The NBA is back! Nothing is better than a fresh betting slate for you to build up your bankroll all year. I will be here all season every Wednesday, Thursday and Friday to give you the best player props for the day.
Remember, it’s day two of a long NBA season. Don’t go betting your entire paycheck on any single prop, even if it’s incredible value. With the season just getting underway, there will be a lot of learning about each team and player usage, but that’s all part of the fun.
Here are my best bets for tonight’s NBA action.
Thursday’s NBA Best Player Prop Bets
(All bets are one unit unless specified otherwise | Last Time: 3-2 & Season: 3-2
Brook Lopez Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (+170 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
I know what you’re thinking: Damian Lillard joins a revamped Milwaukee Bucks team, so what should you bet on? That’s right, Brook Lopez and his three-pointers.
Last year, Lopez averaged 1.7 per game. Of course, his usage will decrease, but all of the attention will be on Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Assuming the 76ers collapse in the paint, then there will be plenty of opportunities for dribble-drive kick-outs to Lopez.
The biggest appeal is the price, as well. To average 1.7 a game last year and still sit at +170 to hit two is remarkable. I know Lillard joined the squad, but this Bucks offense is still really solid, and there will be at least the opportunity for Lopez to shoot from deep. I don’t expect him to take over the coming-out party for Lillard, but how hard can a pair of threes be?
Joel Embiid Under 4.5 Assists (+106 via FanDuel Sportsbook)
I will lead by saying that sometimes I jump ahead on some available props. If you hope to be a long-term profitable bettor, then you have to get on some lines as soon as they drop. The difference between +100 and +120 may not seem like much, or 4.5 vs. 3.5. But in the long run, it adds up.
Regardless, I still like this prop. The 76ers are the kings of off-court drama and I can’t imagine that will help. This 76ers offense isn’t going to be much besides Embiid. I don’t trust Tyrese Maxey or De’Anthony Melton to step up enough to capitalize on Embiid getting to five assists.
Milwaukee also ranked fourth in defensive efficiency last year, and I picture them to be right back in that same spot now. Both teams don’t exactly push the pace, so there shouldn’t be a plethora of possessions either.
- Jusuf Nurkic Over 25.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-123 via Caesars Sportsbook)
- Devin Booker Over 26.5 Pts (-117 via Caesars Sportsbook)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:
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- NFL Thursday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
- College Football Week 9 Picks & Predictions: Bogman’s Best Bets
- NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
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