For the second time in the last 48 hours, the Clippers will host the surging Thunder. This time, however, will be a bit different, as Paul George is slated to be sidelined for the next 2-3 weeks.
The Thunder narrowly escape with a one-point victory on Tuesday behind 31 points from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and an additional 20 points from rookie Jalen Williams. The Thunder also did a fantastic job of limiting the Clippers’ scorers, holding Kawhi Leonard to 21 points on 7-16 shooting, Paul George to 18 points on 9-17 shooting, and Marcus Morris to seven points on 3-10 shooting.
With no George in the picture, it’s only going to be easier for the Thunder to key in on the primary scorers for the Clippers. As underdogs for the second consecutive game, the Thunder are the best value on the betting slate tonight.
THUNDER VS. CLIPPERS BETTING ODDS
*All lines accurate at the time of publication
THUNDER VS. CLIPPERS BEST BETS
Thunder +4 (-110, FanDuel)
The absence of Paul George will loom large in this contest, as the Clippers team rates see a massive drop off with him off the floor this season. Without him on the floor, they’ve posted an offensive rating of 110.5, which would rank 26th overall if extrapolated across the entire season. On top of this, their effective field goal percentage drops from 57.3% to 51.2% as they struggle to maintain higher offensive efficiency.
This bodes well for the Thunder, too, who were able to squeak out a win against the Clippers last game despite posting an offensive rating of only 107.4, a true shooting percentage of 50.9%, and an effective field goal percentage of 47.3%. For as poorly as they played, it’s an encouraging sign that they pulled out the win and should regress to the mean on Thursday.
There’s no reason for the Thunder to be getting four points in this game, even on the road, as they’ve posted the second-best record in the league against the spread as an away underdog (19-8-3). Without George in the fold for the Clippers, the Thunder have a prime opportunity to steal back-to-back games in Los Angeles and get over .500 on the season.
Risk: 1.1 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit.
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