Monday's NBA Player Props: Can Spencer Dinwiddie Continue to Dominate on the Boards?

Action Network NBA betting contributor Tyler Schmidt previews three plus-money player props providing value Monday, including Spencer Dinwiddie.

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With the juice props going so well last night, we’re going back to the well with them again tonight!

There are a few big names still out due to injury on this NBA slate, and I think there are a few spots where we can take advantage of the books. As always shop for the best lines, especially when they offer juice.

We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Below, I have laid out three prop bets that I’m playing, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.

NBA Player Props & Picks

Dennis Schroder, Over 17.5 Points (+105)

 Celtics vs. Cavaliers Celtics -2.5
Time | TV 7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book DraftKings

The Celtics have a run-it-back scenario tonight against the Cavaliers who they played two nights ago. The Cavaliers won 91-89 as Schroder couldn’t get his baseline jumper to fall to send the game to overtime.

In the past three Cavaliers games neither team has topped 100 points, so there is good reason why this total is only at 199.5 points tonight. They rank 27th in Pace this season, while the Celtics rank 25th. This could get ugly on the eyes.

Since Jaylen Brown has gone down due to injury, Schroder has stepped up in a big way in the scoring department. In five games without Brown this season, Schroder has averaged 24.8 points per game while attempting 19.4 field goal attempts per game. He also has an incredibly high 31.0% usage rate.

Schroder has scored 20 or more points in four straight games and Brown will be out once again tonight. Jayson Tatum still runs the show for the Celtics, but he hasn’t been shooting that great recently. He has one game in his past eight where he has shot better than 40% from the field.

The total may scare people away from taking this prop, but I think it provides awesome value. The best value for this prop is on DraftKings. FanDuel has the same prop, but there is no juice for the Schroder side. We need the juice!

Killian Hayes, Under 8.5 Points (+100)

 Kings vs. Pistons Kings -4.5
Time | TV 7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book DraftKings

I don’t imagine there will be a viewing party for this Pistons-Kings game tonight. The Kings have lost four straight, while the Pistons have just three wins, two coming in their last three games.

On the season, Hayes has had nine or more points in just four of his 11 games played. He has only had double digit field goal attempts twice.

Hayes has especially taken a back seat now that Cade Cunningham is fully healthy and leading the Pistons. Hayes has a 15.2% Usage Rate which is one of the lowest on the team. Jerami Grant and Cunningham have the highest by far.

He has made at least one 3-pointer in eight of his 11 games and has made one in five straight games. The Kings rank in the top-10 allowing 3-pointers made this season, even though they rank 24th in Defensive Rating.

Hayes also isn’t getting to the free throw line at all. He is 9-of-10 from the charity stripe, but 10 free-throw attempts in 11 games isn’t a good way to rack up easy points.

Similar to Schroder above, the best value on this Hayes prop is on DraftKings.

Spencer Dinwiddie, Over 5.5 Rebounds (+110)

 Pelicans vs. Wizards Wizards -4.5
Time | TV 7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book DraftKings

Making it easy for you, DraftKings also has this final juice prop of Dinwiddie over 5.5 rebounds. Another game that isn’t appealing on the eyes, but provides a ton of value especially with Bradley Beal out of the lineup again.

With Beal out, Dinwiddie has lead this young Wizards team and will have to do so again tonight. In two games without Beal this season, Dinwiddie is averaging 28.5 points per game, 8.5 rebounds per game, and 7.5 assists per game to go along with a 33.4% usage rate.

Not only is Beal out, but this matchup is incredible for Dinwiddie and the Wizards. The 2-12 New Orleans Pelicans rank 29th in Defensive Rating this season allowing 111.7 points per game. However, they do rank in the top-10 in Rebounding Percentage, which is largely due to Jonas Valanciunas.

I am a little surprised this prop is only 5.5 rebounds tonight seeing as Dinwiddie has had 10 and 11 rebounds in his past two games and Beal is still out due to injury.  Dinwiddie will likely play well over 30 minutes tonight and will have plenty of opportunities to get this over.

Dinwiddie is the best value prop in this article and also my favorite on the board. Make sure to always shop around for the best value, but for now that is on DraftKings. I would even bet this if it got to 6.5 rebounds, I like it that much.