With the 2011 NBA Draft Lottery fast approaching, warriors.com recently took the time to answer some of the most frequently asked questions regarding the entire process. Read below to find out everything from when the Lottery will occur, to the likelihood of the Warriors landing one of the top-three draft positions.
When and where will the 2011 NBA Draft Lottery take place?
The 2011 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of determining supremacy, will be held on Tuesday, May 17, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in Secaucus, New Jersey. The 27th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery will determine the order of selection for the first 14 picks of the 2011 NBA Draft. Warriors owner Joe Lacob will act as the team's representative at the Lottery, and Executive Director of Public Relations Raymond Ridder will be in attendance as well.
How does the lottery process work?
Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery teams by a computer.
Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, Minnesota can pick no lower than fourth, Cleveland (19-63) no lower than fifth and Toronto (22-60) no lower than sixth.
The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast on ESPN with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of Ernst & Young in attendance.
Following the drawing, team logo cards will be inserted into envelopes marked 1 through 14 by an Ernst & Young representative. These envelopes then will be sealed and brought on-stage, where the announcement of the Lottery results will be made by NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam Silver. A second representative from each participating team will be seated on-stage. Neither the Deputy Commissioner nor the team representatives will be informed of the Lottery results prior to the opening of the envelopes.
The team whose logo is in the last envelope opened will pick first in NBA Draft 2011, to be held on Thursday, June 23, at The Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.
What are the Warriors chances of winning the Lottery?
The Minnesota Timberwolves finished the season with the NBA’s worst record (17-65), so they will be assigned 250 combinations. Golden State, which finished the 2010-11 campaign 36-46, will have the 11th most chances with eight out of a posible 1,000 combinations.
In terms of percentages, there is a 90.74 percent chance that the Warriors will retain their pre-lottery position and obtain the 11th pick. However slight, the Warriors do have a chance – 2.90 percent to be exact – of moving up to one of the top three positions in the NBA Draft. To get more specific, the Warriors have a 0.8 percent shot of landing the top selection, a 0.95 percent chance at the second pick and a 1.15 percent shot at the No. 3 pick. Moving down in the draft order is also a possibility, as the Warriors have a 6.28 percent shot at slipping to the 12th pick, a 0.08 shot at No. 13 and a 0.0001 chance of landing the 14th pick. Selections Nos. 4 through 10 are out of the question for Golden State.
The second round is ordered in terms of teams' records in the regular season, with the lowest winning percentages selecting first. In the event of teams possessing identical records, such as the Kings and Nets, the team drafting earlier in the first round would pick later in the second round. The Warriors, who obtained Phoenix's second-round pick (via Chicago as part of the C.J. Watson sign-and-trade deal on July 22, 2010), will pick 14th in the second round (44th overall). Golden State's own second round pick was traded to New Jersey as part of the Marcus Williams trade on July 22, 2008.