The New Orleans Pelicans (2-1) visit the Golden State Warriors (2-1) on NBA Tuesday, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET from San Francisco, California. The game is airing live on TNT and streaming on Max.
The Pelicans are 1.5-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread (Pelicans -1.5), with the over/under currently at 217.5 points. The Pelicans are -120 favorites on the moneyline to win outright, while the Warriors are +116 to pull off the upset.
Let’s dive into my Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, October 29.
Pelicans vs. Warriors Prediction
My pick: Pelicans -1.5 (-110, DraftKings)
Without Steph Curry, the Dubs will struggle to generate any meaningful offense. Golden State will have to knock down many more off-the-dribble 3s than catch-and-shoot ones due to the absence of Curry’s gravity and playmaking ability.
The Warriors also lack consistent play in their frontcourt and cannot adequately take advantage of New Orleans’ size (or lack of it).
Opponents shot the third-worst percentage from deep against New Orleans last season, while Golden State remains a 3-point-heavy squad (second in 3-point attempts per game).
Ultimately, New Orleans is a bad matchup for the Warriors, especially without Curry.
For all of your NBA bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NBA odds page.
Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds
- Pelicans vs. Warriors spread: Pelicans -1.5
- Pelicans vs. Warriors over/under: 217.5 points
- Pelicans vs. Warriors moneyline: Pelicans -120, Warriors +116
- Pelicans vs. Warriors best bet: Pelicans -1.5
Spread
Last season, the Warriors went 3-5 in games without Curry (-4.0 net rating), with their three wins coming against San Antonio and Utah (twice).
On the other hand, the Pels were 25-17-1 against the spread as the road team (fourth-best) and 21-15-1 ATS after a loss during the 2023-24 campaign.
Moneyline
If you don’t mind drinking the juice and think taking the Pels outright at -120 makes sense, then their moneyline is a good play.
However, I will be backing them on the spread at much closer to plus money.
Over/Under
New Orleans had the second-worst over record (37-50-1) last season, while Golden State was just under .500 on the over (41-42). This point total has dropped to 217.5 points after opening at 220.5.
The drop in the total can be attributed to two factors.
The first factor is New Orleans’ inconsistent offensive output. The Pelicans scored just 105 and 103 in their past two games against a terrible Trail Blazers squad.
Additionally, the Warriors lost Curry to an ankle sprain, so they could struggle against this long, rangy, and versatile Pels perimeter defense.
I’ll take the under at 217.5.
My pick: Under 217.5 (play to 216.5)
Pelicans vs. Warriors Betting Trends to Know
- 76% of bets and 69% of the money are on the Warriors to cover the spread.
- 88% of bets and 87% of the money are on the over.
- 69% of bets and 39% of the money on the moneyline are on the Pelicans to win.
Pelicans vs. Warriors Start Time, Channel, Streaming
Location: | Chase Center, San Francisco, California |
Date: | Tuesday, October 29 |
Kickoff Time: | 10 p.m. ET |
TV / Streaming: | TNT/ Streaming on Max |
Warriors vs. Pelicans is scheduled for a 10 p.m. ET start time, live from Chase Center in San Francisco, California, on Tuesday. The game is live on TNT and is streaming on Max.
Pelicans vs. Warriors NBA Preview
New Orleans Pelicans: Pels Have Abundance of Talent
It took less than one game for the injury-riddled New Orleans Pelicans, who were already without rising star Trey Murphy III (hamstring), to suffer a significant injury to one of their stars.
Dejounte Murray broke his hand in his first game in a Pels uniform, forcing the team to revert to deploying C.J. McCollum at the lead guard spot.
New Orleans then snagged a hard-fought two-point road victory against the Trail Blazers before losing by double-digits to Portland 48 hours later.
Still, the Pels will roll out plenty of scoring talent, with McCollum, Brandon Ingram, and Zion Williamson all set to be available.
Teams with fantastic play at the center position or high paint-scoring teams could trouble New Orleans, but the Dubs do not fall into that category.
Golden State Warriors: How To Handle Curry’s Absence
The Warriors were off to a spectacular start to their 2024-25 campaign, beating Portland and Utah on the road by 36 and 41 points, respectively.
While the Trail Blazers and Jazz will undoubtedly be two of the three or four worst teams in the Western Conference this season, those wins were convincing and effortless.
However, in the Dubs’ last game against Los Angeles, Curry injured his ankle late in the third quarter and did not return. He will miss at least a few games, including this one.
Golden State lost that game to the short-handed Clippers by eight points on its home floor. The Warriors were also outscored in the paint by 20 points, allowing Ivica Zubac to post a 23-point, 18-rebound, and 6-assist line.
Andrew Wiggins and Buddy Hield have each had a few solid games, but Curry’s offensive gravity has undoubtedly been a significant factor in their success.
Now that Curry is sidelined, can the Dubs find a way to generate clean looks offensively and stop Zion Williamson, a paint hunter, after allowing Zubac to have a massive night?