Saturday’s WNBA schedule features four games between 1 p.m. ET (Sun vs. Dream) and 9 p.m. ET (Sky vs. Storm).
We’re coming off a perfect 2-for-2 showing on Thursday’s player prop plays — it was much needed given the general level of unpredictability, so we’ll gladly take it. Let’s attempt to keep the momentum going with some props for today’s slate.
Here’s a look at how I’m betting three WNBA player props today.
WNBA Player Props Today
Las Vegas Aces vs.
Kayla McBride, Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+108)
|Time | TV||3 p.m. ET | ESPN|
I think Kayla McBride, inconsistent as her 3-point shot has been, is due for this over. She hasn’t gone over 1.5 made 3s in any of her last three games, but the last time she did was against this same Aces team, hitting 3-of-4 from deep on July 9.
That effort was also the sixth consecutive game where she drained at least two 3s in a game. While she’s just 2-for-16 in her last three games, that feels more like a cold spell than a worrisome trend, but again, the jumper has had peaks and valleys throughout her 2023 campaign.
That said, at a bare minimum, McBride still puts up the requisite shot volume from deep — she has hoisted fewer than four 3s in a game just once all season — and averages closer to six downtown attempts per game this season. At a juicy plus odds number, we’ll lean on her to break the recent slump against an overwhelming Aces team, where the Lynx could be desperate to find offensive answers early from anyone willing to shoot — a profile set for McBride to at least try to become the answer while flying off pin-down screens and shooting from her wing of choice.
Los Angeles Sparks vs.
Nneka Ogwumike, Over 19.5 Points (-115)
|Time | TV||8 p.m. ET | Twitter|
This has been a close call for Nneka Ogwumike for four consecutive contests, all of which she’s finished with exactly 19 or 20 points — hitting each tally twice.
Ogwumike has been in a nice rhythm getting to the rim lately. In her last five contests, which includes a 25-point effort at the start, she’s averaging 20.6 points per contest while shooting 56 percent from the field and a perfect 16-for-16 on free throws. In two games against the Dallas Wings toward the end of June, she scored 20 and 27, respectively, in consecutive efforts.
Bottom line: Ogwumike — averaging 19.8 points per contest — is sitting there at a near even number on DraftKings to hit 20 points, which she’s done in six of her last 10 showings and in 11 of 20 games this season. This is where she lives, and given her recent play, it’s a bet worth playing, especially against the Wings, who she’s had success against in both instances they’ve done battle this season.
Chicago Sky vs.
Jewell Loyd, Over 22.5 Points (-125)
|Time | TV||9 p.m. ET | NBA TV|
Apologies in advance for the most square over of the day, but really, Jewell Lloyd’s points are only set to 22.5 on FanDuel? Man … run that.
That should honestly be the end of the analysis, but here are the numbers you’re probably here for. Lloyd is generally listed at 24.5, so I’m all over this. The All-Star MVP only had 12 last time out against the Las Vegas Aces, and while that happens occasionally, it shouldn’t against the Chicago Sky, who Lloyd actually hasn’t played against yet.
Lloyd’s been over 23 (really 27+) in three of her last six, but fallen way short (14 and 12) in two of those games. Lloyd has exploded for 25 or more points in nine of 19 contests this season, and has reached 30-plus on six occasions. There’s a hint of volatility in her scoring prop given that she hasn’t broken 20 points in seven instances, including three times in her last seven games, which were performances of 14 or fewer points.
Still, you’re giving me Lloyd at over 22.5 against a Sky defense that isn’t great, I’m just taking that bet and riding with the league-leading scorer, who consistently gets her shot off against elite defenses, and provides the needed volume to hit overs.