Early season observations can be tough to stray from as the season progresses but staying diligent and recognizing the lulls that are bound to occur throughout an 82-game season can result in a nice profit. This game has one such example that is worth playing in Houston.
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Betting Odds
| Timberwolves | Rockets | |
| Spread | -3.5 | +3.5 |
| Moneyline | -158 | +136 |
| Total | o217.5 | u218 |
*lines accurate at the time of publication
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Best Bets
Rockets Team Total o107.5 (-110 FanDuel)
Minnesota has been one of the stories of the season on the back of their defense but that has come down to Earth in the last couple of weeks. According to Cleaning the Glass, the Timberwolves have only been the 11th-best defense over the last couple of weeks and have only gone 3-5 in that time as a result.
Houston has been improving offensively, as they are 10th in the last two weeks while boosting their pace up to ninth. Part of what has led to the offensive stability for the Rockets is their ability to get to the free throw line, where they are getting the fifth most attempts in the last two weeks and the Wolves are allowing the fourth most trips to the charity stripe.
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Easy points are a must, even against a Minnesota defense that is struggling by their own lofty standards and Houston should have those opportunities in transition as the Wolves are turning the ball over at the highest rate over the last two weeks and the Rockets are forcing turnovers at the sixth highest rate.
Houston has not gone under this team total since December 11th and has gone 7-3 to the over on their team total in the last 10 games. The reason for the team total over and not the game over is Minnesota has put up some putrid offensive performances as of late. The Wolves have gone under their team total for this game in five of their last six games and are 23rd in offense the last two weeks.
In a game that has the lowest total on the board, there is more chance for fireworks than the market is giving it credit for.
Risk 1.1 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit.
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