The playoffs are heating up, and let’s make them count. Below are my favorite props for today. Follow me on Twitter (@ProfitHunterr) for more plays throughout the day and ahead of tip-off.
Steven Adams UNDER 10.5 REBOUNDS (-105)
Steven Adams has been one of the best rebounders in the NBA in the last decade. It’s usually tough to play an under on a player like him, who can get four rebounds on one possession. But after watching the first game between Grizzlies and Timberwolves closely, I believe he will have a lesser role in this series.
It’s hard for him to slow down Karl-Anthony Towns. Brandon Clarke did a better job and will see more minutes tonight. In Game 1, Adams finished with zero points, three rebounds, and four fouls in 24 minutes. Adams is averaging 10 RPG for the season, 8.6 in his last five games, but only five RPG vs. Minnesota this year. In four games against them, he had three, two, 12, and three rebounds, respectively. While 12 rebounds are always possible with Adams, I like our chances for him to stay under double digits in what could be a limited appearance.
Jonas Valanciunas OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS (-130)
Another rebound prop; I concede that they are not my favorite, but I do have a friendly love-hate relationship with Jonas Valanciunas. Currently, I love this spot for him. The Pelicans showed a good fight in the first game, but even if they aren’t competitive, Valanciunas will see high minutes as he has a great history against Deandre Ayton.
He had 25 rebounds in the first game and was the first player since 1975 to have 12 offensive and 12 defensive rebounds in a playoff game. He missed so many shots around the rim and got a lot of his own misses, so I don’t expect another 20 rebound game. But I still like him to own the glass. He covered against the Suns in four of five games this year, and the only one missing, he had 12. Valanciunas is averaging 16.8 RPG in these five games, and he played 30+ minutes in all of them. This year he is averaging 13 RPG and almost 15 RPG over his last 10 when playing 30 minutes or more.
P.J. Tucker OVER 0.5 3PTM / Miami ML (-116)
P.J. Tucker was one of the most efficient 3-Point shooters in the regular season. Despite that he isn’t shooting in high volume, I think he will easily have at least three-point attempts, in which case he should drain at least one. He is shooting threes at 41% this year and had at least one in three of four games against the Hawks.
I am adding Miami ML as I have no doubt that they will go up 2-0 in this series. Despite others not being high on them for a No. 1 seed, Miami remains underrated, and they are real contenders. Game 1 was a 115-91 blowout win where Tucker had four three-pointers made on four attempts in only 24 minutes.
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