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NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (11/21)

Raju Byfield

November 21, 2023 6:33 PM

Welcome to Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for tonight’s NBA action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week.

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NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (11/21/23)

Season record: 37-20

Scottie Barnes (G/F – TOR): OVER 17.5 points

Scottie Barnes has been terrific this season for the Toronto Raptors, averaging 20.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game. The fact that he is still averaging 20 points per game despite hitting 20 or more just once in his last six games is an indication of how strong his play was to start the season. He’s already had a stretch with 20 or more points in six straight games, showing the type of consistency that can allow him to take the next step on the offensive end. Tonight, Scottie faces off against an Orlando Magic team that has been stingy to the small forward position, allowing just 18.82 points per game. The matchup is not great, but Scottie has eclipsed 17.5 points in eight of his last 12 games. Slap the More on Scottie for Tuesday night.

Joel Embiid (C – PHI): OVER 4.5 assists

Despite falling behind Luka Doncic for third in the MVP race, Embiid is having another stellar season. The Cameroonian big man is averaging 31.9 points, 11.2 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 0.9 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game. The assists are a new career and are something the line makers have been slow to adjust to. I understand why this number was not set at 5.5, but there is screaming value on the over at 4.5. Embiid is averaging 6.2 assists in the season and has failed to record five or more assists just three times in 13 games. He has recorded six or more in five straight. Cleveland allows 4.33 assists per game to the Center position. Jab the More on Joel for tonight’s game against the Cavaliers.

Tyrese Maxey (G – PHI): OVER 24.5 points

Maxey over on points is always a line that beckons, but with the Cleveland Cavaliers on tap it becomes too value-laden to ignore. Maxey has been sensational this season, averaging 26.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, 7.1 assists, 0.8 steals, and 0.8 blocks per game. He has made the most of the departure of James Harden, highlighting why GM Daryl Morey pulled the rug out from under Harden and declined to offer him a lucrative extension despite the promise the prior offseason. Maxey has hit 25 or more points in five of his last seven games and is facing a Cleveland Cavaliers team that gifts the most points per game to the point guard position at 27.4 per contest. Mash the More on Maxey for Tuesday night.

Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper, so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.