Yesterday the player props value paid off. We won 3/3 on the picks, with two of them being player props. Player props have a lot of value to bettors. Bettingpros has a player prop cheat sheet with the best value for player props every day, and it shows the projected value, the line, and the best bet. I suggest going out and looking at that daily to find the best value when picking player props. There is value in these plays that we need to take advantage of when we can. The prop sheet is the best place to start.
Franz Wagner Under 11.5 -115 at Draftkings Sportsbook
Franz Wagner has been struggling this month. In his first game in November, he scored 28 points. Since that first game, he has been scoring nine points per game. The Wizards are a top defensive team. They are tied for third defensively, and they are fourth in rebounds per game. That means this is going to limit second-chance opportunities for Wagner. He will get defended by Deni Avdija, who is one of the best defenders in the NBA. That will put added pressure on Wagner. Wagner is struggling, and now he will get limited opportunities against a team with a strong defense.
Washington Wizards -4 -110 at Draftkings Sportsbook
This play is about how bad the Orlando Magic have been. They are 3-9 and are losing by an average of 19 points per game during their losses in November. Their one big win this month was against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota started hot and has since fizzled out. The Timberwolves are now 4-7. These are signs that the 8-3 Washington Wizards to cover four points against the Orlando Magic has value. The Wizards are winning by an average of 12 points in November.
Utah Jazz -6 -155 at Draftkings Sportsbook
The Utah Jazz are 24-8 against the spread during the regular season when favored by 5-9 points. They do play the Miami Heat tonight, which is why I am teasing the line down a little bit from 7.5. During the regular season, the Jazz are juggernauts. The fact they cover the spread 75% of the time should be enough to take this play.
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