Cavaliers vs Suns: Two Bets for Wednesday

Action Network contributor Chris Baker provides his betting picks and prediction for the clash between the Cavaliers and Suns going down on ESPN on Wednesday.

Cavaliers vs. Suns Odds

Cavaliers Odds +6
Suns Odds -6
Moneyline +182 / -225
Over/Under 226.5
Time Wednesday, 10 p.m. ET
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

Here’s everything you need to know about Cavaliers vs. Suns on Wednesday, April 3 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today’s game.

The Cavaliers will travel to Phoenix to take on the Suns on Wednesday night.

Can the Cavs exact revenge and pull off the road upset, or will the Suns’ superstars stay hot and defend their home court? Let’s dive in and find out.

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Cavaliers vs. Suns Prediction

Pick: Cavs +5.5 | Over 226.5

Cavaliers Betting Outlook

The Suns have been in better form and are coming off an elite offensive performance against the Pelicans which saw them post an offensive rating of 133.3.

The offense has been the story all season, as the current starting five of Devin Booker, Bradley Beal, Grayson Allen, Kevin Durant and Jusuf Nurkic owns an elite offensive rating of 124.7 on the season.

Wednesday will be a difficult test for them. This Cavs defense ranks sixth in adjusted defensive rating on the year. Cleveland also ranks eighth in defensive rebound rate, so it should be able to contain Nurkic and this seven-ranked Suns offensive-rebounding attack.

Monitor the injury report for Cleveland, as Isaac Okoro and Dean Wade are both questionable. Okoro and Wade are two of the best wing defenders for the Cavs and would likely be asked to defend Devin Booker and Kevin Durant for most of the game. If those two remain out, it would be a huge blow to the Cavs’ defensive effort.

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Suns Betting Outlook

The Cavaliers should find success against this weak Suns defense here.

Plus, they’ll be getting back their leader in Donovan Mitchell after he sat out against the Jazz last night. The Cavs are averaging a +7.1 net rating with Mitchell on the floor.

The Suns defense ranks 15th in adjusted defensive rating despite playing the fifth-easiest schedule of opposing offenses.

They rank 17th in opponent 3-point attempt rate, while the Cavs offense ranks fifth in offensive 3-point attempt rate (39.4%). We saw the Cavs generate 50% of their shots from 3 in the most recent matchup between these two back on March 11, but they ultimately lost because they shot just 33.3% on these looks.

With Mitchell in the lineup this time around, their efficiency should increase. Even with a poor shooting game and without Mitchell, the Cavs scored about 116 points per 100 possessions. With Mitchell back in the lineup and some positive shooting regression, I see no reason why they can’t post closer to 125-130 points.

The Cavs were also without Max Strus and Evan Mobley in that first matchup. Overall, I’d expect a solid Cavaliers effort tonight as they look to build momentum and lock up the 3-seed heading into the postseason.

Cavaliers vs. Suns Picks, Odds

I lean toward the over and the Cavs catching 5.5 points here.

In my mind, Cleveland is the better team for the season, and it’s starting to get healthy. If Okoro and Wade suit up, I would like the Cavs down to +5. If those two are ruled out, I would pivot toward the total and a play on the over, as the Cavs’ perimeter defense will struggle with the Suns’ superstars.

Monitor the injury report, but Cavs +5.5 and over 226.5 both have value right now.

Pick: Cavs +5.5 | Over 226.5