Editor’s Note: The Milwaukee Bucks have ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo for tonight’s game against the Oklahoma City Thunder. For real-time injury updates, check out our FantasyLabs NBA news page.
After a one-day break, we’re back with another huge NBA slate with 13 games.
With another slate this large, make sure to keep an eye out for news as it is constantly changing and we may be able to take advantage in the prop markets. We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks.
Below, I have laid out two big player props to target on this slate featuring Giannis Antetokounmpo and Myles Turner, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.
Let’s dive in!
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NBA Player Props & Picks
Myles Turner, Over 16.5 Points (+105)
| Pacers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets -5.5 |
| Time | TV | 7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass |
| Best Line | PointsBet |
Winners of four of their last five games, the Indiana Pacers will host the Denver Nuggets in hopes to continue their recent hot streak. They are 5.5-point home underdogs, but this total is a slate-high 235.5 points. There will be plenty of opportunities for Myles Turner to get over this points prop tonight.
Turner is coming off a season-high 37 minutes last game. Turner finished with 37 points and 12 rebounds while shooting 61.1% from the field, 57.1% from behind the arc, and a perfect 11-for-11 from the charity stripe. If he is going to play 35+ minutes a night, Turner is going to be a focal point in this offense.
Playing against Nuggets superstar Nikola Jokic may get Turner into foul trouble, but if he can stay on the floor, he will have many field goal attempts to get over this prop line. He is already averaging 3.4 blocks per game, so the Pacers need Turner on the floor as much as possible for his defensive abilities.
In three of his five games played this season, Turner has over a 27% usage rate. The Pacers have some young promising players who look great, but as long as Turner is on the floor he will get many offensive looks. He even made four 3-pointers last game and he may need to do that again tonight to bring Jokic out of the paint.
Bobby Portis Over 14.5 Rebounds (-105)
| Thunder vs. Bucks | Bucks -7 |
| Time | TV | 8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
The Bucks lost their first game on Monday and now find themselves playing without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday, and Khris Middleton tonight against the Thunder. Despite the lack of talent, the Bucks are still two-point road favorites as this total has dropped significantly to 212.5 points.
Bobby Portis will be our main focus as he will move into the starting lineup and be one of the focal points. It is a great spot to target Portis’ rebound prop even though it may have sticker-shock at 14.5 rebounds. The Thunder rank 29th in Rebounding Percentage (47.6), entering tonight’s games. In their matchup two games ago, Portis went for a career-high 21 rebounds while only playing 29 minutes. Expect a minutes increase without the Bucks stars and an uptick in production.
It may be tough for Portis is reach 20+ rebounds again, but this Thunder frontcourt is very small and he has been a rebounding machine this season. Through 10 games, Portis is averaging a career-high 11.1 rebounds while only playing 25.5 minutes per game.
The Thunder are averaging a league-high 95.5 field goal attempts per game while shooting just 44.1% from the field and 29.3% from behind the arc. There will be plenty of opportunity for Portis to get over this high rebound prop line tonight.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Over 46.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)
| Thunder vs. Bucks | Bucks -7 |
| Time | TV | 8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
Giannis has been ruled out, so this player prop is no longer on the board.
The Bucks finally lost their first game of the season against the Hawks on Monday. A 9-1 record through their first 10 games isn’t all that bad when they have played every game without Khris Middleton. There is a good chance Jrue Holiday won’t play tonight so we all know what that mean — Giannis Antetokounmpo time.
Despite Middleton and Holiday likely out, the Bucks are still seven-point road favorites against the Thunder tonight all thanks to Giannis Antetokounmpo. Through nine games, Giannis ranks third in points, third in rebounds, second in usage rate, and first in points in the paint this season. He is a freight train.
The Thunder rank sixth in Pace this season as Giannis leads all players in transition points per game. This is the perfect storm for another huge ceiling game from Giannis. Picking a prop to target was a little difficult, but his point and rebounds prop stood out the most as the Thunder also rank 29th in Rebounding Percentage this season.
Expect a heavy dose of Giannis without Middleton and Holiday on the floor. The Thunder have no one talented enough or with the size to stop Giannis in the open floor and on the glass. Take this over with confidence tonight.