Early in the season, the balance of what has been seen and trusting preseason priors is a balance until a sufficient sample size has been reached. The plays today strike the balance of looking back at least year for the more predictive style of play and motivation while accounting for what is new this season in terms of personnel.
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Warriors vs. Kings Betting Odds
*Lines accurate at time of publication
Warriors vs. Kings Best Bets
Kings -2.5 vs. Warriors (-110, FanDuel)
A home opener for the Kings against the team that eliminated them from the playoffs, with the owner who modeled his organization after and the coach who came from that staff. If there ever was a revenge spot, this is it.
The lack of defensive mobility on the perimeter from the Warriors should be able to be exploited by the speed of the Kings. De’Aaron Fox can get by all the guards of Golden State and work his two-man game with Domantas Sabonis. The Suns were an opponent that was more based on isolation scoring, where Sacramento does have more off-ball movement and the lack of communication without Draymond Green should show its face.
While the turnovers were down with Chris Paul in the starting lineup, the ability to keep pace with a motivated Kings team is largely the question. After a big-time game against another perceived Western conference contender in Phoenix, a trip to Sacramento does not hold the same weight as it does for the home team. That should show in the focus and style of play tonight.
Risk: 1.1 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit.
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Knicks vs. Hawks Betting Odds
Knicks vs. Hawks Best Bets
Knicks-Hawks Over 229.5 (-112, FanDuel)
It was not an ideal start to the season for either team with the Knicks getting the first crack of the Boston buzzsaw and the Hawks falling in Charlotte. With that disappointment comes a bounce-back opportunity for two teams whose reputation leads to this total being suppressed.
The Knicks have the reputation of being a defensive team but they were second in offensive rating last season per Cleaning the Glass and only 19th defensively. The Hawks once Quin Snyder took over were a similarly offensive-leaning team, fifth in offense and 22nd on defense.
New York shot 37.1% from the field in the opener, including a combined 19-63 from Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle, and RJ Barrett. Similarly on the Atlanta side, Trae Young and Dejounte Murray combined to go 7-33. With both teams not turning the ball over and better shooting likely on the horizon, each possession should be worth more and leading to a loose home opener in Atlanta. The Knicks should be able to do their part with Brunson getting to the basket with less resistance and if Trae Young hits even a few shots, the opportunities that creates for others should allow for a game that goes over this total.
Risk: 1.09 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit.
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