Pacers vs Warriors: A Bet That You Don't Want To Wait On

Action Network contributor Michael Fiddle provides his betting picks and prediction for a Pacers vs. Warriors face off on Friday.

Pacers vs. Warriors Odds

Pacers Odds +5
Warriors Odds -5
Moneyline +162 / -194
Over/Under 240
Time Friday, 10 p.m. ET
TV NBA League Pass
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

Here’s everything you need to know about Pacers vs. Warriors on Friday, Mar. 22 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today’s game.

Pacers vs. Warriors tips off at 10:00 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass. Indiana is a 5-point road underdog (+5) in tonight’s contest, and the total is set at over/under 240 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Pacers vs. Warriors Prediction

Pick: Warriors -4.5 (-115)

Pacers Betting Outlook

The Pacers have struggled to find their footing in recent weeks as a result of some of the roster shake-ups from the trade deadline.

Acquiring Pascal Siakem was a great talent upgrade, but losing Buddy Hield’s quick trigger shooting and Bruce Brown’s fast decision-making has changed the identity of the Pacers. They also lost Bennedict Mathurin to a season ending injury and Tyrese Haliburton has been in a lengthy slump.

It has been tough sledding for the Pacers. They haven’t quite bottomed out, but they are a team I am looking to fade until they prove otherwise.

For the Pacers, this is the second leg of a four-game road trip. They traveled out West from Detroit after their most recent outing, but do not face a back to back set here.

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Warriors Betting Outlook

The Warriors recently returned Steph Curry from a short absence due to an ankle injury, and that has rightfully garnered most of the headlines surrounding the team.

But it should not be underestimated the importance of both Draymond Green and Chris Paul both being active as well.

Between those three players, there will always be a veteran and vocal leader on the court, possessions will be high value, and the Warriors will have a clear processing advantage. They also have home court and travel advantage, because they have been home for a few games.

The Warriors will look to win this one before going on the road, and the sense of urgency has been on display from this team trying to climb out of the 9-seed versus 10-seed play-in spot.

Pacers vs. Warriors Picks, Odds

Grabbing the Warriors at -4.5 is a key number because -5 is a key number in the NBA. It is the second-most common outcome, and the most common push number.

Obtaining the -4.5 ticket in a game likely to close at Warriors -5 or more carries blind value based on the outcome frequency of the number. I think this has strong value on the -4.5, small value on the -5, and would be a skip at -5.5.

Depending on the book, you may face the decision of playing -4.5 (-115) and -5 (-110). In this scenario, buying the line down to -4.5 at -115 would be worthwhile, in my opinion.

Pick: Warriors -4.5 (-115)