The Cavaliers have come into this game winning five straight, each by double-digits. As long as they stay healthy, they could be lethal in the playoffs thanks to the top Adjusted Defensive Rankings and eighth in Offensive.
They face the Bulls, who they’ve beaten in all three matchups, but they’ve been tough games, including one overtime win.
Chicago is also one of the top defensive teams in the league. Mobley has gone over his points/rebounds/assists prop in four of his previous five but has only gone over 29 in 34.5% of games this year. In his one game against the Bulls this year, he finished with a 16/3/1 stat line, and I’m not expecting him to do any better.
The Wizards have been streaky but rebounded with a win in their last game after losing three straight. The numbers have proven they are the most average team in the league thanks to being 15th in Both Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ranking.
They host the Pacers, who have completely collapsed, losing 14 of their last 16.
In the two games he’s played against Indiana this year, Beal has hit the over in points/assists in both. With a +32% expected value, this is a confident pick.
It’s tough not to believe Nikola Jokic will capture his third straight MVP. He’s averaging a triple-double this season and has led the Nuggets to the top seed in the west.
His last triple-double streak of four games was snapped recently, but he has an excellent opportunity to start a new one tonight.
He faces the Hornets, who have struggled against big men all season, allowing the second-most rebounds, the fifth-most points to the position, and the ninth-most assists.