MEMPHIS – The Grizzlies are closing in on the June 21 NBA Draft with their options as wide open and diverse as the talent among projected top players on the board.
As pre-draft workouts continue and potential trade scenarios are discussed regarding what the Grizzlies will do with the No. 4 overall pick, we’ll examine the case of eight potential franchise-altering players in the draft who are – or should be – under strong consideration for that selection.
Player: Michael Porter Jr.
Height/Weight: 6-10, 210
Team: Missouri
2017-18 Stats: 10.0 ppg., 6.7 rpg., 1.0 spg., 17.7 mpg., 33.3 FG%
Projected Draft Range: Picks 3-8
Opening Statement
“(I’m) someone who just loves the game. Off the court, I have fun and love to be around people. But I’m about my business when I’m on the floor. The main thing with me declaring pro was that I wanted the best trainers, the best nutritionist, the best everything to get me as prepared as possible … Even my agent said he’s seen multiple guys come back way more athletic than ever. It was a big deal, obviously. But it’s not going to hold me back at all.” – Michael Porter Jr. on his personality, preparation and mindset entering the draft after recovering from back surgery.
The Case For Porter
No one has done a better job of marketing themselves and generating buzz and interest about their draft stock than Porter. Two weeks ago, the silky-smooth forward wasn’t even projected in ESPN’s Mock Draft TV show to go among the top 14 picks in the lottery. Now, less than two weeks from draft night, there’s speculation in some league circles he could go as high as the No. 2 pick. Representatives with one team that attended Porter’s workout last Friday reportedly declared he’s a top-three talent.
“He did a good job, he moved well, shot the ball well,” said Grizzlies’ general manager Chris Wallace, who attended the workout. “You don’t want to read too much into a workout, particularly when it’s non-contact, it’s just one-on-none. He’s only been playing for a couple of weeks because he’s been working strictly on his conditioning since the end of the college season.”
Back surgery and that understandably underwhelming college production aside, Porter boasts he’s the best player in the draft. He vows to prove he’s every bit as dominant a prospect as he was when he emerged as the No. 1-rated prep player in the country a year ago. But that was before he aggravated a lingering back injury just minutes into Missouri’s season opener in November and underwent surgery.
“It was a step back to take three steps forward,” Porter said at last month’s NBA Draft Combine as he was swarmed by the largest media contingent for any prospect. “It first happened as a sophomore going into my junior year in high school; that’s when I first fell on my back. From there, I was compensating for more things as it got more stiff. It just got worse to the point where I eventually had to have surgery.”
Porter, who played only three games in college, took his first significant step toward convincing top lottery teams that he’s the prize of the draft during that private workout run by his agency in Chicago. He’s scheduled to hold another more advanced workout this week, exclusively for lottery teams. More detailed information regarding his medical reports are also expected to be available to teams.
This entire process for Porter is about pushing his medical history behind him and putting his versatility and superstar potential on display. His college coach, Cuonzo Martin, described Porter as a cross between Kevin Durant and Kevin Garnett when at the same stage of their respective careers.
If healthy and at minimum risk of residual back issues, Porter would slide right into the small forward spot in a Grizzlies’ starting lineup that would also likely feature Mike Conley, Dillon Brooks, JaMychal Green and Marc Gasol. Porter’s scoring potential and athleticism should quickly boost an offense that ranked at or near the bottom of the 30-team league in multiple categories.
“I’m just a position-less player who can do a lot of things on the floor,” Porter said. “I can already go full-go, and in the workouts, I won’t be holding back at all. When I get on the court and work out, (teams) will see for themselves that I’m feeling great. I just can’t wait to show everybody how ready I am.”
The Case Against Porter
He’s a gamble. No question about it. And Wallace has established a reputation over four decades as an executive for having a riverboat gambler streak in him. There’s nothing more he loves than basketball refurbishment projects. Some have workout out brilliantly. Just think Zach Randolph and Tony Allen.
Some clearly haven’t. Try not to think too long about Hasheem Thabeet or Jeff Green or Chandler Parsons. And at this moment, there’s really not much gray area when it comes to Porter. He’ll either meet lofty expectations and live up to the hype, or he’ll underachieve and spend the bulk of his NBA career chasing the ghost of a prospect who was among only five prep players (Dwight Howard, LeBron James, Chris Webber, Alonzo Mourning) in history to win MVP of the McDonald’s All-American Game in addition to being named Gatorade and Naismith Player of the Year.
“The medical information is going to loom large for him,” Wallace said of Porter. “It’s moving quickly. Before the draft, teams will know where they stand with him. His medical information has been distributed. It’s a little above my education level to weigh in on that. But it has been distributed. The appropriate personnel with the teams now can render an opinion.”
Given the Grizzlies’ recent track record – having cut two first-round picks and struggling to get a return on the $94 million free-agency investment in Parsons – there’s enormous pressure to get this lottery pick right. There will be far more stable and less risky options on the board at No. 4 than Porter, who showed extreme rust in his two postseason tournament games after returning from surgery.
Medically, the Bulls have been the only team commissioned by Porter’s agency to conduct his medical evaluation so far. They’ve shared those initial reports with other teams, but if the Grizzlies’ medical staff can’t poke and prod Porter themselves before the draft, that could be a potential red flat.
“It was weird man,” Porter said about the road back in rehab. “Even in practices or therapy, I had to deal with not being able to jump like I used to. I was only getting a couple of inches off the ground, and I knew I could easily dunk (before). But it just had to come back to what I was used to, getting off the ground. It was a process, just trusting my trainers and being patient.”
Porter admits his own patience has been tested along the way.
“At first, you just have to be conscious and careful with exercises. It’s healed fully and you’re out of pain, but then it’s important you get back your leg strength. My left leg was bigger than my right leg, my jumping leg. Once it started to heal and you could get aggressive and push it as far as you can go, you don’t have to be very careful. You’re just focused on getting that explosion back.”
The Verdict
Porter is a ready-made scorer who can transition to an NBA rotation and get buckets immediately upon arrival. He’s a big-market personality with big-time potential. His type usually doesn’t land on small-market teams outside of the draft. Porter can be to Memphis what Donovan Mitchell is to Utah, Damian Lillard is to Portland, Anthony Davis is to New Orleans and Giannis Antetokounmpo is to Milwaukee.
In a vacuum, and in a more stable situation with fewer misses in the recent past, this would be a no-brainer for the Grizzlies. They’d get a No. 1-level talent at the No. 4 pick. But it doesn’t work that easily. The Grizzlies and Porter have a history of recent “back” issues that can’t be discounted. The Grizzlies don’t have to look too far back to find missteps that have hindered them in some ways. And on draft night, Porter will be exactly seven months removed from the Nov. 21 microdiscectomy surgery to repair his L3 and L4 spinal discs.
For Memphis, the decision with the No. 4 pick could very well come down to a choice between Porter, Duke’s Marvin Bagley III, Michigan State’s Jaren Jackson Jr. or Real Madrid’s Luka Doncic. Two of those four are locks to be taken by the Kings at No. 2 and Hawks at No. 3 after the Suns, as expected, select Arizona’s Deandre Ayton at No. 1. This appears to set up as a win-win scenario no matter who falls.
The Grizzlies probably should make the safe and solid pick. But they’ll be highly tempted to sell out for the potential superstar in Porter if he’s not snagged ahead of their selection.
The contents of this page have not been reviewed or endorsed by the Memphis Grizzlies. All opinions expressed by Michael Wallace are solely his own and do not reflect the opinions of the Memphis Grizzlies or its Basketball Operations staff, owners, parent companies, partners or sponsors. His sources are not known to the Memphis Grizzlies and he has no special access to information beyond the access and privileges that go along with being an NBA accredited member of the media.