With the 2010 NBA Draft Lottery fast approaching, warriors.com recently took the time to answer some of the most frequently asked questions regarding the entire process. Read below to find out everything from when the Lottery will occur, to the likelihood of the Warriors landing one of the top-three draft positions.




When and where will the 2009 NBA Draft Lottery take place?

The 2010 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of determining supremacy, will be held on Tuesday, May 18, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in Secaucus, New Jersey. The 26th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery will determine the order of selection for the first 14 picks of the 2010 NBA Draft. Warriors General Manager Larry Riley will act as the team's representative at the Lottery, and Executive Director of Public Relations Raymond Ridder will be in attendance as well.



How does the lottery process work?

Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery teams by a computer.

The order of four ping-pong balls drawn from a drum will determine which team gets the No. 1 pick in the 2009 NBA Draft. (photo: Ned Dishman/NBAE/Getty)
The New Jersey Nets finished the season with the NBA's worst record (12-70), so they will be assigned 250 combinations. The Houston Rockets, the best team in the lottery at 42-40, will have five combinations out of 1,000.

Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)

The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, New Jersey can pick no lower than fourth, Minnesota (15-67) no lower than fifth and Sacramento (25-57) no lower than sixth.

Lottery teams finishing with the same regular season record split the number of combined chances in the lottery, and a blind draw determines which team receives the extra combination in case the total number of chances can not be split evenly. Should none of the tied teams win one of the top three picks, then a coin flip determines the draft order as it relates to the tied teams. Hence, even though Golden State and Washington each finished with a 26-56 record, the Warriors will pick before the Wizards in the first round (assuming neither team has one of the top three picks) and the two teams would swap position in the second round.

The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast on ESPN with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of Ernst & Young in attendance. Following the drawing, team logo cards will be inserted into envelopes marked 1 through 14 by an Ernst & Young representative. These envelopes then will be sealed and brought on-stage, where the announcement of the Lottery results will be made by NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam Silver. A second representative from each participating team will be seated on-stage. Neither the Deputy Commissioner nor the team representatives will be informed of the Lottery results prior to the opening of the envelopes.

The team whose logo is in the last envelope opened will pick first in NBA Draft 2010, to be held on Thursday, June 24, at The Theater at Madison Square Garden in New York City.



What are the Warriors chances of winning the Lottery?

The New Jersey Nets finished the season with the NBA’s worst record (12-70), so they will be assigned 250 combinations. Golden State, which finished the 2009-10 campaign 26-56, will have the fourth most chances with 104 out of a posible 1,000 combinations.

In terms of percentages, the Warriors have a 9.855 percent chance of securing the fourth pick of the 2010 NBA Draft. While the team has the highest percentage chance of obtaining the fifth pick (37.253 percent), they do have a chance – 10.40 percent to be exact – at landing the top selection. Additionally, the Warriors have an 11.20 percent shot at the second pick and a 12.08 percent chance at the No. 3 pick. Overall, Golden State has a 33.68 percent chance at winning any of the top three spots. If the Warriors don’t get one of the first three picks, they will be either slated with the fourth pick, the fifth pick, the sixth pick (17.78%) or the seventh pick (1.43 percent). Selections Nos. 8 through 14 are out of the question for Golden State.

NBA Draft Lottery Odds
New Jersey
250
25.00%
21.49%
17.73%
64.22%
Minnesota
199
19.90%
18.79%
17.08%
55.77%
Sacramento
156
15.60%
15.72%
15.55%
46.87%
Golden State
104
10.40%
11.20%
12.08%
33.68%
Washington
103
10.30%
11.10%
12.00%
33.40%
Philadelphia
53
5.30%
6.03%
6.97%
18.30%
Detroit
53
5.30%
6.03%
6.97%
25.19%
L.A. Clippers
23
2.30%
2.69%
3.22%
8.21%
Utah (from New York)
22
2.20%
2.57%
3.08%
7.85%
Indiana
11
1.10%
1.30%
1.57%
3.97%
New Orleans
8
0.80%
0.95%
1.15%
2.90%
Memphis
7
0.70%
0.83%
1.01%
2.54%
Toronto
6
0.60%
0.71%
0.87%
2.18%
Houston
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.72%
1.81%



Will the Lottery affect the second-round draft order?

The second round is ordered in terms of teams' records in the regular season, with the lowest winning percentages selecting first. In the event of teams possessing identical records, such as the Warriors and Wizards, as well as the 76ers and Pistons and the Clippers and Knicks, the team drafting earlier in the first round would pick later in the second round. The Warriors will pick fifth in the second round (35th overall) unless Washington moves ahead of the Warriors in the Lottery. Should that be the case, Golden State would pick fourth in the second round (34th overall)



Want more information on the Warriors history in the Lottery? Check out some of the following links.

  • Warriors Draft Lottery History
  • Year-By-Year Lottery Probabilities
  • Year-By-Year Lottery Selections
  • NBA Pre-Lottery Position History
  • Top 14 Draft Picks Since 1980