Thunder vs. Wizards Odds & Bets: Thunder Mystify the Wizards

The Eastern time zone has not been kind to the Thunder on this trip so far with back-to-back bad losses in Atlanta and Brooklyn but a floundering Wizards team may be just what they need. Even by Washington’s standards of this season, the struggles on their long road trip, followed by a long home stand are concerning.

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Thunder vs. Wizards Betting Odds

Thunder Wizards
Spread -10.5 +10.5
Moneyline -550 +425
Total o247 u247

*lines accurate at the time of publication

Thunder vs. Wizards Best Bets

Thunder -10.5 (-112, DraftKings)

The Thunder have been one of the stories of the season with how consistent their play has been considering the age on the roster. So after a couple of down games that can be chalked up to the schedule or a letdown, two days off and a trip to DC is a setup for a win even beyond this number.

In games against bottom-third net rating teams this season, according to Cleaning the Glass, the Thunder are 8-1 with the top net rating in the league at +23.8 in those games. They have the second-best offense and the best defense in those games. This season when presented with a lower-tier opponent, they take advantage. Add the rest advantage over a Wizards team that is on their third game in four nights and cleaning a double-digit number makes even more sense.

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In contrast, the Wizards have been even more of an abject disaster in setups like tonight. Against teams with a top 10 net rating according to Cleaning the Glass, the Wizards are 0-9 with a league-worst net rating of -22.7. The defense has been so horrendous in those games that their rating is 6.2 points worse than the second-worst team. That is the same difference as the 29th to the 21st.

Washington has the worst net rating in the league the last two weeks at -15.9 and the Thunder are up at fifth at +7.2. The Wizards are allowing the third most points to PGs in the last two weeks and have been a plus matchup all year long, so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the engine of the Oklahoma City offense should be able to get rolling. Centers have feasted on Washington as well, so Chet Holmgren should be able to get Daniel Gafford or Mike Muscala into space and attack. The Thunder’s offensive floor is so high in this game that the Wizards should not be able to keep this close.

Risk 1.12 units on DraftKings to win 1 unit.

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