Last week went very well as the player props I shared on The Action Network went 5-2. Tonight, there is an eight game NBA slate, offering plenty of opportunities to continue the momentum and hopefully sweep.
Tonight, I am looking at Anthony Edwards. He scored 34 points and pulled down 10 rebounds on Saturday night against Sacramento. He gets the Kings tonight and I am expecting another big performance as the Timberwolves look to keep pace in the West.
Stephen Curry has had some memorable moments throughout his career in Oklahoma City. His Warriors enter tonight’s action in sixth place in the West and a game above Oklahoma City. A big scoring night from Curry could help the Warriors stay in front.
The Phoenix Suns are also battling for playoff positioning in the West and enter play as the ninth seed. The Suns will host the Toronto Raptors, who have struggled defending point guards of late. Chris Paul will look to take advantage.
Let’s dive into Monday’s NBA player props.
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NBA Player Props & Picks
Anthony Edwards Over 5.5 Rebounds (-115)
|Time | TV||8 p.m. ET | NBA Leagues Pass|
Anthony Edwards is one of the most explosive leapers in the NBA so it is not a surprise that he is a plus rebounder as well. Edwards is averaging 6.1 rebounds this season and ranks seventh in the league among guards.
His season average is roughly on par with his last 10 games in which he is averaging 6.2 rebounds per game. He has recorded six rebounds in seven games in that stretch and finished with five in another.
Edwards gets the Sacramento Kings tonight, who present a tough matchup on paper. The Kings allow the sixth fewest rebounds per game in the league. However, that did not stop Edwards from pulling down 10 rebounds against the Kings on Saturday night. Additionally, Edwards may be the pivot for targeting Timberwolves rebounding props in this matchup.
Center Rudy Gobert leads Minnesota with 11.7 rebounds per game, however he will have to contend with another elite rebounder in Domantas Sabonis. It is worth noting that Gobert won that matchup on Saturday, finishing with 14 rebounds while Sabonis had 10.
Meanwhile, the Kings perimeter quintet of Kevin Huerter, Keegan Murray, Harrison Barnes, Malik Monk, and Davion Mitchell combine to average 16.4 rebounds per game. Edwards could also benefit from a few long rebounds against a Kings team that attempts nearly 37 3s per game.
Minnesota may be without Gobert tonight as he currently listed as questionable on the injury report. If he is ruled out, Minnesota will need Edwards to hit the glass a bit more. However, an average night from him will clear this line.
Stephen Curry Over 27.5 Points (-111)
|Time | TV||8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass|
Stephen Curry needed a few games to regain his legs after returning from a shoulder injury that kept him out of the lineup for nearly a month. In his first three games since he returned to the lineup, he averaged 19.6 points per game. Since, he is averaging 33 points per game in his last five games. He has scored 28 points in four of those games and finished with 26 in the other.
Curry’s last five games are much more in line with his season average of 29.5 points per game. Tonight, Curry has an excellent matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder. In their last four games, Oklahoma City has allowed De’Aaron Fox, Jamal Murray, Trae Young, DeJounte Murray, and Darius Garland to go over their point lines. Young and Garland both scored over 30 points.
Oklahoma City ranks 17th in the league with 12.5 3s allowed per game. It has not faced Curry this season, but that should be music to the ears of the greatest shooter the league has ever seen. The Thunder also allow the second most free throws per game. Curry averages 5.4 free throws per game (six this month) and is shooting 91.8% percent from the foul line.
This should also be a fast-paced game with the Warriors ranking first in pace while Oklahoma City ranks fourth. The Warriors defense has also struggled on the road and it will have to stop Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for OKC. Curry may have to keep pace with him for the Warriors to pull out the win. Curry and Gilgeous-Alexander to score 35 points each is +830 on FanDuel.
Chris Paul Over 17.5 Points (-111)
|Time | TV||9 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass|
It was a slow start to the season for Chris Paul as he averaged under 10 points per game through his first 10 games this season. However, with Devin Booker out of the lineup, the Suns have needed Paul to up his scoring.
Paul recently returned to the lineup after battling a hip injury of his own. Since, he has scored 18 points in three of his last four games. He has scored 20 points in six of his of last nine games and is averaging 18.8 points per game in that span.
One of those 20-point games came against the Raptors and tonight Paul gets them again in Phoenix. Per props.cash, Toronto is 24th in point guard defense. They are 26th in points allowed to point guards over the last 15 games. In their last nine games, the Raptors have allowed six of nine point guards to go over their points lines. All but De’Aaron Fox scored 20 points.
The Raptors are 28th in both field goal percentage defense and 3-point field goal percentage defense. In his last nine games, Paul is shooting 52% on 13 attempts per game. At times, Paul can be a reluctant 3-point shooter- he just averaged 3.1 3-point attempts last season.
However, he is attempting nearly five per game over his last nine games and shooting nearly 47% from deep. Given Paul’s recent form and his matchup against the Raptors, I expect him to score 18 on Monday night.
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