Let’s begin with a record update following Tuesday’s games:
- WNBA season: 38-26
- WNBA playoffs: 6-3
- Since August 8: 24-9
On Tuesday, Betnijah Laney easily exceeded her 14.5 points prop at +100 while Arike Ogunbowale was one 3-pointer away from going over 2.5 made 3s, which was priced at -128.
Tonight there’s just one game on the slate as the Connecticut Sun face the Minnesota Lynx in Game 3.
The Lynx forced a loser-goes-home match in Game 3, which will be on their home floor against the Sun.
The Sun have largely been the third-best team in the league behind the season-long favorites, the Aces and Liberty, but they face elimination with a loss on Wednesday.
Here are two player props I like for Sun vs. Lynx Game 3.
WNBA Player Props & Picks
Alyssa Thomas Over 16.5 Points -120 (FanDuel)
|Time | TV||8 p.m. ET | ESPN|
Alyssa Thomas should score at least 17 points, and potentially much more.
Last time out, the once-darkhorse-MVP candidate ended the night with 26 points, eight rebounds and six assists. She scored those 26 points efficiently by making 10 of her 18 field goals and draining six of seven free throws.
Thomas has gone over 16.5 points just twice in her last seven games, but only two of those seven games were in this playoff series. In Game 1, she had a near miss with 15 points, and while she logged 36 minutes, that was a 30-point victory.
I’m anticipating a close Game 3, and consequently, Thomas should hit this over.
Additionally, if you find a line for Thomas’ points + assists, possibly on bet365, I like the over as this will probably land in that 23.5 to 24.5 range.
Kayla McBride Over 2.5 Made 3s -114 (FanDuel)
We all have our favorites, and Kayla McBride is one of mine.
In Game 2, we bet her to score 15 or more points, and she nearly doubled her point total with 28 points. The effort included six made 3s on nine attempts as she was scorching hot from beyond the arc.
I don’t expect her to duplicate that performance, but I do like her at -114 odds to make it rain from 3 once again.
McBride has made three or more triples from deep in an even six of her last 12 contests. Her misses in this stretch, and throughout the season, have generally been at two makes. In fact, she’s made at least two threes in 16 of her last 18 dating back nearly two months to July 28.
Additionally, the volume is and should continue to be there for this home Game 3 with the Lynx’s season on the line.
McBride has taken 20 3s in the first two games of this series, making eight, which is good for 40%. She’s jacked up eight 3s per game in her last 12 efforts, falling short of eight attempts in just four of those games.
So with this bet, I’m basically wagering on a 3-for-8 effort from deep, which I’ll take in this scenario, though McBride could take 10+ attempts, which she has hit five times in her last 12 games.