Year-By-Year Lottery Probabilities
Highlighted rows indicate lottery winner
|
2008
TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO. 1 |
NO. 2 |
NO. 3 |
| Miami |
15-67 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.47% |
17.72% |
Seattle |
20-62 |
199 |
19.90% |
18.78% |
17.07% |
| Minnesota |
22-60 |
138 |
13.80% |
14.24% |
14.54% |
Memphis |
22-60 |
137 |
13.70% |
14.16% |
14.48% |
| New York |
23-59 |
76 |
7.60% |
8.44% |
9.47% |
L.A. Clippers |
23-59 |
75 |
7.50% |
8.33% |
9.37% |
| Milwaukee |
26-56 |
43 |
4.30% |
4.93% |
5.77% |
Charlotte |
32-50 |
28 |
2.80% |
3.26% |
3.87% |
|
Chicago |
33-49 |
17 |
1.70% |
2.00% |
2.40% |
New Jersey |
34-48 |
11 |
1.10% |
1.30% |
1.57% |
| Indiana |
36-46 |
8 |
0.80% |
0.95% |
1.15% |
Sacramento |
38-44 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.01% |
| Portland |
41-41 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
Golden State |
48-34 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.72% |
2007
TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO. 1 |
NO. 2 |
NO. 3 |
| Memphis |
22-60 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.48% |
17.72% |
Boston |
24-58 |
199 |
19.90% |
18.78% |
17.07% |
| Milwaukee |
28-54 |
138 |
13.80% |
14.25% |
14.54% |
Atlanta |
30-52 |
137 |
13.70% |
14.16% |
14.48% |
| Seattle |
31-51 |
88 |
8.80% |
9.64% |
10.65% |
|
Portland |
32-50 |
53 |
5.30% |
6.02% |
6.96% |
| Minnesota |
32-50 |
53 |
5.30% |
6.02% |
6.96% |
Charlotte |
33-49 |
23 |
2.30% |
2.69% |
3.21% |
| New York (1) |
33-49 |
22 |
2.20% |
2.57% |
3.08% |
Sacramento |
33-49 |
11 |
1.10% |
1.30% |
1.57% |
| Indiana (2) |
35-47 |
8 |
0.80% |
0.95% |
1.15% |
Philadelphia |
35-47 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.01% |
| New Orleans |
39-43 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
L.A. Clippers |
40-42 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.72% |
(1) To Chicago
(2) To Atlanta
2006
TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO. 1 |
NO. 2 |
NO. 3 |
Portland |
21-61 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.48% |
17.72% |
New York (1) |
23-59 |
199 |
19.90% |
18.78% |
17.07% |
Charlotte |
26-56 |
138 |
13.80% |
14.25% |
14.54% |
Atlanta |
26-56 |
137 |
13.70% |
14.16% |
14.48% |
| Toronto |
27-55 |
88 |
8.80% |
9.64% |
10.65% |
Minnesota |
33-49 |
53 |
5.30% |
6.02% |
6.96% |
Boston |
33-49 |
53 |
5.30% |
6.02% |
6.96% |
Houston |
34-48 |
23 |
2.30% |
2.69% |
3.21% |
| Golden State |
34-48 |
22 |
2.20% |
2.57% |
3.08% |
Seattle |
35-47 |
11 |
1.10% |
1.30% |
1.57% |
Orlando |
36-46 |
8 |
0.80% |
0.95% |
1.15% |
N.O./Okla. City |
38-44 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.01% |
Philadelphia |
38-44 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
Utah |
41-41 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.72% |
(1) To Chicago
2005
TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO. 1 |
NO. 2 |
NO. 3 |
Atlanta |
13-69 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.46% |
17.74% |
New Orleans |
18-64 |
178 |
17.80% |
17.36% |
16.46% |
Charlotte |
18-64 |
177 |
17.70% |
17.29% |
16.42% |
Utah |
26-56 |
119 |
11.90% |
12.58% |
13.25% |
Portland |
27-55 |
88 |
8.80% |
9.64% |
10.64% |
Milwaukee |
30-52 |
63 |
6.30% |
7.09% |
8.09% |
Toronto |
33-49 |
36 |
3.60% |
4.16% |
4.90% |
New York |
33-49 |
35 |
3.50% |
4.04% |
4.77% |
Golden State |
34-48 |
14 |
1.40% |
1.65% |
1.99% |
L.A. Lakers |
34-48 |
14 |
1.40% |
1.65% |
1.99% |
Orlando |
36-46 |
8 |
0.80% |
0.95% |
1.15% |
L.A. Clippers |
37-45 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.01% |
Cleveland (1) |
42-40 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
Minnesota |
44-38 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.72% |
(1) To Charlotte via Phoenix
2004
TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO. 1 |
NO. 2 |
NO. 3 |
Orlando |
21-61 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.55% |
17.85% |
Chicago |
23-59 |
200 |
20.00% |
18.91% |
17.22% |
Washington |
25-57 |
157 |
15.70% |
15.80% |
15.66% |
L.A. Clippers |
28-54 |
105 |
10.50% |
11.31% |
12.22% |
Atlanta |
28-54 |
104 |
10.40% |
11.22% |
12.14% |
Phoenix |
29-53 |
64 |
6.40% |
7.20% |
8.23% |
Toronto |
33-49 |
37 |
3.70% |
4.28% |
5.05% |
Philadelphia |
33-49 |
36 |
2.90% |
3.37% |
4.02% |
Cleveland |
35-47 |
18 |
1.80% |
4.17% |
4.93% |
Golden State |
37-45 |
9 |
0.90% |
1.07% |
1.30% |
Seattle |
37-45 |
9 |
0.90% |
1.07% |
1.30% |
Portland |
41-41 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
Utah |
42-40 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.73% |
(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Atlanta via Detroit,
Philadelphia and Houston.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to L.A. Clippers.
2003
| TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO.
1 |
NO.
2 |
NO.
3 |
| Denver |
17-65 |
225 |
22.50% |
20.30% |
17.63% |
| Cleveland |
17-65 |
225 |
22.50% |
20.30% |
17.63% |
| Toronto |
24-58 |
157 |
15.70% |
15.80% |
15.66% |
| Miami |
25-57 |
120 |
12.00% |
12.68% |
13.39% |
| L.A. Clippers |
27-55 |
89 |
8.90% |
9.75% |
10.78% |
| Memphis (1) |
28-54 |
64 |
6.40% |
7.20% |
8.23% |
| Chicago |
30-52 |
44 |
4.40% |
5.05% |
5.91% |
| Atlanta (2) |
35-47 |
29 |
2.90% |
3.37% |
4.02% |
| New York |
37-45 |
15 |
1.50% |
1.77% |
2.14% |
| Washington |
37-45 |
14 |
1.40% |
1.65% |
2.00% |
| Golden State |
38-44 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.01% |
| Seattle |
40-42 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
| Houston |
43-39 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.73% |
(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to Milwaukee
2002
| TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO.
1 |
NO.
2 |
NO.
3 |
| Golden State |
21-61 |
225 |
22.50% |
20.30% |
17.63% |
| Chicago |
21-61 |
225 |
22.50% |
20.30% |
17.63% |
| Memphis (1) |
23-59 |
157 |
15.70% |
15.80% |
15.66% |
| Denver |
27-55 |
120 |
12.00% |
12.68% |
13.39% |
|
Houston |
28-54 |
89 |
8.90% |
9.75% |
10.78% |
| Cleveland |
29-53 |
64 |
6.40% |
7.20% |
8.23% |
| New York |
30-52 |
44 |
4.40% |
5.05% |
5.91% |
| Atlanta (2) |
33-49 |
29 |
2.90% |
3.37% |
4.02% |
| Phoenix |
36-46 |
15 |
1.50% |
1.77% |
2.14% |
| Miami |
36-46 |
14 |
1.40% |
1.65% |
2.00% |
| Washington |
37-45 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.01% |
| L.A. Clippers |
39-43 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
| Milwaukee |
41-41 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.59% |
0.73% |
(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Atlanta via Detroit,
Philadelphia and Houston.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to L.A. Clippers.
2001
|
TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO. 1 |
NO. 2 |
NO. 3 |
| Chicago |
15-67 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.55% |
17.85% |
| Golden State |
17-65 |
200 |
20.00% |
18.91% |
17.22% |
|
Washington |
19-63 |
157 |
15.70% |
15.84% |
15.70% |
| Vancouver (1) |
23-59 |
120 |
12.00% |
12.71% |
13.43% |
| Atlanta |
25-57 |
89 |
8.90% |
9.77% |
10.82% |
| New Jersey |
26-56 |
64 |
6.40% |
7.21% |
8.26% |
| Cleveland |
30-52 |
44 |
4.40% |
5.06% |
5.93% |
| L.A. Clippers |
31-51 |
29 |
2.90% |
3.38% |
4.03% |
| Detroit (2) |
32-50 |
18 |
1.80% |
2.12% |
2.56% |
| Boston |
36-46 |
11 |
1.10% |
1.30% |
1.58% |
| Denver (3) |
40-42 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.02% |
| Seattle |
44-38 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
| Houston (4) |
45-37 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.60% |
0.73%
|
(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit, or to Houston via Detroit and
Philadelphia.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to Houston via Philadelphia, or to Vancouver via
Philadelphia and Houston.
(3) Pick may be conveyed to Boston or Utah.
(4) Pick may be conveyed to Vancouver, or to Detroit via Vancouver.
2000
|
TEAM
|
RECORD
|
CHANCES
|
NO. 1
|
NO. 2
|
NO. 3
|
|
L.A. Clippers
|
15-67
|
250
|
25.00%
|
21.55%
|
17.84%
|
|
Chicago
|
17-65
|
200
|
20.00%
|
18.91%
|
17.22%
|
|
Orlando via G.S. (1)
|
41-41
|
157
|
15.70%
|
15.84%
|
15.70%
|
|
Vancouver (2)
|
22-60
|
120
|
12.00%
|
12.71%
|
13.43%
|
|
Atlanta
|
28-54
|
89
|
8.90%
|
9.77%
|
10.82%
|
|
Washington (3)
|
29-53
|
64
|
6.40%
|
7.21%
|
8.26%
|
|
New Jersey
|
31-52
|
44
|
4.40%
|
5.06%
|
5.93%
|
|
Cleveland
|
32-50
|
29
|
2.90%
|
3.38%
|
4.03%
|
|
Houston (4)
|
34-48
|
18
|
1.80%
|
2.12%
|
2.56%
|
|
Orlando via Denver (1)
|
41-41
|
9
|
0.90%
|
1.07%
|
1.30%
|
|
Boston
|
35-47
|
9
|
0.90%
|
1.07%
|
1.30%
|
|
Dallas
|
40-42
|
6
|
0.60%
|
0.71%
|
0.87%
|
|
Orlando (5)
|
41-41
|
5
|
0.50%
|
0.60%
|
0.73%
|
(1) Pick may be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Houston.
(3) Pick may be conveyed to Chicago via Golden State (If this is a top
three pick, Washington will retain).
(4) Pick may be conveyed to Vancouver or Detroit.
(5) Pick may be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver.
1999
| TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO.
1 |
NO.
2 |
NO.
3 |
| Vancouver (1) |
8-42 |
250 |
25.00% |
21.55% |
17.84% |
| L.A. Clippers |
9-41 |
200 |
20.00% |
18.91% |
17.22% |
|
Chicago |
13-37 |
157 |
15.70% |
15.84% |
15.70% |
| Toronto via Denver (1) |
14-36 |
120 |
12.00% |
12.71% |
13.43% |
| Minnesota via N.J. |
16-34 |
89 |
8.90% |
9.77% |
10.82% |
| Washington |
18-32 |
64 |
6.40% |
7.21% |
8.26% |
| Boston (2) |
19-31 |
37 |
3.70% |
4.28% |
5.06% |
| Phoenix via Dallas |
19-31 |
36 |
3.60% |
4.17% |
4.93% |
| Golden State |
21-29 |
18 |
1.80% |
2.12% |
2.56% |
| Cleveland |
22-28 |
11 |
1.10% |
1.30% |
1.58% |
| Toronto |
23-27 |
7 |
0.70% |
0.83% |
1.02% |
| Seattle |
25-25 |
6 |
0.60% |
0.71% |
0.87% |
| Charlotte |
26-24 |
5 |
0.50% |
0.60% |
0.73% |
(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit.
(2) Cleveland has the option to receive this pick unless it is among top
three.
1998
| TEAM |
RECORD |
CHANCES |
NO.
1 |
NO.
2 |
NO.
3 |
| Denver |
11-71 |
250 |
35.92% |
12.38% |
16.05% |
| Toronto |
16-66 |
200 |
0.00% |
36.57% |
19.51% |
|
L.A. Clippers |
17-65 |
157 |
22.56% |
10.09% |
14.57% |
| Golden State (1) |
19-63 |
105 |
15.09% |
7.47% |
11.48% |
| Vancouver (2) |
19-63 |
104 |
0.00% |
19.02% |
14.74% |
| Dallas |
20-62 |
64 |
9.20% |
4.87% |
7.79% |
| Sacramento |
27-55 |
44 |
6.32% |
3.44% |
5.61% |
| Philadelphia |
31-51 |
29 |
4.17% |
2.32% |
3.82 | |
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