Sunday's NBA Player Props: Picks for Johnson, Booker

Let's dive into our top NBA player props today, including expert picks for Keldon Johnson, Devin Booker & more.

This seven-game slate features a plethora of low-total games, but there are a few spots to target player props. All three props, including Devin Booker, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Keldon Johnson, are at plus-money at certain sportsbooks.

Let’s finish off Thanksgiving weekend with a bang! Find my NBA player prop picks below.

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NBA Player Props Today

Suns vs. Knicks

Devin Booker Over 6.5 Assists (+100)

Spread Knicks -3.5
Time | TV 6 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Line BetMGM

Kevin Durant is questionable to play tonight for the Suns, and this is an important injury worth monitoring. Bradley Beal has already been ruled out, but if Durant misses his second straight game, Devin Booker would see a huge bump in Usage Rate.

Serving as the Suns’ point guard this season, Booker is averaging a career-high 29.6 points and 8.6 assists per game, while shooting 51.3% from the field and 45.2% from behind the arc. Targeting Booker to capture seven or more assists, even if Durant plays, is very achievable as our prop model has Booker projected for 8.4 assists tonight.

The Suns are three-point road underdogs and implied for only 109 points as the Knicks play at the second-slowest Pace in the league. The Knicks rank fifth in Defensive Rating, but Booker’s increased Usage Rate will negate the difficult matchup. If Durant doesn’t play, Booker has a +5.62% Usage Rate with Durant and Beal off the floor this season.

BetMGM has Booker over 6.5 assists currently at +100, which are by far the best odds to target. Not only does Booker lead the Suns in assists, but he also leads them in potential assists with a career-high 13 per game. Booker will still force the issue with his pure jump shot, but he can also pair that by getting over 6.5 assists in this matchup.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+135)

Spread Minnesota -6.5
Time | TV 6 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Line DraftKings

With Jaden McDaniels and Jordan McLaughlin out again tonight, Nickeil Alexander-Walker will continue to start for the Timberwolves and is projected for around 26 minutes in this spot. Alexander-Walker displayed scoring upside in the playoffs last season but is mainly on the floor for his elite defense, which is what we are targeting tonight.

Last game in only 22 minutes against the Kings, Alexander-Walker recorded two steals and one block. He has two or more combined steals and blocks in four of his last seven games and is now getting the start at shooting guard.

These two teams are going in opposite directions as the Grizzlies have a 3-12 record and are still playing without Ja Morant and Marcus Smart in their backcourt. In their absence, the Grizzlies are starting second-year guard Jacob Gilyard and Desmond Bane in their backcourt. Bane has seen an uptick in his Usage Rate to 29.5%, which has resulted in a career-high 2.5 turnovers per game.

The Grizzlies have also allowed 8.1 steals and a league-high 7.0 blocks per game this season. Our prop projections have Alexander-Walker projected for 2.1 combined steals and blocks in this matchup. Getting this prop value at +135 on DraftKings feels like a steal, pun intended.

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Keldon Johnson Over 5.5 Rebounds (+104)

Spread Nuggets -11.5
Time | TV 9 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Line FanDuel

The last of our plus-money props is Keldon Johnson over 5.5 rebounds at +104 on FanDuel. It has been a tough month for the Spurs as they have lost 11 straight games. They have been more competitive recently but are double-digit road underdogs against the champion Denver Nuggets tonight.

It is helpful that the Spurs are playing at the fourth-fastest Pace in the league at 102.35. This game total has risen to 228.5 points as there will be plenty of opportunities for Johnson to capture rebounds. The Spurs are attempting 91.6 field goals per game, which is tied for the third-highest mark in the league this season.

Playing alongside No. 1 overall pick Victor Wembanyama has hurt Johnson’s scoring output but increased his peripherals as he is averaging a career-high 6.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game. Johnson has recorded nine or more rebounds in four of his last six games, and our prop model has him projected for 7.4 rebounds in this matchup.

Nikola Jokic leads the league with 13.5 rebounds per game, but overall the Nuggets are an average rebounding team this season. Johnson has displayed massive upside rebounding the ball, which makes his ladder rebounding props enticing. His 8+ rebounds at +330 and 10+ rebounds at +1100 on DraftKings are worth a sprinkle as well.