostly by optimizing his positional height for separating and using footwork and touch around the paint.

Flashes of 3-point shooting (6-of-10) and defensive effort have led to one of the most promising starts among freshmen.

A lack of threes attempted and half-court creation/playmaking does raise some questions, but it’s difficult to nitpick Williams’ highly productive and efficient start.

10. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Ryan Dunn

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 14
School/Team: Virginia
Position: SF/PF
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
Pro Comparison: Herb Jones

Ryan Dunn is making defensive plays at a rate we’ve never seen. And at 6’8″ with elite-level explosion and foot speed, scouts are seeing translatable defensive playmaking and court coverage.

The question is how high it can push him up boards, since he’s just 4-of-19 from three and hasn’t demonstrated any real handle, creation or passing.

In the mid-first round, however, there aren’t a lot of prospect who offer certainty. And Dunn does with his defensive versatility and play-finishing, a combination that can be valuable in a specific role for a team that gets enough scoring.

11. Atlanta Hawks: Rob Dillingham

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 25
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: PG/SG
Age: 18, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
Pro Comparison: Bones Hyland

Rob Dillingham has surprised scouts with his approach and willingness to move the ball. Averaging 5.4 assists to 1.6 turnovers, he’s sold himself so far as a point guard, rather than an undersized scoring combo.

For the most part, he’s picked the right times to showcase his self-creation and off-the-dribble shotmaking. And he’s off to a scorching start from three (16-of-32), hitting both pull-ups and rhythm spot-ups.

Scouts will be eager to see how he measures, given the questions around his projected finishing and defense. But Dillingham has been gaining more and more support with his new mentality that’s help lead to more efficient scoring and playmaking.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Terrence Shannon Jr.

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 51
School/Team: Illinois
Position: SG/SF
Age: 23, Senior
Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs

Terrence Shannon Jr. moved the needle on his draft stock against Rutgers with 33 points that highlighted his blazing burst with the ball. While his rim pressure has always been well-documented, he showed more ability to slow down and create with deceleration and body control or use his gravity to draw help and find teammates.

So far this season, he’s also making 44.8% of his pull-ups and 38.7% of his catch-and-shoot chances.

Even if his shooting comes and goes, teams could still see a pro and worthwhile first-round bet on Shannon’s streaky shotmaking when paired with electric driving, strong defensive tools and secondary playmaking.

13. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Clippers): Donovan Clingan

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 13
School/Team: Connecticut
Position: C
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
Pro Comparison: Walker Kessler

Donovan Clingan didn’t earn any new fans after the Kansas game. Athletic limitations were exposed and held him back on some finishes, and he looked uncomfortable getting out to challenge Hunter Dickinson’s three-ball.

NBA teams should still figure they’ll be able to bank on his 7-foot-2 size and anticipation in rim protection and his soft hands and 280-pound frame for easy baskets and boards. No versatility just may limit his suitors to teams that could use center depth, physicality and a shot-blocking presence.

14. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Trevon Brazile

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 27
School/Team: Arkansas
Position: PF/C
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-10

Trevon Brazile’s 19 points and 11 boards in a win over Duke highlighted the shotmaking and athleticism that are easy to picture fitting onto an NBA floor. His soft, high-arching 3-point stroke has become very convincing, while his tools and bounce around the basket create highly translatable finishing.

Continuous flashes of drives past closeouts, body control off the dribble and touch shots should push Brazile in the first-round mix for most teams. As long as no post-ACL tear issues arise and his shot keeps falling, Arkansas should be sending another forward to the NBA.

15. New Orleans Pelicans: Kevin McCullar Jr.

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 17
School/Team: Kansas
Position: SG/SF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

A borderline draft pick in 2023, Kevin McCullar Jr. is altering previous evaluations and scouts’ thoughts with his improved shooting, aggressive slashing, passing/defensive IQ and impact on winning.

Elevated aggression has led to more finishes and playmaking, with McCullar now averaging 18.5 points and 5.1 assists. And he’s creating opportunities within Kansas’ offense—not with extra ball screens or isolation—currently generating 1.5 points per possessions out of spot-ups (97th percentile) and consistently making himself available for cuts (13-of-15).

A dangerous transition ball-handler and effective off-ball scorer with strong defensive tools/instincts, McCullar may just need an average/capable catch-and-shoot game to solidify first-round interest. He hit three 3-pointers in the final six minutes to propel Kansas over Connecticut on Friday.

16. Cleveland Cavaliers: Carlton Carrington

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 10
School/Team: Pittsburgh
Position: PG/SG
Age: 18, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs
Pro Comparison: Tyrese Maxey

Carlton Carrington has cooled off, and now scouts are starting question which aspects of his hot start were legitimate.

The combination of 6’5″ size, playmaking IQ and shotmaking versatility remain appealing. He’s still making high-level deliveries off lives dribbles. And despite the fact his jumper isn’t falling at the same rate as earlier, he’s looked comfortable from deep, pulling up and stepping back.

But the fact that he’s made just four shots at the rim and has three steals and zero blocks (eight games) is raising some worrisome questions about his athleticism and quickness.

17. Miami Heat: Reed Sheppard

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 36
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs

No player is generating more conversation and debate within scouting circles than Reed Sheppard.

Despite Kentucky’s loss to Miami, he added another gem to the early-season reel with 26 points, nine boards and six assists. He’s now third in the NCAA in box plus-minus, consistently making positives plays while converting 63.0% of his twos, 61.1% of his threes, totaling 31 assists to seven turnovers and registering enormous defensive playmaking rates (6.1 STL percentage, 3.8 BLK percentage).

The numbers seemingly have to come back to earth at some point, but it’s pretty clear that Sheppard possesses elite shotmaking skill, high-IQ passing and excellent defensive instincts. While scouts will be waiting early to find out his actual height and wingspan, poor physical tools shouldn’t prevent his shooting, passing and reactions from translating in a connector role.

18. Phoenix Suns: Kyle Filipowski

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 11
School/Team: Duke
Position: PF/C
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 7 feet, 248 lbs

Kyle Filipowski has been more effective this year inside the arc (61.5%), using his strength and touch to finish more post-ups, rolls in traffic and putbacks. His passing has continued to pop as well and remains a selling point on the scouting report.

He hasn’t appeared to make a jump this year with his three-ball, which continues to look capable but unreliable.

The big question with Filipowski asks whether his perimeter game can translate, which is what can help separate him from other 7-footers and NBA bench players. Filipowski clearly has range and body control handling in the open floor or beating bigs off the arc in space. But his shot has been inconsistent, and a high center of gravity makes it difficult to picture him blowing by NBA defenders.

Regardless, in this draft, teams won’t nitpick too much when considering Filipowski’s size, skill level and NCAA impact/effectiveness.

19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Kel’el Ware

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 15
School/Team: Indiana
Position: C
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 7 feet, 242 lbs
Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen

Averaging 17.7 points and 9.6 boards, Kel’el Ware has handled almost every opposing frontcourt, giving them problems with his verticality, post game and touch.

He did struggle offensively in his only real test against Connecticut’s 280-pound center Donovan Clingan, who helped raise the importance that Ware continues to develop his shooting range to combat the stronger, interior-based centers.

But as long has he doesn’t drift during conference play, Ware’s combination of finishing, shot-blocking tools and shotmaking skill should prevent him from falling outside the top 20.

20. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Dalton Knecht

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 39
School/team: Tennessee
Position: SF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs

Scouts were buzzing about Dalton Knecht’s 37 points against North Carolina. They’ve already started to brainstorm about a pro comparison for the 6-foot-6″, 40.5% 3-point shooter who’s also showcased some extra wiggle attacking the basket and explosion in the open floor.

There may be some questions about how much of his scoring will translate to the next level. But in a draft where there aren’t as many enticing high-upside teenagers available, Knecht could start to look like a persuasive shotmaker and tough role player in the late first round.

21. Indiana Pacers: Ajay Mitchell

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: Off the board
School/Team: Santa Barbara
Position: PG
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs

Averaging 23.3 points and 4.3 assists on 72.3% true shooting, Ajay Mitchell has been getting to his spots, finishing with signature craft/touch and using his gravity to set up teammates.

The NBA is seeing many point guards succeed without athletic advantages for scouts to write off this shifty ball-handler. Scouts will want to see Mitchell continue creating and efficiently converting inside the arc against more credible opponents. And his 5-for-10 start from three is still small for a career 30.6% 3-point shooter.

But Mitchell is currently carving up defenses with the type of change of speed, shiftiness, footwork, layup adjustments, IQ and shotmaking for scouts to start looking past questions about separation ability or shooting numbers.

22. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Bobi Klintman

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 24
School/Team: Cairns Taipans
Position: SF/PF
Age: 20
Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter

Bobi Klintman’s minutes and production have fluctuated lately, though the highlights should still outweigh the inconsistency and keep the 6-foot-8 forward in the first-round discussion

The flashes of open-floor ball-handling and passing, shooting, drives into runners and athletic finishing create appealing potential versatility from both forward spots. While he looked more like a stretch 4 at Wake Forest, Klintman has done a better job selling himself this year as a Swiss Army knife combo.

23. New York Knicks: Caleb Foster

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: Off the board
School/Team: Duke
Position: PG/SG
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

Tyrese Proctor’s injury could open a door for Caleb Foster to receive more creation reps and ball screens. With just an 18.7% usage, the freshman has still given Duke an efficient source of bench offense in the form of rim pressure and three-level shotmaking.

He hasn’t been able to showcase any playmaking, though he’ll have a chance now if Proctor misses extended time.

Regardless, Foster’s signature function is scoring with decisive ball-handling and strength for driving, a mid-range game and spot-up shooting behind the arc.

24. Philadelphia 76ers: Tyrese Proctor

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 12
School/Team: Duke
Position: PG
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs

Tyrese Proctor has made some marginal improvement this year, mostly with his finishing off drives and playmaking IQ.

Underwhelming offensive games in highly scouted matchups against Arkansas (3-for-12), Michigan State (4-for-12) and Arizona (3-for-9) have mostly cast a cloud over his better two-point percentage and assist-to-turnover ratio. The bar was also higher coming in this season as a sophomore, so it’s been difficult to get too excited about his 10.3 points and 4.8 dimes on 32.4% shooting from deep.

And now he’s in jeopardy of missing an extended period of time with a leg injury.

Flashes of shotmaking versatility, self-creation into jumpers and playmaking will keep interest alive in a 6-foot-5, 19-year-old combo. But a lengthy absence after his start will make it tough for Proctor to win over more NBA teams.

25. Denver Nuggets: D.J. Wagner

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 26
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: PG/SG
Age: 18, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs

After a forgettable game in a highly scouted matchup against Kansas, D.J. Wagner bounced back the following week to combine for 50 points in wins over Marshall and Saint Joseph’s. An ankle injury suffered against Miami came at an unfortunate time, though it’s not expected to keep the freshman out long.

Wagner does have questions to answer, some about his shooting, others about his tools/athleticism for finishing, and more regarding his projected NBA role. Rob Dillingham has been the more effective playmaker and shotmaker in Kentucky’s backcourt, while Wagner has had more success putting pressure on the defense and rim with his driving.

Wagner is still likely a better shooter than the early numbers suggest, and despite missing practically every layup attempt against Kansas, he’s converting 61.5% of his attempts around the basket.

Aside from attacking off his signature quick-dribble moves, Wagner hasn’t looked highly proficient in any one area, which may make it difficult for lottery teams to fall in love, particularly for a prospect who doesn’t pop physically or athletically.

26. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Baba Miller

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 22
School/Team: Florida State
Position: SF/PF
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs

With the idea of a potential breakout coming after Baba Miller’s promising World Cup, the lack of offense and aggression could be seen as a turnoff. But there have been clear signs of progression and elevated confidence, and Florida State’s production is historically spread out.

Shooting 42.9% from deep, Miller already has more threes in seven games than he hit in 15 last year. With his long strides and fluidity at 6-foot-11, he’s been effective attacking and finishing in the open floor, and his length and defensive activity have translated to 1.6 steals and 1.3 blocks in 23.0 minutes.

27. Orlando Magic: Justin Edwards

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 18
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: SF
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs

Justin Edwards has given Kentucky an efficient play-finisher, driving threat and capable spot-up shooter.

Scouts are still trying to determine what he’ll give an NBA team, however. A limited ball-handler who’s at 25.9% from three, averaging 1.0 assist per game, Edwards is starting to look like a vulnerable name on draft boards.

Becoming a plus shotmaker seems like a must to justify going in the lottery or even mid-first round. It’s still too early to write off more improvement. He’s made strides over the past year, also showing some ability to pull up inside the arc. A competent jumper would give Edwards enough spot-up scoring skills for a 6-foot-8 wing who can cover defensive ground.

28. Milwaukee Bucks: Tristan da Silva

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 29
School/Team: Colorado
Position: SF/PF
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs

While scouts may question how much of Tristan da Silva’s two-point scoring can translate, his shooting remains highly convincing. The 6-foot-9 forward is at 45.5% from three and 84.4% from the line.

Though he may struggle to blow by or separate around the basket, he uses off-ball movement to free himself up, and he remains a threat to make shots out of the post.

29. Boston Celtics: Adem Bona

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 16
School/Team: UCLA
Position: C
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs

Adem Bona’s scoring rate is up this year, mostly because he looks more polished and in command playing with his back to the basket.

Still, NBA teams will only be banking on his athleticism for play-finishing and shot-blocking. The question is whether he can create enough of a defensive impact in rim protection (at 6-foot-10 with fouling issues) to offset his lack of creating, shooting or passing.

30. Minnesota Timberwolves: Tidjane Salaun

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 31
School/Team: Cholet
Position: PF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs

Though Tidjane Salaun has been struggling in Pro A, at 18 years old with an exciting mix of size, athleticism and shotmaking, NBA teams will put more stock into flashes than consistency or overall production. And he delivered some serious flashes on Tuesday with five 3-point makes to score 24 points for Cholet.

He’s still more of an idea at this point, as he’s shooting just 29.5% in Pro A. But the thought of an explosive 6-foot-8 forward with a jumper may be enough to draw first-round interest from teams willing to gamble on upside.

31. New York Knicks (via Pistons): Tyler Smith

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 32
School/Team: G League Ignite
Position: SF/PF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs

For a big, Tyler Smith’s shooting has earned him mentions in the first-round conversation. He’s also cooled off lately, and the rest of his game is mostly physical tools-dependent.

The combination of shooting and finishing should be enough for him to find a spot in the league. Encouraging passing flashes should create more margin for error as well. But he’s not a high-level rim protector, and he doesn’t project as a big who’ll be putting the ball down often.

He’ll sell teams on his jump shot and stretch-4 potential. As long as he gets back on track from behind the arc, where he’s at 42.4% despite missing 12 of his last 14 attempts, Smith could be in play for teams in the 20s.

32. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Oso Ighodaro

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 34
School/Team: Marquette
Position: C
Age: 21, Senior
Size: 6-foot-11, 235 lbs

NBA teams interested in Oso Ighodaro will be drawn to his ability to give the lineup a unique look with his ball-handling and passing from the center position. He’s different for his ability to act as a 5 who offense can run through from the foul line or top of the key.

There doesn’t appear to be big scoring or defensive upside, but his push/touch shots around the key should be effective, and his size and mobility should still translate to off-ball shot-blocking.

33. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 37
School/Team: Miami
Position: SG
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

Scouts have started to pick up on Wooga Poplar’s improvement this year with his shooting and overall shotmaking versatility.

Though non-playmaking guards have limited margin for error, his explosiveness, pull-up game (12-for-25) and spot-up threes (11-for-21) suddenly point to some enticing scoring potential.

Consistent athletic defensive plays should continue to help scouts look past the limited creation.

34. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Kylan Boswell

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 23
School/Team: Arizona
Position: PG
Age: 18, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-2, 195 lbs

Kylan Boswell has showcased high-level connector skills with his 54.3% 3-point shooting and passing IQ.

He just doesn’t put much pressure on the rim, as he’s converted one driving layup and attempted six free throws in seven games.

However, NBA teams may still picture a reserve combo who can add value with his transition playmaking, shotmaking, decision-making and strength/low center of gravity defending ball-handlers.

35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Yves Missi

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 41
School/Team: Baylor
Position: C
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 7 feet, 235 lbs

Shooting 61.4% with a 19.8 rebounding percentage and 13.0 block percentage, Yves Missi has optimized his physical tools and athleticism around the basket.

There isn’t anything sexy or versatile about his game, but easy-basket targets and rim protectors like the Baylor player are still coveted by teams looking for frontcourt depth.

36. Boston Celtics (via Bucks): Izan Almansa

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 19
School/Team: G League Ignite
Position: PF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-10, 216 lbs

The draw to Izan Almansa stems from his instincts and hands for play-finishing off the ball and rebounding. Occasionally, he surprises with some open-floor ball-handling, drives past closeouts and threes.

The fear with Almansa is that he doesn’t have any go-to method for scoring, which we’re seeing in the G League. He’s not making jumpers, and a lack of face-up game and athleticism limit him.

Almansa is ultimately the type of big who’ll make plays without needing any called for him. And at 18 years old, he has time to improve his shot and slim down to become a bit quicker off the bounce and floor.

37. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): KJ Lewis

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 28
School/Team: Arizona
Position: SG
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 6-foot-4, 205 lbs

It may be premature to project KJ Lewis to the 2024 draft, but with Arizona No. 1 in the AP poll, the national spotlight seems bound to start illuminating his athleticism, defense, passing and impact.

Starting to make threes would really jump-start the hype, but he doesn’t project as a player who’ll be valued for scoring. So, while the lack of creation, shotmaking and production does suggest limited upside, it shouldn’t kill NBA interest.

With quickness, strength and energy, Lewis leads the Wildcats’ rotation in defensive box plus-minus while adding play-finishing and ball-moving.

38. New York Knicks (via Jazz): Trey Alexander

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 21
School/Team: Creighton
Position: SG
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs

Ironically, the area where Trey Alexander has struggled most this year is what NBA teams should feel most confident in. He’s been off so far from three, but last year’s season and his shooting versatility still point to promising shotmaking potential.

The increase in assist rate this year has been promising, as teams wanted to see more on-ball creation. There are just questions how effective he’ll be blowing by or separating against NBA defenders.

39. LA Clippers (via Raptors): Hunter Sallis

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 54
School/Team: Wake Forest
Position: SG
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs

Scouts should start to take Hunter Sallis seriously if he carries November’s flashes of creation, three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing into conference play.

They’ve seemingly come out of nowhere, given his limited role at Gonzaga the past two seasons. But he is now averaging 19.1 points, shooting 54.5% inside the arc and 44.2% from three.

40. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Kobe Johnson

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 48
School/Team: USC
Position: SG/SF
Age: 20, Junior
Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs

Kobe Johnson continues to give off NBA role-player vibes with his passing, defense and improved shotmaking. Showing he can make threes was a key entering the season, and so far he’s hitting a respectable 1.7 per game.

Regardless, athleticism, instincts and positional tools will remain the key draws to Johnson, who isn’t the highest level creator, scorer or shooter.

41. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Melvin Ajinca

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 40
School/Team: Saint-Quentin
Position: SG/SF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-7

Mevlin Ajinca just had his best game of the year on Monday, hitting four-of-five threes and bringing us back to the shotmaking clinic he put on at the U19 World Cup.

He hasn’t showcased too much outside of shooting this season, but when it’s paired with a strong 6’7″ frame at 19 years old, teams could picture a high floor that has room to rise.

42. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Alex Karaban

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 45
School/Team: Connecticut
Position: PF
Age: 21, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs

A recent cold streak has brought down Alex Karaban’s 3-point percentage, but the eye test sees a legit shooter and bonus versatility tied to his passing, floater touch and defensive foot speed.

Teams more interested in finding the right fit than upside could target him as a rotational stretch 4.

43. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Tyler Kolek

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 49
School/Team: Marquette
Position: PG
Age: 22, Junior
Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs

There isn’t any mystery of Tyler Kolek’s strengths, weaknesses or projected NBA role. He’s highly advanced in ball-screen situations with his pace and playmaking feel. And the ability to catch-and-shoot (10-of-18) creates some versatility for him to slide off the ball and stretch the floor.

On the other hand, he struggles to blow by without a screen, and he continues to struggle shooting off the dribble.

Kolek should still get looks from teams who could use an extra pick-and-roll ball-handler with some shotmaking appeal.

44. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aday Mara

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No 20
School/Team: UCLA
Position: C
Age: 18, Freshman
Size: 7-foot-3, 240 lbs

Aday Mara remains appealing for his size, touch around the key, post skill and shot-blocking tools. But coach Mick Cronin played him six minutes against Maquette, and he picked up three fouls in three minutes against Gonzaga.

Slow feet and an old-school game won’t help teams picture too much upside. He’s starting to look more like an appealing second-round pick who could give a team some more interior help, passing from the center position and a secondary scoring option in the mid-to-short range.

45. New Orleans Pelicans: Judah Mintz

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 43
School/Team: Syracuse
Position: PG/SG
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs

For the most part, the scouting report on Judah Mintz has remained the same, as he’s at his best attacking the rim or using ball screens and gravity to set up teammates.

But he’s coming off a career-best five made threes against Cornell, raising his mark to 46.7%. More volume shooting and shotmaking will make it easier for scouts to picture a pro.

Mintz still relies heavily on penetrating and drawing fouls (8.1 FTA per game), which may generate mixed reactions.

46. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Trentyn Flowers

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 44
School/Team: Adelaide 36ers
Position: SG
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

The NBL game has slowed down for Trentyn Flowers, as he’s now at 46.5% from the floor and 43.5% from three on the season.

The point guard experiment didn’t go well, but his shooting stroke is highly convincing, and that combination of 6-foot-8 size, shotmaking and athleticism doesn’t require high-level creation or decision-making for an off-ball scoring role.

47. Miami Heat: Aaron Bradshaw

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No 30
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: C
Age: 19, Freshman
Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs

Back from a foot injury, Aaron Bradshaw made his debut during Kentucky’s loss to UNC Wilmington. He wasn’t involved much in 13 minutes, and scouts will need time to fairly assess the big man’s rim protection, switchability, shooting and feel.

Ideally, he is able to showcase some of the shotmaking he’s added to his bag over the years while making Kentucky tougher defensively.

At first glance, though, he didn’t move super gracefully or quickly. And given the Wildcats’ guard-heavy rotation, it’s difficult to picture Bradshaw having much freedom to make plays outside the paint.

48. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Riley Kugel

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 38
School/Team: Florida
Position: SG
Age: 19, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-5, 207 lbs

After shooting just 36.2% through five games, Riley Kugel bounced back with 49 points on 8-for-12 shooting from three in losses to Wake Forest and Baylor.

Shotmaking consistency and decision-making will be key for his draft stock, as it’s unlikely he’ll offer much outside of scoring. But there can be some tempting potential tied to his slashing athleticism, self-creation and dribble-jumper game.

49. Indiana Pacers: Dillon Jones

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 46
School/Team: Weber State
Position: SG/SF
Age: 22, Junior
Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs

While some NBA teams may question Dillon Jones’ position and fit, one is bound to think out of the box and gamble on unique versatility.

Consistently a ball-handling threat, a plus passer, double-digit rebounder and excellent free-throw shooter, he has also started 6-of-15 from three.

The obvious question asks whether he’s effective enough to use on the ball, and if he’ll have the skill set to play off it on the wing.

50. Sacramento Kings: Reece Beekman

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 52
School/Team: Virginia
Position: PG
Age: 22, Senior
Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs

Moving up boards will be difficult for Reece Beekman without him showing any noticeable improvement as a shooter.

He could be a popular second-round target from teams that see a serviceable bench guard who’ll add value with defensive ball pressure and the ability to run offense and pass.

51. Boston Celtics (via Mavs): Zvonimir Ivisic

Stock Status: Down
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 35
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: PF/C
Age: 20, Freshman
Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs

Scouts and Kentucky are still waiting on the debut of Zvonimir Ivišić, who’s missed time due to sickness after eligibility issues initially caused a delay. The fact that he came out for pregame warmups over the weekend was seen as a positive sign.

There has been a buildup of anticipation after he averaged 11.4 points, 3.4 blocks and 1.6 threes for Croatia at the U20 European Championship. At 7-foot-2, his flashes of open-floor ball-handling, drives from the arc and shooting point to enticing upside.

Scouts just want a better feel for how realistic it is, and how legitimate his range, defensive mobility and feel for the game are.

52. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 57
School/Team: Purdue
Position: C
Age: 21, Senior
Size: 7-foot-4, 300lbs

Averaging 25.6 points and 11.7 boards over Purdue’s last seven games, Zach Edey has become dominant enough with his size, touch and footwork for teams to see a worthwhile second-round game.

Making 73.3% of his free-throws should be considered a key plus as well. And he’s blocking a career-best 10.5% of his opponents’ shots.

53. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Matthew Cleveland

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 42
School/Team: Miami
Position: SF
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs

Shooting will always be Matthew Cleveland’s key swing skill, given his lack of self-creation and playmaking. Now 8-for-17 from three, he’s off to the best start of his career while continuing to produce off athletic plays, instincts and mid-range shotmaking (70.5% 2PT).

54. Houston Rockets (via Thunder): Nikola Djurisic

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 50
School/Team: Mega MIS
Position: SG/SF
Age: 19
Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

Nikola Djurisic is still struggling with shooting consistency, but there aren’t any questions about his shotmaking capability. And he’s still providing impressive playmaking ability that helps separate him from other 6-foot-8 wings.

Though it would be difficult to draw first-round interest after another season shooting below 30.0% from three, a 19-year-old with potential shoot-dribble-pass connector skills should still seem like an appealing second-round gamble.

55. Orlando Magic: Harrison Ingram

Stock Status: Up
Previous Mock Draft Spot: Off the board
School/Team: North Carolina
Position: SF
Age: 21, Junior
Size: 6-foot-7, 235lbs

After two years underachieving at Stanford, Harrison Ingram is shooting 48.5% with North Carolina, making 2.1 threes at a 46.3% clip.

Versatility was always the main draw to the wide-framed Ingram, who could handle in pick-and-rolls and play-make with power forward size.

A consistent shot, which he hasn’t shown until now, could be enough to give him connector potential for the next level.

56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Dillon Mitchell

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 55
School/Team: Texas
Position: PF
Age: 20, Sophomore
Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

Dillon Mitchell still can’t shoot, but it’s worth thinking about his athleticism and activity for finishing, putbacks and defensive playmaking.

The flashes of mid-range or post shot-making can also be tempting, but any NBA role would strictly value his ability to make plays from off the ball.

57. Charlotte Hornets (vua Bucks): Pacome Dadiet

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: Off the board
School/Team: Ratiopharm Ulm
Position: SF
Age: 18
Size: 6-foot-6, 187lbs

Teams looking for late draft-and-stash or sleeper options will highlight Pacome Dadiet, a 6-foot-8 wing who’s combined to shoot 36.6% from three.

He’s been scouted at FIBA and Basketball Without Borders before this season, and despite his limited role in the German BBL and EuroCup, flashes of finishing, defensive movement and shotmaking potential could entice a team in the second round.

58. Denver Nuggets (via Timberwolves): Antonio Reeves

Stock Status: Steady
Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 56
School/Team: Kentucky
Position: SG
Age: 23, Senior
Size: 6-foot-6, 195 lbs

Averaging 18.3 points on 44.2% from three, Antonio Reeves could sell a team on his 6-foot-6 size, scoring instincts and shotmaking.

Being a 23-year-old non-passer shouldn’t matter too much in the 50s for a front office that sees a potential a guard with enough size and shooting ability to continue putting the ball in the hoop.

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Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.

Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.