Year-By-Year Lottery Probabilities


2012

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Charlotte
7-59
250
25.00%
21.50%
17.76%
Washington
20-46
199
19.90%
18.80%
17.11%
Cleveland
21-45
138
13.80%
14.24%
14.54%
New Orleans
21-45
137
13.70%
14.16%
14.48%
Sacramento
22-44
76
7.60%
8.44%
9.49%
Brooklyn (1)
22-44
75
7.50%
8.34%
9.39%
Golden State (2)
23-43
36
3.60%
4.16%
4.90%
Toronto
23-43
35
3.50%
4.04%
4.77%
Detroit
25-41
17
1.70%
2.00%
2.41%
Minnesota (3)
26-40
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.58%
Portland
28-38
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
Milwaukee
31-35
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Phoenix
33-33
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Houston
34-42
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Portland

(2) Pick may be conveyed to Utah

(3) To New Orleans via LA Clippers

2011

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Minnesota
17-65
250
25.00%
21.50%
17.76%
Cleveland
19-63
199
19.90%
18.80%
17.11%
Toronto
22-60
156
15.60%
15.73%
15.57%
Washington
23-59
119
11.90%
12.59%
13.29%
Sacramento
24-58
76
7.60%
8.44%
9.49%
New Jersey (1)
24-58
75
7.50%
8.34%
9.39%
Detroit
30-52
43
4.30%
4.94%
5.78%
L.A. Clippers (2)
32-50
28
2.80%
3.26%
3.88%
Charlotte
34-48
17
1.70%
2.00%
2.41%
Milwaukee
35-47
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.58%
Golden State
36-46
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
Utah
39-43
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Phoenix
40-42
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Houston
43-39
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

(1) To Utah

(2) To Cleveland

2010

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
New Jersey
12-70
250
25.00%
21.49%
17.73%
Minnesota
15-67
199
19.90%
18.79%
17.08%
Sacramento
25-67
156
15.60%
15.72%
15.55%
Golden State
26-56
104
10.40%
11.02%
12.08%
Washington
26-56
103
10.30%
11.10%
12.00%
Philadelphia
27-55
53
5.30%
6.03%
6.97%
Detroit
27-55
53
5.30%
6.03%
6.97%
L.A. Clippers
29-53
23
2.30%
2.69%
3.22%
New York (1)
29-53
22
2.20%
2.57%
3.08%
Indiana
32-50
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.57%
New Orleans
37-45
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
Memphis
40-42
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Toronto
40-42
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Houston
42-40
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

(1) To Utah

2009

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Sacramento
17-65
250
25.00%
21.46%
17.72%
Washington
19-63
178
17.80%
17.36%
16.45%
L.A. Clippers
19-63
177
17.70%
17.29%
16.41%
Oklahoma City
23-59
119
11.90%
12.57%
13.24%
Minnesota
24-58
76
7.60%
8.43%
9.46%
Memphis
24-58
75
7.50%
8.33%
9.36%
Golden State
29-53
43
4.30%
4.93%
5.76%
New York
32-50
28
2.80%
3.26%
3.87%
Toronto
33-49
17
1.70%
2.00%
2.40%
Milwaukee
34-48
10
1.00%
1.18%
1.43%
New Jersey
34-48
9
0.90%
1.06%
1.29%
Charlotte
35-47
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Indiana
36-46
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Phoenix
46-36
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

2008

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Miami
15-67
250
25.00%
21.47%
17.72%
Seattle
20-62
199
19.90%
18.78%
17.07%
Minnesota
22-60
138
13.80%
14.24%
14.54%
Memphis
22-60
137
13.70%
14.16%
14.48%
New York
23-59
76
7.60%
8.44%
9.47%
L.A. Clippers
23-59
75
7.50%
8.33%
9.37%
Milwaukee
26-56
43
4.30%
4.93%
5.77%
Charlotte
32-50
28
2.80%
3.26%
3.87%
Chicago
33-49
17
1.70%
2.00%
2.40%
New Jersey
34-48
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.57%
Indiana
36-46
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
Sacramento
38-44
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Portland
41-41
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Golden State
48-34
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

2007

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Memphis
22-60
250
25.00%
21.48%
17.72%
Boston
24-58
199
19.90%
18.78%
17.07%
Milwaukee
28-54
138
13.80%
14.25%
14.54%
Atlanta
30-52
137
13.70%
14.16%
14.48%
Seattle
31-51
88
8.80%
9.64%
10.65%
Portland
32-50
53
5.30%
6.02%
6.96%
Minnesota
32-50
53
5.30%
6.02%
6.96%
Charlotte
33-49
23
2.30%
2.69%
3.21%
New York (1)
33-49
22
2.20%
2.57%
3.08%
Sacramento
33-49
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.57%
Indiana (2)
35-47
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
Philadelphia
35-47
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
New Orleans
39-43
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
L.A. Clippers
40-42
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

(1) To Chicago
(2) To Atlanta

2006

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Portland
21-61
250
25.00%
21.48%
17.72%
New York (1)
23-59
199
19.90%
18.78%
17.07%
Charlotte
26-56
138
13.80%
14.25%
14.54%
Atlanta
26-56
137
13.70%
14.16%
14.48%
Toronto
27-55
88
8.80%
9.64%
10.65%
Minnesota
33-49
53
5.30%
6.02%
6.96%
Boston
33-49
53
5.30%
6.02%
6.96%
Houston
34-48
23
2.30%
2.69%
3.21%
Golden State
34-48
22
2.20%
2.57%
3.08%
Seattle
35-47
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.57%
Orlando
36-46
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
N.O./Okla. City
38-44
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Philadelphia
38-44
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Utah
41-41
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

(1) To Chicago

2005

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Atlanta
13-69
250
25.00%
21.46%
17.74%
New Orleans
18-64
178
17.80%
17.36%
16.46%
Charlotte
18-64
177
17.70%
17.29%
16.42%
Utah
26-56
119
11.90%
12.58%
13.25%
Portland
27-55
88
8.80%
9.64%
10.64%
Milwaukee
30-52
63
6.30%
7.09%
8.09%
Toronto
33-49
36
3.60%
4.16%
4.90%
New York
33-49
35
3.50%
4.04%
4.77%
Golden State
34-48
14
1.40%
1.65%
1.99%
L.A. Lakers
34-48
14
1.40%
1.65%
1.99%
Orlando
36-46
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
L.A. Clippers
37-45
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Cleveland (1)
42-40
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Minnesota
44-38
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%

(1) To Charlotte via Phoenix

2004

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Orlando
21-61
250
25.00%
21.55%
17.85%
Chicago
23-59
200
20.00%
18.91%
17.22%
Washington
25-57
157
15.70%
15.80%
15.66%
L.A. Clippers
28-54
105
10.50%
11.31%
12.22%
Atlanta
28-54
104
10.40%
11.22%
12.14%
Phoenix
29-53
64
6.40%
7.20%
8.23%
Toronto
33-49
37
3.70%
4.28%
5.05%
Philadelphia
33-49
36
2.90%
3.37%
4.02%
Cleveland
35-47
18
1.80%
4.17%
4.93%
Golden State
37-45
9
0.90%
1.07%
1.30%
Seattle
37-45
9
0.90%
1.07%
1.30%
Portland
41-41
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Utah
42-40
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.73%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Atlanta via Detroit,
Philadelphia and Houston.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to L.A. Clippers.

2003

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO.
1
NO.
2
NO.
3
Denver
17-65
225
22.50%
20.30%
17.63%
Cleveland
17-65
225
22.50%
20.30%
17.63%
Toronto
24-58
157
15.70%
15.80%
15.66%
Miami
25-57
120
12.00%
12.68%
13.39%
L.A. Clippers 27-55
89
8.90%
9.75%
10.78%
Memphis (1)
28-54
64
6.40%
7.20%
8.23%
Chicago
30-52
44
4.40%
5.05%
5.91%
Atlanta (2)
35-47
29
2.90%
3.37%
4.02%
New York 37-45
15
1.50%
1.77%
2.14%
Washington 37-45
14
1.40%
1.65%
2.00%
Golden State 38-44
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
Seattle 40-42
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Houston 43-39
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.73%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to Milwaukee

2002

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO.
1
NO.
2
NO.
3
Golden State
21-61
225
22.50%
20.30%
17.63%
Chicago
21-61
225
22.50%
20.30%
17.63%
Memphis (1)
23-59
157
15.70%
15.80%
15.66%
Denver
27-55
120
12.00%
12.68%
13.39%

Houston
28-54
89
8.90%
9.75%
10.78%
Cleveland
29-53
64
6.40%
7.20%
8.23%
New York
30-52
44
4.40%
5.05%
5.91%
Atlanta (2)
33-49
29
2.90%
3.37%
4.02%
Phoenix
36-46
15
1.50%
1.77%
2.14%
Miami
36-46
14
1.40%
1.65%
2.00%
Washington
37-45
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
L.A. Clippers
39-43
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Milwaukee
41-41
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.73%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Atlanta via Detroit,
Philadelphia and Houston.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to L.A. Clippers.

2001

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Chicago
15-67
250
25.00%
21.55%
17.85%
Golden State

17-65

200

20.00%

18.91%

17.22%

Washington
19-63
157
15.70%
15.84%
15.70%
Vancouver (1)
23-59
120
12.00%
12.71%
13.43%
Atlanta
25-57
89
8.90%
9.77%
10.82%
New Jersey
26-56
64
6.40%
7.21%
8.26%
Cleveland
30-52
44
4.40%
5.06%
5.93%
L.A. Clippers
31-51
29
2.90%
3.38%
4.03%
Detroit (2)
32-50
18
1.80%
2.12%
2.56%
Boston
36-46
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.58%
Denver (3)
40-42
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.02%
Seattle
44-38
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Houston (4)
45-37
5
0.50%
0.60%
0.73%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit, or to Houston via Detroit and
Philadelphia.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to Houston via Philadelphia, or to Vancouver via
Philadelphia and Houston.
(3) Pick may be conveyed to Boston or Utah.
(4) Pick may be conveyed to Vancouver, or to Detroit via Vancouver.

2000

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
L.A. Clippers
15-67
250
25.00%
21.55%
17.84%
Chicago
17-65
200
20.00%
18.91%
17.22%
Orlando via G.S. (1)
41-41
157
15.70%
15.84%
15.70%
Vancouver (2)
22-60
120
12.00%
12.71%
13.43%
Atlanta
28-54
89
8.90%
9.77%
10.82%
Washington (3)
29-53
64
6.40%
7.21%
8.26%

New Jersey

31-52

44

4.40%

5.06%

5.93%
Cleveland
32-50
29
2.90%
3.38%
4.03%
Houston (4)
34-48
18
1.80%
2.12%
2.56%
Orlando via Denver (1)
41-41
9
0.90%
1.07%
1.30%
Boston
35-47
9
0.90%
1.07%
1.30%
Dallas
40-42
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Orlando (5)
41-41
5
0.50%
0.60%
0.73%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver.
(2) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit or to Houston.
(3) Pick may be conveyed to Chicago via Golden State (If this is a top
three pick, Washington will retain).
(4) Pick may be conveyed to Vancouver or Detroit.
(5) Pick may be conveyed to Houston, Vancouver, Detroit or Denver.

1999

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO.
1
NO.
2
NO.
3
Vancouver (1)
8-42
250
25.00%
21.55%
17.84%
L.A. Clippers
9-41
200
20.00%
18.91%
17.22%

Chicago

13-37

157

15.70%

15.84%

15.70%
Toronto via Denver (1)
14-36
120
12.00%
12.71%
13.43%
Minnesota via N.J.
16-34
89
8.90%
9.77%
10.82%
Washington
18-32
64
6.40%
7.21%
8.26%
Boston (2)
19-31
37
3.70%
4.28%
5.06%
Phoenix via Dallas
19-31
36
3.60%
4.17%
4.93%
Golden State
21-29
18
1.80%
2.12%
2.56%
Cleveland
22-28
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.58%
Toronto
23-27
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.02%
Seattle
25-25
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
Charlotte
26-24
5
0.50%
0.60%
0.73%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Detroit.
(2) Cleveland has the option to receive this pick unless it is among top
three.

1998

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO.
1
NO.
2
NO.
3
Denver
11-71
250
35.92%
12.38%
16.05%
Toronto
16-66
200
0.00%
36.57%
19.51%

L.A. Clippers

17-65

157

22.56%

10.09%

14.57%
Golden State (1)
19-63
105
15.09%
7.47%
11.48%
Vancouver (2)
19-63
104
0.00%
19.02%
14.74%
Dallas
20-62
64
9.20%
4.87%
7.79%
Sacramento
27-55
44
6.32%
3.44%
5.61%
Philadelphia
31-51
29
4.17%
2.32%
3.82%
Milwaukee (3)
36-46
15
2.16%
1.22%
2.03%
Boston
36-46
14
2.01%
1.14%
1.90%
Detroit (4)
37-45
7
1.01%
0.58%
0.96%
Orlando (5)
41-41
6
0.86%
0.49%
0.83%
Washington (6)
42-40
5
0.72%
0.41%
0.69%

(1) Pick may be conveyed to Orlando or Utah.
(2) Vancouver may convey this pick to Detroit. If so, Detroit may convey
pick to Philadelphia.
(3) Pick may be conveyed to Denver.
(4) Detroit may convey this pick to Philadelphia.
(5) Pick may be conveyed to Golden State or Utah.
(6) Pick will be conveyed to Golden State, Orlando or Utah.

Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto
cannot select first in the 1998 NBA Draft. In the event one of those teams
wins the 1998 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled to the second
selection in the 1998 NBA Draft.

1997

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO.
1
NO.
2
NO.
3
Vancouver
14-68
250
0.00%
45.96%
18.43%
Boston
15-67
200
27.51%
11.77%
16.85%

San Antonio

20-62

157

21.60%

10.24%

15.41%
Denver
21-61
120
16.51%
8.43%
13.20%
Philadelphia (1)
22-60
89
12.24%
6.59%
10.65%
Boston (2)
15-67
64
8.80%
4.93%
8.14%
New Jersey
26-56
44
6.05%
3.49%
5.85%
Golden State
30-52
24
3.30%
1.95%
3.33%
Toronto (1)
30-52
23
0.00%
4.23%
4.00%
Milwaukee (3)
33-49
11
1.51%
0.91%
1.56%
Sacramento
34-48
7
0.96%
0.58%
1.00%
Indiana
39-43
6
0.83%
0.50%
0.86%
Cleveland
42-40
5
0.69%
0.42%
0.72%

(1) Philadelphia may swap picks with Toronto; Toronto may swap its pick
(or Philadelphia's pick) with Dallas for Minnesota's first-round pick.
(2) Boston traded its 1996 first round pick and Eric Montross to Dallas,
getting the Mavericks' 1996 and 1997 first round picks in return. The
Mavericks had a 24-58 record.
(3) Milwaukee may convey this pick to Phoenix.

Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto
cannot select first in the 1997 or 1998 NBA Drafts. In the event one of
those teams qualifies for and wins the 1997 NBA Draft Lottery, that team
will be entitled to the second selection in the 1997 NBA Draft.

1996

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO.
1
NO.
2
NO.
3
Vancouver
15-67
250
0.00%
41.89%
22.48%

Philadelphia

18-64

200

33.73%

8.51%

13.87%
Toronto
21-61
157
0.00%
26.31%
20.92%
Milwaukee
25-57
120
20.24%
6.47%
11.42%
Minnesota
26-56
77
12.98%
4.56%
8.35%
Dallas
26-56
76
12.82%
4.51%
8.26%
L.A. Clippers
29-53
44
7.42%
2.77%
5.19%
New Jersey
30-52
29
4.89%
1.87%
3.55%
Dallas (1)
26-56
18
3.04%
1.18%
2.25%
Denver
35-47
11
1.85%
0.73%
1.40%
Golden State
36-46
7
1.18%
0.47%
0.90%
Cleveland (2)
47-35
6
1.01%
0.40%
0.77%
Charlotte
41-41
5
0.84%
0.34%
0.64%

(1) In a trade with Boston, the Mavericks gave up their first round
picks in 1996 and 1997 for the Celtics' first round pick and Eric Montross.
Boston had a 33-49 record.
(2) Cleveland acquired the Bullets' first-round draft pick in the trade
for Mark Price in 1995. Washington had a 39-43 record.

Note: Per their expansion agreements, Vancouver and Toronto
cannot select first in the 1996, 1997 or 1998 NBA Drafts. In the event one
of those teams wins the 1996 NBA Draft Lottery, that team will be entitled
to the second selection in the 1996 NBA Draft.

1995

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
L.A. Clippers
17-65
250
25.00%
21.68%
18.09%
Washington
21-61
183
18.30%
17.87%
16.99%
Minnesota
21-61
182
18.20%
17.80%
16.96%
Philadelphia
24-58
126
12.60%
13.31%
14.05%

Golden State

26-56

94

9.40%

10.31%

11.43%
Detroit
28-54
66
6.60%
7.46%
8.59%
New Jersey
30-52
44
4.40%
5.08%
6.01%
Miami
32-50
27
2.70%
3.17%
3.82%
Milwaukee
34-48
15
1.50%
1.78%
2.17%
Dallas
36-46
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.17%
Sacramento
39-43
5
0.50%
0.60%
0.74%

1994

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
NO. 1
NO. 2
NO. 3
Dallas
13-69
250
25.00%
21.72%
18.12%
Detroit
20-62
164
16.40%
16.41%
16.13%
Minnesota
20-62
164
16.40%
16.41%
16.13%

Milwaukee

20-62

163

16.30%

13.34%

16.08%
Washington
24-58
94
9.40%
10.32%
11.46%
Philadelphia (1)
25-57
66
6.60%
7.47%
8.61%
L.A. Clippers
27-55
44
4.40%
5.09%
6.02%
Sacramento
28-54
27
2.70%
3.17%
3.83%
Boston
32-50
15
1.50%
1.78%
2.18%
L.A. Lakers
33-49
8
0.80%
0.96%
1.18%
Charlotte (2)
41-41
5
0.50%
0.60%
0.74%

(1) Pick belongs to Philadelphia or Seattle
(2) Pick belongs to Seattle or Philadelphia

1993

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
Dallas
11-71
11
Minnesota
19-63
10
Washington
22-60
9
Sacramento
25-57
8
Philadelphia
26-56
7
Milwaukee
28-54
6
Golden State
34-48
5
Denver
36-46
4
Miami
36-46
3
Detroit
40-42
2

Orlando

41-41

1

1992

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
Minnesota
15-67
11

Orlando

21-61

10

Dallas
22-60
9
Denver
24-58
8
Washington
25-57
7
Sacramento
29-53
6
Milwaukee
31-51
5
Charlotte
31-51
4
Philadelphia
35-47
3
Atlanta
38-44
2
Orlando
42-40
1

1991

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES
Denver
20-62
11
Miami
24-58
10
Sacramento
25-57
9
New Jersey
26-56
8
Charlotte
26-56
7
Dallas
28-54
6
Minnesota
29-53
5
Washington
30-52
4
L.A. Clippers
31-51
3
Orlando
31-51
2
Cleveland
33-49
1

1990

TEAM
RECORD
CHANCES

New Jersey

17-65

11
Miami
18-64
10
Orlando
18-64
9
Charlotte
19-63
8
Minnesota
22-60
7
Sacramento
23-59
6
L.A. Clippers
30-52
5
Dallas via Washington
31-51
4
Golden State
37-45
3
Seattle
41-41
2
Atlanta
41-41
1

1989

Nine envelopes for nine teams:
Charlotte, Chicago (from N.J.), Dallas, Indiana, L.A. Clippers, Miami,
Sacramento, San Antonio, Washington

Winner: Sacramento

1988

Seven envelopes for seven teams:
Golden State, Indiana, L.A. Clippers, L.A. Clippers (from Sacramento), New
Jersey, Philadelphia, Phoenix

Winner: L.A. Clippers

1987

Seven envelopes for seven teams:
Cleveland, L.A. Clippers, New Jersey, New York, Phoenix, Sacramento, San
Antonio

Winner: San Antonio

1986

Seven envelopes for seven teams:
Boston (from Seattle), Dallas (from Cleveland), Golden State, Indiana, New
York, Philadelphia (from L.A. Clippers), Phoenix

Winner: Philadelphia

Notes: Philadelphia won the lottery by virtue of obtaining the
Clippers' 1986 No. 1 pick in a 1979 deal that sent Joe Bryant to L.A.; The
Sixers then traded the pick to Cleveland in exchange for Roy Hinson and
cash.

1985

Seven envelopes for seven teams:
Atlanta, Golden State, Indiana, L.A. Clippers, New York, Sacramento,
Seattle

Winner: New York

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