Fantasy Forecast

Fantasy Forecast: Week 13

All is right in the NBA, except for the Heat as they are currently rolling on a three game losing streak and two of their big 3 are down with ankle injuries. The Cavaliers are riding a 13-game losing streak of their own, but what else do you expect from a team that features Mo Williams and Antawn Jamison? The Cavaliers are rocketing towards the #1 overall pick in next year’s draft, so fantasy numbers are going to be hard to come by.

This week 22 teams play four games while six play three times and the remaining two teams play just twice.

Start Em'
PG – Kyle Lowry: Over the past week Lowry has been able to put up 19.8 PPG, 5.8 APG, 4.0 RPG and 1.5 SPG. This week the Rockets play four times and two of them are against the Grizzlies and Bucks. Lowry looks like a sexy PG3 this week and I see no problems starting him in all formats.

SG – Nick Young: Young recently broke out with a 43 point effort against the Kings, and then he backed it up with 29 points against the Raptors. Over the past two weeks Young has averaged 21.8 points and 5.3 3-pointers a night, but there is a problem there since many are calling for him as a sell-high candidate. I still like him and would keep him if you got him.

SF – Dorell Wright: Wright has shown himself as one of the most improved players in the NBA this season, and owners love him for it. The problem I have with him is that he owned in 90 percent of leagues, but started in just 46 percent of those leagues. If you own him and have him riding your bench, I would hope you have a top tier SF starting over him and no utility spot to put him in.

PF – Ryan Anderson: Anderson is not someone you think of when you look at a PF/C, but his stats put him in the top 10 at PF over the past two weeks. Averaging 13.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.9 3-pointers a night over the past two weeks isn’t enough to grab owners’ attention, so maybe this recommendation will.

PF – Kevin Garnett: Garnett has missed the last nine games with a calf injury, but he practiced on Sunday and is slated to play Monday against the Magic. If you had him on the bench waiting to get confirmation of him playing, put him back in this week.

C – Matt Bonner: To continue the less known players that should be started, Bonner makes the list this week. Over the past two weeks he has managed to 9.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and is shooting 53.3 percent from the field in his 21:25 MPG. Those numbers put him right outside the top 100 fantasy players for the last two weeks yet he is owned in just eight percent of fantasy leagues.

Sit Em'
PG – Mo Williams: Williams not only plays for the worst team in the NBA (record wise), but now he has a hip injury to deal with on top of his leg and groin problems. Word around the campfire is he could possibly shut it down and that means he should be benched and probably cut in all formats. Go snatch Ramon Sessions before someone else does.

SG – Dwyane Wade: With only two games this week, and down one or two members of the big 3, Wade is going to be a tough play in week 13. Double-teams and down a star is not the double-double we think of when we think of fantasy basketball.

SF – Trevor Ariza: Ariza is owned in 84 percent of leagues and started in 69 percent of those leagues, but he is one of the worst shooters in the NBA this season at 39.2 percent from the field. With an average of 10.9 points, 5.6 rebounds, 2.2 assists and his 39.2 percent shooting, why is he still owned in so many leagues? Furthermore, why is he started in almost all of those leagues while Wright gets about half the love with superior stats?

SF – Andre Iguodala: Iggy is owned in 98 percent of leagues and started in 51 percent of them, which is disturbing since he was taken towards the end of the second round in most drafts. He is shooting a paltry 40.5 percent from the field over the last month and that could be handled if he were doing more than 12.9 points, 5.4 assists, 4.7 rebounds and 53.6 percent from the free-throw line.

PF – Anthony Randolph: Randolph has played just three times since December and now he has put in a trade request to the Knicks. I personally want no part of Randolph as rumors have him possibly headed to Indiana, Minnesota or Portland, none of which are going to do him any favors in fantasy terms.

C – Roy Hibbert: Hibbert started off the season with a bang, but has cooled off recently as Coach Jim O’Brien has switched to a small-ball philosophy. He will still be a good source of rebounds and blocks, but those in MPG and FG percentage leagues are going to take a hit in those areas. Center is a weak position for depth in fantasy basketball, so Hibbert is still owned in 89 percent of leagues and started in 51 percent of those leagues.
James Morris hails from Rio Rancho, N.M., and has been playing fantasy sports since 1997. In addition to writing the Timberwolves Fantasy Forecast, Morris also writes fantasy articles for the Boston Celtics, and Indiana Pacers, as well as the NFL fantasy forecast for the Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Arizona Cardinals. You can also find him on Twitter or get him on Facebook for all your fantasy sports updates.