Best First Basket Prop Bets for Wednesday, March 23 (2022)

Top Plays: 13 of 59 (22.0%, +37.9u)

*considering 1u risk for Top Plays* / **value plays become top plays if Top Play is announced out**

Check out all of today’s First Basket Player Prop Bets >>


This will be the 3rd and final matchup between the teams, with the Pistons having scored 1st in the last 2 matchups. Tonight, I think the Hawks will bounce back and score 1st, and here’s why.

Clint Capela (46% Tip Win) will be facing Isaiah Stewart (38% Tip Win) for the 3rd time this year and he has already won 2 tips against him. Capela has also won 5 straight tips coming into tonight’s game (including the 1 against Stewart) and the Hawks have scored 1st in 4 of those games (all but the game against Detroit). In that game, the Hawks got the 1st look but the Pistons got a stop and Saddiq Bey hit a 3 in the corner to cash 1st Basket. I like 1) for the Hawks to get the 1st look and 2) them to get a stop on 1st possession if they need to.

Isaiah Stewart has lost 7 straight tips at home. In that 7 game stretch, opposing players to have taken an attempt at 1st Basket are as follows: Jaylen Brown, Desmond Bane, JA Morant, Kelly Oubre Jr., Marcus Smart, Buddy Hield, and Bogdan Bogdanovic. To me, those are all stretch guards/wing guys. In 4 of those games, one of those guys made it. So let’s look a little deeper.

Detroit gives up 26% of 1st Baskets to opposing teams Shooting Guards or Small Forwards, which is the 3rd highest percentage in the league for that combo (SG 15% / SF 11 %).

In the last SIX (L6) games for the Hawks, De’Andre Hunter or Kevin Huerter has taken the 1st shot, with them cashing 1st Basket in 3 of them. Huerter has cashed 1st Basket for the Hawks in 2 of their L4.

I think there’s some great value here on these 2 guys, so I’m going to roll with them as Top Plays for today.

TOP PLAYS: Kevin Huerter +1000 , De’Andre Hunter +950

Value Plays: Kevin Huerter & ATL ML +1400 , De’Andre Hunter & ATL ML +1400

Check out all of today’s First Basket Player Prop Bets >>

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