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All-Time Draft Lottery Probabilities

POSTED: May 18, 2015 1:57 PM ET

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A look at the all-time Draft lottery probabilities from 1985-2015:

1985

Seven envelopes for seven teams

(Atlanta, Golden State, Indiana, L.A. Clippers, New York, Sacramento, Seattle)

> Lottery winner: New York

1986

Seven envelopes for seven teams

(Boston [from Seattle], Dallas [from Cleveland], Golden State, Indiana, New York, Philadelphia [from L.A.C.], Phoenix)

> Lottery winner: Philadelphia

1987

Seven envelopes for seven teams

(Cleveland, L.A. Clippers, New Jersey, New York, Phoenix, Sacramento, San Antonio)

> Lottery winner: San Antonio

1988

Seven envelopes for seven teams

(Golden State, Indiana, L.A. Clippers, L.A. Clippers [from Sacramento], New Jersey, Philadelphia, Phoenix)

> Lottery winner: L.A. Clippers

1989

Nine envelopes for nine teams

(Charlotte, Chicago [from N.J.], Dallas, Indiana, L.A. Clippers, Miami, Sacramento, San Antonio, Washington)

> Lottery winner: Sacramento

1990

1990 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Balls
New Jersey 17-65 11
Miami 18-64 10
Orlando 18-64 9
Charlotte 19-63 8
Minnesota 22-60 7
Sacramento 23-59 6
L.A. Clippers 30-52 5
Dallas (via Wash.) 31-51 4
Golden State 37-45 3
Seattle 41-41 2
Atlanta 41-41 1

> Lottery winner: New Jersey

1991

1991 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Balls
Denver 20-62 11
Miami 24-58 10
Sacramento 25-57 9
New Jersey 26-56 8
Charlotte 26-56 7
Dallas 28-54 6
Minnesota 29-53 5
Washington 30-52 4
L.A. Clippers 31-51 3
Orlando 31-51 2
Cleveland 33-49 1

> Lottery winner: Charlotte

1992

1992 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Balls
Minnesota 15-67 11
Orlando 21-61 10
Dallas 22-60 9
Denver 24-58 8
Washington 25-57 7
Sacramento 29-53 6
Milwaukee 31-51 5
Charlotte 31-51 4
Philadelphia 35-47 3
Atlanta 38-44 2
Houston 42-40 1

> Lottery winner: Orlando

1993

1993 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Balls
Dallas 11-71 11
Minnesota 19-63 10
Washington 22-60 9
Sacramento 25-57 8
Philadelphia 26-56 7
Milwaukee 28-54 6
Golden State 34-48 5
Denver 36-46 4
Miami 36-46 3
Detroit 40-42 2
Orlando 41-41 1

> Lottery winner: Orlando

1994

1994 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Dallas 13-69 250 25% 21.72% 18.12%
Detroit 20-62 164 16.4% 16.41% 16.13%
Minnesota 20-62 164 16.4% 16.41% 16.13%
Milwaukee 20-62 163 16.3% 13.34% 16.08%
Washington 24-58 94 9.4% 10.32% 11.46%
Philadelphia * 25-57 66 6.6% 7.47% 8.61%
L.A. Clippers 27-55 44 4.4% 5.09% 6.02%
Sacramento 28-54 27 2.7% 3.17% 3.83%
Boston 32-50 15 1.5% 1.78% 2.18%
L.A. Lakers 33-49 8 0.8% 0.96% 1.18%
Charlotte ** 41-41 5 0.5% 0.6% 0.74%
* Pick sent to Philadelphia or Seattle ** Pick sent to Seattle or Philadelphia

* Pick sent to Philadelphia or Seattle ** Pick sent to Seattle or Philadelphia

> Lottery winner: Milwaukee

1995

1995 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
L.A. Clippers 17-65 250 25% 21.68% 18.09%
Washington 21-61 183 18.3% 17.87% 16.99%
Minnesota 21-61 182 18.2% 17.8% 16.96%
Philadelphia 24-58 126 12.6% 13.31% 14.05%
Golden State 26-56 94 9.4% 10.31% 11.43%
Detroit 28-54 66 6.6% 7.46% 8.59%
New Jersey 30-52 44 4.4% 5.08% 6.01%
Miami 32-50 27 2.7% 3.17% 3.82%
Milwaukee 34-48 15 1.5% 1.78% 2.17%
Dallas 36-46 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.17%
Sacramento 39-43 5 0.5% 0.6% 0.74%

> Lottery winner: Golden State

1996

1996 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Vancouver (a) 15-67 250 0% 41.89% 22.48%
Philadelphia 18-64 200 33.73% 8.51% 13.87%
Toronto (a) 21-61 157 0% 26.31% 20.92%
Milwaukee 25-57 120 20.24% 6.47% 11.42%
Minnesota 26-57 77 12.98% 4.56% 8.35%
Dallas 26-57 76 12.82% 4.51% 8.26%
L.A. Clippers 29-53 44 7.42% 2.77% 5.19%
New Jersey 30-52 29 4.89% 1.87% 3.55%
Boston 33-49 18 3.04% 1.18% 2.25%
Denver 35-47 11 1.85% 0.73% 1.4%
Golden State 36-46 7 1.18% 0.47% 0.9%
Cleveland (b) 6 1.01% 0.40% 0.77%
Charlotte 41-41 5 0.84% 0.34% 0.64%
Note: a) Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto can not select first in the 1996, 1997 or 1998 NBA Drafts. In the event one of those teams wins the 1996 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second selection in the 1996 NBA Draft; b) Cleveland, which acquired the Bullets' first round draft pick in the trade for Mark Price in 1995, will participate instead of Washington, which had a 39 43 record.

Note: a) Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto can not select first in the 1996, 1997 or 1998 NBA Drafts. In the event one of those teams wins the 1996 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second selection in the 1996 NBA Draft; b) Cleveland, which acquired the Bullets' first round draft pick in the trade for Mark Price in 1995, will participate instead of Washington, which had a 39 43 record.

> Lottery winner: Philadelphia

1997

1997 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Vancouver 14-68 250 0% 45.96% 18.43%
Boston 15-67 200 27.51% 11.77% 16.85%
San Antonio 20-62 157 21.6% 10.24% 15.41%
Denver 21-61 120 16.51% 8.43% 13.20%
Philadelphia (1) 22-60 89 12.24% 6.59% 10.65%
Dallas (2) 24-58 64 8.8% 4.93% 8.14%
New Jersey 26-56 44 6.05% 3.49% 5.85%
Golden State 30-52 24 3.3% 1.95% 3.33%
Toronto (1) 30-52 23 0% 4.23% 4%
Milwaukee (3) 33-49 11 1.51% 0.91% 1.56%
Sacramento 34-48 7 0.96% 0.58% 1%
Indiana 39-43 6 0.83% 0.50% 0.86%
Cleveland 42-40 5 0.69% 0.42% 0.72%
1.-- Philadelphia has the right to "swap" picks with Toronto. Also, Toronto has the right to "swap" its pick (or Philadelphia's pick, if Philadelphia "swaps" picks with Toronto) with Dallas for Minnesota's First Round pick.
2.-- Pick traded to Boston
3.-- Milwaukee has the option to convey this pick to Phoenix.
Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto can not select first in the 1997 or 1998 NBA Drafts. In the event one of those teams qualifies for and wins the 1997 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second selection in the 1997 NBA Draft.

1.-- Philadelphia has the right to "swap" picks with Toronto. Also, Toronto has the right to "swap" its pick (or Philadelphia's pick, if Philadelphia "swaps" picks with Toronto) with Dallas for Minnesota's First Round pick.

2.-- Pick traded to Boston

3.-- Milwaukee has the option to convey this pick to Phoenix.

Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto can not select first in the 1997 or 1998 NBA Drafts. In the event one of those teams qualifies for and wins the 1997 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second selection in the 1997 NBA Draft.

> Lottery winner: San Antonio

1998

1998 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Denver 11-71 250 35.92% 12.38% 16.05%
Toronto 16-66 200 0% 36.57% 19.51%
L.A. Clippers 17-65 157 22.56% 10.09% 14.57%
Golden State (1) 19-63 105 15.09% 7.47% 11.48%
Vancouver (2) 19-63 104 0% 19.02% 14.74%
Dallas 20-62 64 9.2% 4.87% 7.79%
Sacramento 27-55 44 6.32% 3.44% 5.61%
Philadelphia 31-51 29 4.17% 2.32% 3.82%
Milwaukee (3) 36-46 15 2.16% 1.22% 2.03%
Boston 36-46 14 2.01% 1.14% 1.9%
Detroit (4) 37-45 7 1.01% 0.58% 0.96%
Orlando (5) 41-41 6 0.86% 0.49% 0.83%
Washington (6) 42-40 5 0.72% 0.41% 0.69%
1.-- This pick might be conveyed to Orlando or Utah.
2.-- Vancouver has the option to convey this pick to Detroit. If Vancouver conveys the pick to Detroit, then Detroit has the option to convey the pick to Philadelphia.
3.-- This pick might be conveyed to Denver.
4.-- Detroit might have the option to convey this pick to Philadelphia.
5.-- This pick might be conveyed to Golden State or Utah.
6.-- This pick will be conveyed to Golden State, Orlando or Utah.
Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto can not select first in the 1998 NBA Draft. In the event one of those teams wins the 1998 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second selection in the 1998 NBA Draft

1.-- This pick might be conveyed to Orlando or Utah.

2.-- Vancouver has the option to convey this pick to Detroit. If Vancouver conveys the pick to Detroit, then Detroit has the option to convey the pick to Philadelphia.

3.-- This pick might be conveyed to Denver.

4.-- Detroit might have the option to convey this pick to Philadelphia.

5.-- This pick might be conveyed to Golden State or Utah.

6.-- This pick will be conveyed to Golden State, Orlando or Utah.

Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto can not select first in the 1998 NBA Draft. In the event one of those teams wins the 1998 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second selection in the 1998 NBA Draft

> Lottery winner: L.A. Clippers

1999

1999 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Vancouver (1) 8-42 250 25.0% 21.55% 17.84%
L.A. Clippers 9-41 200 20% 18.91% 17.22%
Chicago 13-37 157 15.7% 15.84% 15.7%
Toronto (2) 14-36 120 12% 12.71% 13.43%
Minnesota (3) 16-34 89 8.9% 9.77% 10.82%
Washington 18-32 64 6.4% 7.21% 8.26%
Boston (4) 19-31 37 3.7% 4.28% 5.06%
Phoenix (5) 19-31 36 3.6% 4.17% 4.93%
Golden State 21-29 18 1.8% 2.12% 2.56%
Cleveland 22-28 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.58%
Toronto 23-27 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.02%
Seattle 25-25 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Charlotte 26-24 5 0.5% 0.6% 0.73%
1.-- This pick had the option to be conveyed to Detroit.
2.--From Denver.
3.--From New Jersey.
4. -- Cleveland had the option to receive this pick unless it is among the top three.
5.-- From Dallas.

1.-- This pick had the option to be conveyed to Detroit.

2.--From Denver.

3.--From New Jersey.

4. -- Cleveland had the option to receive this pick unless it is among the top three.

5.-- From Dallas.

> Lottery winner: Chicago

2000

2000 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
L.A. Clippers 15-67 250 25.0% 21.55% 17.84%
Chicago 17-65 200 20% 18.91% 17.22%
Golden State (1) 19-63 157 15.7% 15.84% 15.70%
Vancouver (2) 22-60 120 12% 12.71% 13.43%
Atlanta 28-54 89 8.9% 9.77% 10.82%
Washington (3) 29-53 64 6.4% 7.21% 8.26%
New Jersey 31-52 44 4.4% 5.06% 5.93%
Cleveland 32-50 29 2.9% 3.38% 4.03%
Houston (4) 34-48 18 1.8% 2.12% 2.56%
Denver (1) 35-47 9 0.9% 1.07% 1.30%
Boston 35-47 9 0.9% 1.07% 1.30%
Dallas 40-42 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Orlando (5) 41-41 5 0.5% 0.6% 0.73%
1.-- This pick may subsequently be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver
2.-- This pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Houston
3.-- This pick may be conveyed to Chicago via Golden State
4.-- This pick may be conveyed to Vancouver or Detroit
5.-- This pick may be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver
6.-- This pick may be conveyed to Houston or to Vancouver
7.-- This pick may be conveyed to Orlando or to Houston
8. -- This pick may be conveyed to Golden State

1.-- This pick may subsequently be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver

2.-- This pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Houston

3.-- This pick may be conveyed to Chicago via Golden State

4.-- This pick may be conveyed to Vancouver or Detroit

5.-- This pick may be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver

6.-- This pick may be conveyed to Houston or to Vancouver

7.-- This pick may be conveyed to Orlando or to Houston

8. -- This pick may be conveyed to Golden State

> Lottery winner: New Jersey

2001

2001 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Chicago 15-67 250 25.0% 21.55% 17.85%
Golden State 17-65 200 20% 18.91% 17.22%
Washington 19-63 157 15.7% 15.84% 15.70%
Vancouver (1) 23-59 120 12% 12.71% 13.43%
Atlanta 25-57 89 8.9% 9.77% 10.82%
New Jersey 26-56 64 6.4% 7.21% 8.26%
Cleveland 30-52 44 4.4% 5.06% 5.93%
L.A. Clippers 31-51 29 2.9% 3.38% 4.03%
Detroit (2) 32-50 18 1.8% 2.12% 2.56%
Boston 36-46 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.58%
Denver (3) 40-42 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.02%
Seattle 44-38 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston (4) 45-37 5 0.6% 0.6% 0.73%
1.-- This pick may be conveyed to Detroit, or to Houston via Detroit and Philadelphia
2.--This pick may be conveyed to Houston via Philadelphia, or to Vancouver via Philadelphia and Houston
3.--This pick may be conveyed to Boston or Utah
4.--This pick may be conveyed to Vancouver, or to Detroit via Vancouver

1.-- This pick may be conveyed to Detroit, or to Houston via Detroit and Philadelphia

2.--This pick may be conveyed to Houston via Philadelphia, or to Vancouver via Philadelphia and Houston

3.--This pick may be conveyed to Boston or Utah

4.--This pick may be conveyed to Vancouver, or to Detroit via Vancouver

> Lottery winner: Washginton

2002

2002 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Golden State 21-61 225 22.5% 20.3% 17.63%
Chicago 21-61 225 22.5% 20.3% 17.63%
Memphis (1) 23-59 157 15.7% 15.8% 15.66%
Denver 27-55 120 12% 12.68% 13.39%
Houston 28-54 89 8.9% 9.75% 10.78%
Cleveland 29-53 64 6.4% 7.20% 8.23%
New York 30-52 44 4.4% 5.05% 5.91%
Atlanta (2) 33-49 29 2.9% 3.37% 4.02%
Phoenix 36-46 15 1.5% 1.77% 2.14%
Miami 36-46 14 1.4% 1.65% 2%
Washington 37-45 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
L.A. Clippers 39-43 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Milwaukee 41-41 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.73%
1.-- This pick may be conveyed to Detroit, or to Atlanta via Detroit, Philadelphia and Houston
2.-- This pick may be conveyed to L.A. Clippers

1.-- This pick may be conveyed to Detroit, or to Atlanta via Detroit, Philadelphia and Houston

2.-- This pick may be conveyed to L.A. Clippers

> Lottery winner: Houston

2003

2003 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Denver 17-65 225 22.5% 20.3% 17.63%
Cleveland 17-65 225 22.5% 20.3% 17.63%
Toronto 24-58 157 15.7% 15.8% 15.66%
Miami 25-57 120 12% 12.68% 13.39%
L.A. Clippers 27-55 89 8.9% 9.75% 10.78%
Memphis (1) 28-54 64 6.4% 7.2% 8.23%
Chicago 30-52 44 4.4% 5.05% 5.91%
Atlanta (2) 35-47 29 2.9% 3.37% 4.02%
New York 37-45 15 1.5% 1.77% 2.14%
Washington 37-45 14 1.4% 1.65% 2%
Golden State 38-44 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Seattle 40-42 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston 43-39 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.73%
1.-- Pick may be conveyed to Detroit
2. -- Pick may be conveyed to Milwaukee

1.-- Pick may be conveyed to Detroit

2. -- Pick may be conveyed to Milwaukee

> Lottery winner: Cleveland

2004

2004 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Orlando 21-61 250 25.0% 21.53% 17.81%
Chicago 23-59 200 20% 18.89% 17.19%
Washington 25-57 257 15.7% 15.83% 15.67%
Charlotte ---- 0 0% 0% 0%
L.A. Clippers 28-54 105 10.5% 11.31% 12.22%
Atlanta 28-54 104 10.4% 11.22% 12.14%
Phoenix 29-53 64 6.4% 7.21% 8.24%
Toronto 33-49 37 3.7% 4.28% 5.05%
Philadelphia 33-49 36 3.6% 4.17% 4.93%
Cleveland 35-47 18 1.8% 2.12% 2.55%
Golden State 37-45 9 0.9% 1.07% 1.3%
Seattle 37-45 9 0.9% 1.07% 1.3%
Portland 41-41 6 0.71% 0.71% 0.87%
Utah 42-40 5 0.59% 0.59% 0.73%

> Lottery winner: Orlando

2005

2005 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Atlanta 13-69 250 25.0% 21.46% 17.74%
New Orleans 18-64 178 17.8% 17.36% 16.46%
Charlotte 18-64 177 17.7% 17.29% 16.42%
Utah 26-56 119 11.9% 12.58% 13.25%
Portland 27-55 88 8.8% 9.64% 10.64%
Milwaukee 30-52 63 6.3% 7.09% 8.09%
Toronto 33-49 36 3.6% 4.16% 4.90%
New York 33-49 35 3.5% 4.04% 4.77%
Golden State 34-48 14 1.4% 1.65% 1.99%
L.A. Lakers 34-48 14 1.4% 1.65% 1.99%
Orlando 36-46 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
L.A. Clippers 37-45 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Charlotte (1) 18-64 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Minnesota 44-38 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.72%
1.-- From Cleveland.

1.-- From Cleveland.

> Lottery winner: Milwaukee

2006

2006 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Portland 21-61 250 25.0% 21.48% 17.72%
Chicago (1) 23-59 199 19.9% 18.78% 17.07%
Charlotte 26-56 138 13.8% 14.25% 14.54%
Atlanta 26-56 137 13.7% 14.16% 14.48%
Toronto 27-55 88 8.8% 9.64% 10.65%
Minnesota 33-49 53 5.3% 6.02% 6.96%
Boston 33-49 53 5.3% 6.02% 6.96%
Houston 34-48 23 2.3% 2.69% 3.21%
Golden State 34-48 22 2.2% 2.57% 3.08%
Seattle 35-47 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.57%
Orlando 36-46 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
New Orleans/OKC 38-44 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Philadelphia 38-44 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Utah 41-41 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.72%
1.-- From New York.

1.-- From New York.

> Lottery winner: Toronto

2007

2007 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Memphis 22-60 250 25.0% 21.5% 17.72%
Boston 24-58 199 19.9% 18.8% 17.11%
Milwaukee 28-54 156 15.6% 15.73% 15.57%
Phoenix (1) 30-52 119 11.9% 12.59% 13.29%
Seattle 31-51 88 8.8% 9.65% 10.69%
Portland 32-50 53 5.3% 6.03% 6.98%
Minnesota 32-50 53 5.3% 6.03% 6.98%
Charlotte 33-49 19 1.9% 2.23% 2.68%
Chicago (2) 33-49 19 1.9% 2.23% 2.68%
Sacramento 33-49 18 1.8% 2.12% 2.55%
Indiana 35-47 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
Philadelphia 35-47 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
New Orleans/OKC 39-43 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
L.A. Clippers 40-42 5 0.6 0.59% 0.72%
1. -- Pick from Atlanta
2. -- Pick from New York

1. -- Pick from Atlanta

2. -- Pick from New York

> Lottery winner: Portland

2008

2008 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Miami 15-67 250 25.0% 21.47% 17.72%
Seattle 20-62 199 19.9% 18.78% 17.07%
Minnesota 22-60 138 13.8% 14.24% 14.54%
Memphis 22-60 137 13.7% 14.16% 14.48%
New York 23-59 76 7.6% 8.44% 9.47%
L.A. Clippers 23-59 75 7.5% 8.33% 9.37%
Milwaukee 23-59 43 4.3% 4.93% 5.77%
Charlotte 26-56 28 2.8% 3.26% 3.87%
Chicago 32-50 17 1.7% 2% 2.4%
New Jersey 34-48 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.57%
Indiana 36-46 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
Sacramento 38-44 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Portland 41-41 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Golden State 48-34 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.72%

> Lottery winner: Chicago

2009

2009 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Sacramento 17-65 250 25.0% 21.46% 17.72%
Washington 19-63 178 17.8% 17.36% 16.45%
L.A. Clippers 23-59 177 17.7% 17.29% 16.41%
Oklahoma City 24-58 119 11.9% 12.57% 13.24%
Minnesota 24-58 76 7.6% 8.43% 9.46%
Memphis 24-58 75 7.5% 8.33% 9.36%
Golden State 29-53 43 4.3% 4.93% 5.76%
New York 32-50 28 2.8% 3.26% 3.87%
Toronto 33-49 17 1.7% 2% 2.4%
Milwaukee 34-48 10 1.0% 1.18% 1.43%
New Jersey 34-48 9 0.9% 1.06% 1.29%
Charlotte 35-47 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Indiana 36-46 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Phoenix 46-36 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.72%

> Lottery winner: L.A. Clippers

2010

2010 lotto probs
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
New Jersey 12-70 250 25.0% 21.49% 17.73%
Minnesota 15-67 199 19.9% 18.79% 17.08%
Sacramento 25-57 156 15.6% 15.72% 15.5%
Golden State 26-56 104 10.4% 11.2% 12.08%
Washington 26-56 103 10.3% 11.1% 12.0%
Philadelphia 27-55 53 5.3% 6.03% 6.97%
Detroit 27-55 53 5.3% 6.03% 6.97%
L.A. Clippers 29-53 23 2.3% 2.69% 3.22%
Utah (1) 29-53 22 2.2% 2.57% 3.08%
Indiana 32-50 11 1.10% 1.3% 1.57%
New Orleans 37-45 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
Memphis 40-42 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Toronto 40-42 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston 42-40 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.72%
1. -- Pick from New York.

1. -- Pick from New York.

> Lottery winner: Washington

2011

2011 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Minnesota 17-65 250 25.0% 21.50% 17.76%
Cleveland 19-63 199 19.9% 18.8% 17.11%
Toronto 22-60 156 15.6% 15.73% 15.57%
Washington 23-59 119 11.9% 12.59% 13.29%
Sacramento 24-58 76 7.6% 8.44% 9.49%
Utah 24-58 75 7.5% 8.34% 9.39%
Detroit 30-52 43 4.3% 4.94% 5.78%
Cleveland 32-50 28 2.8% 3.26% 3.88%
Charlotte 34-48 17 1.7% 2.0% 2.41%
Milwaukee 35-47 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.58%
Golden State 36-46 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
Utah 39-43 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Phoenix 40-42 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston 43-39 5 0.5% 0.59% 0.72%

> Lottery winner: Cleveland

2012

2012 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Charlotte 7-59 250 25.0% 21.47% 17.72%
Washington 20-46 199 13.8% 14.24% 14.53%
Cleveland 21-45 138 13.8% 14.24% 14.53%
New Orleans 21-45 137 13.7% 14.16% 14.47%
Sacramento 22-44 76 7.6% 8.44% 9.46%
Brooklyn 22-44 75 7.5% 8.33% 9.36%
Golden State 23-43 36 3.6% 4.16% 4.9%
Toronto 23-43 35 3.5% 4.05% 4.77%
Detroit 25-41 17 1.7% 2.0% 2.4%
New Orleans (1) 26-40 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.57%
Portland 28-48 8 0.8% 0.95% 1.15%
Milwaukee 31-35 7 0.7% 0.83% 1.01%
Phoenix 33-33 6 0.6% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston 34-32 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
1. -- This pick is from Minnesota.

1. -- This pick is from Minnesota.

> Lottery winner: New Orleans

2013

2013 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Orlando 20-62 250 25.0% 21.51% 17.77%
Charlotte 21-61 199 19.9% 18.81% 17.12%
Cleveland 24-58 156 15.60% 15.74% 15.58%
Phoenix 25-57 119 11.90% 12.60% 13.30%
New Orleans 27-55 88 8.80% 9.65% 10.68%
Sacramento 28-54 63 6.30% 7.10% 8.11%
Detroit 29-53 36 3.60% 4.16% 4.91%
Washington 29-53 35 3.50% 4.05% 4.79%
Minnesota 31-51 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.41%
Portland 33-49 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.58%
Philadelphia 34-48 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Toronto 34-48 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Dallas 41-41 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Utah 43-39 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%

> Lottery winner: Cleveland

2014

2014 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Milwaukee 15-67 250 25.0% 21.5% 17.7%
Philadelphia 19-63 199 19.9% 18.8% 17.1%
Orlando 23-59 156 15.6% 15.7% 15.6%
Utah 25-57 104 10.4% 11.2% 12.1%
Boston 25-57 103 10.3% 11.1% 12.0%
L.A. Lakers 27-55 63 6.3% 7.1% 8.1%
Sacramento 28-54 43 4.3% 4.9% 5.8%
Detroit 29-53 28 2.8% 3.3% 3.9%
Cleveland 33-49 17 1.7% 2.0% 2.4%
New Orleans 34-48 11 1.1% 1.3% 1.6%
Denver 36-46 8 0.8% 0.9% 1.2%
New York (1) 37-45 7 0.7% 0.8% 1.0%
Minnesota 40-42 6 0.6% 0.7% 0.9%
Phoenix 48-34 5 0.5% 0.6% 0.7%
1. -- This pick may be conveyed to Denver or Orlando via Denver

1. -- This pick may be conveyed to Denver or Orlando via Denver

> Lottery winner: Cleveland

2015

2015 Draft Lottery Probablities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Minnesota 16-66 250 25.0% 21.51% 17.77%
New York 17-65 199 19.90% 18.81% 17.12%
Philadelphia 18-64 156 15.60% 15.74% 15.59%
L.A. Lakers (1) 21-61 119 11.90% 12.60% 13.30%
Orlando 25-57 88 8.80% 9.66% 10.68%
Sacramento 29-53 63 6.30% 7.10% 8.12%
Denver 20-52 43 4.30% 4.94% 5.79%
Detroit 32-50 28 2.88% 3.26% 3.89%
Charlotte 33-49 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.41%
Miami (2) 37-45 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.58%
Indiana 38-44 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Utah 38-44 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Phoenix 39-43 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Oklahoma City 45-37 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.73%
1. -- This pick may be conveyed to Philadelphia via Phoenix.
2. -- This pick may be conveyed to Philadelphia via Cleveland.

1. -- This pick may be conveyed to Philadelphia via Phoenix.

2. -- This pick may be conveyed to Philadelphia via Cleveland.