The Grizzlies are flying high, having won nine of their last 10 and have been a wagon at home, going 22-14-1 ATS. Even when Ja Morant has been out during this streak, Memphis has been able to get the wins.
The Orlando Magic come to the Grind House tonight and have been able to turn a dreadful start to the season, into one with plenty of promise looking forward. They are playing that way as well, having won four of their last five heading to Memphis.
Magic vs. Grizzlies Betting Odds
Lines and odds accurate at the time of publication
Magic vs. Grizzlies Best Bets
Magic +7 (-110 at FanDuel)
Memphis winning nine of 10 may be misleading to how good they are actually playing. Those nine wins consisted of three games against the Mavericks, where Luka Doncic did not play once and Kyrie Irving saw the court once, two against the Rockets, two home wins against the Warriors at home, needing overtime to beat the Spurs and last game against the Hawks.
The Grizzlies are also on the first night of a back to back with the Clippers coming to town for two starting tomorrow. Morant sitting this game could show insight into the mindset of the Grizzlies in this spot. The Orlando Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last six and are 21-13-3 ATS on the road this season, 3-1 in their last 10 games. While Memphis has been great at home this season, they are only 3-3 ATS in their last 10.
Since the all-star break, the Magic have been eighth in defense and excelled in one area the Grizzlies have not since the break: rebounding. Memphis is 26th in offensive rebound percentage since the break and 21st in defensive rebound percentage. The Magic are eighth in offensive rebound percentage and third in defensive rebound percentage in that time. While the Grizzlies likely have the more efficient offense, even without Morant, Orlando should be able to get enough second chance opportunities to keep the game within reason.
In their first matchup this season, Memphis got the 123-115 win but how they got it may not be sustainable in their current context. In that game the Grizzlies were +10 on the glass with Steven Adams playing 30 minutes, Adams is out for this game. Memphis also shot 52% from the field, likely unsustainable considering 64 points came in the paint and Ja Morant will likely not be playing in this game. Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner combined for 52 points, even with Dillon Brooks and Jaren Jackson Jr. in the lineup.
With the upward momentum for Orlando and their not feeling the need to tank and the chance of Memphis looking ahead to a pair of matchups against the Clippers, the Magic getting more than two possessions seems a little heavy-handed.
Risk: 1.1 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit.