Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo didn’t play Milwaukee’s previous game against the Pacers. But the line is sitting at -5 for Milwaukee at home, so the Bucks are likely expecting him back for tonight’s game.
The Bucks are one of the top defenses in the NBA. They’ve held teams to 110.2 points per 100 possessions while giving up an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%. Milwaukee won’t earn many turnovers against Toronto, but they’ll put up a fight on the defensive glass and keep the Raptors away from their average at the foul line.
The Raptors typically dominate the offensive glass and earn plenty of points at the line. But the Bucks are allowing 24.4% of offensive rebounds and giving up a free throw rate of 17.8. Both of those numbers are second-best in the NBA.
On the other hand, the Bucks aren’t dominating offensively. However, they should end up with more offensive rebounds in this game. Toronto will win the turnover battle but never get great looks consistently in games. As long as Giannis is in the lineup, I’d ride with the Bucks at -5 at home.
Bet: Bucks -5 (-110)
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers have been banged up all year long. It’s impressive that they’re sitting above .500 heading into this game against the 76ers.
Paul George is currently questionable for tonight’s game, but Luke Kennard and John Wall are officially out. Los Angeles has been more consistent defensively, holding teams to 112 points per 100 possessions. The Clippers won’t earn a lot of turnovers but should at least limit good shots, earn plenty of defensive rebounds and keep Philadelphia from getting to the line at a very high rate.
Meanwhile, the offense for the Clippers has earned just 110.6 points per 100 possessions. The turnovers can get high, and they’re shooting a 53.8% effective field goal percentage, below average. The Clippers are also below average on the offensive glass and getting to the line.
George playing would boost the Clippers’ chances. But the 76ers, even on the road, have been much more consistent and are certainly much healthier now. Back the 76ers.
Bet: 76ers (-115)