Fantasy Forecast: The NBA Trade Deadline’s Fantasy Impact
The NBA trade deadline came and went and some big moves were made that effects fantasy teams as much as the NBA teams. Let’s talk about some of the deals that were made and how the fantasy values are affected.
Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors: The Warriors traded Monta Ellis and Ekpe Udoh to the Bucks in exchange for Andrew Bogut and Stephen Jackson. With the addition of Ellis to the Bucks, who already have Brandon Jennings, the shots become a little harder to come by. As a result, Ellis and Jennings’ fantasy numbers will both take a small dip. They are both worth keeping, but understand that they may trade off good nights until they get a system in place to share the shots. Udoh on the other hand can be dropped for a hot free agent; Bogut is out for the season and should have been dropped weeks ago.
Los Angeles Lakers: The Lakers bring in Ramon Sessions and Jordan Hill, while sending Derek Fisher and Luke Walton away. Sessions is the winner as he will be running the Lakers offense and should be owned in all formats. Hill will most likely never live up to the No. 8 pick he was taken with in 2009, and he should not be owned in even the deepest of leagues. Fisher shouldn’t be on your fantasy radar no matter where he lands; Walton was never very good, and won’t be worth owning.
New Jersey Nets: The Nets acquired Gerald Wallace and he will fill a gaping hole the Nets have at SF. His arrival will put a dent in Anthony Marrow’s value, and Wallace is a good buy-low candidate. Don’t expect him to be a top tier SF, but he could be a good utility player and spot starter in most formats going forward.
Denver Nuggets: The Nuggets add JaVale McGee and traded Nene Hilario. McGee’s should remain much the same as it was in Washington. I say should because now that the Nuggets have signed Wilson Chandler, the whole rotation gets thrown up in the air and McGee is the new kid on the block. Nene hasn’t lived up to his $67 million contract and is averaging just 29.5 MPG this season thanks to a nagging calf/heel injury. Nene can be one of the better centers in the league when healthy, but he isn’t healthy and the Wizards could drain him mentally with all the losing they do.
Other notable deals: Nick Young goes to the Clippers and you will see Chris Paul put Young in his place; no more fade-away 3-pointers we saw in Washington. Hold onto him for now, but keep a close eye on him as well. Marcus Camby was traded to Houston, which means Samuel Dalembert will most likely see a drop in his already shaky fantasy value. Camby is an injury risk and shouldn’t be looked at anything more than depth for fantasy squads. Stephen Jackson lands in San Antonio and might claw his way up to come low-end fantasy value; and last but not least, Nicolas Batum gets a huge bump in fantasy value with the departures of Camby and Wallace. He is a must-own player in all formats and could end up being the missing piece of the puzzle that gets you into the fantasy playoffs and a shot at the league title. The biggest bump in value goes to the man who didn’t move an inch at the trade deadline.
Andrea Bargnani: Bargnani is finally back and putting up 13.8 points and 5.6 rebounds in 31 MPG over the last week. The numbers will improve as he knocks amonth’s worth of rust off, so get him back in your lineup ASAP.
Jeremy Lin: Lin flourished in Mike D'Antoni’s offense, and interim coach Mike Woodson has already said that Lin’s role will change going forward. But, the injury top Baron Davis solidifies his fantasy value to finish the season out and if you can handle the absurd amount on turnovers he produces, he will continue to be a solid starting PG in most fantasy formats.
Nick Young: I spent some time with “Swaggy-P” over the summer when he came out to Danny Granger’s basketball camp, so I can say that the kid has a true desire and hunger to win. Because I think CP3 can straighten him out, I am excited to see what he does on a winning team like the Clippers. I give him a start simply because the CP3 can hit the open man on the wing, and Young loves to shoot from the outside.
Danny Granger: Over the last two weeks Granger is ranking out in the No. 125 range for fantasy players, but a lot of that has to do with his FG percentage (40.2) and FT percentage (76.0). That being said, the Pacers have Leandro Barbosa coming in and that should help take some pressure off Granger to force up bad shots. He is still a second tier SF this week despite the shooting problems.
Ersan Ilyasova: While I will agree that the addition of Ellis hurts everyone’s offensive production, I think Ilyasova could be the one guy that maintains most of his original value. Udoh isn’t going to push him too much for minutes, so I would continue to start Ilyasova in all formats.
Jason Kidd: Kidd is still owned in just over 70 percent of leagues out there, but that number has more to do with name value than actual fantasy value. He is putting up just 5.7 points, 5.5 assists, 4.1 rebounds and 1.7 steals a night this season, a far cry from the triple-double threat he once was. He kills you in FG percentage (33.7) and does very little to help in other areas, so starting him is likely to do more harm than good most nights. You can’t cut him, so pick and choose where you start him.
Stephen Jackson: I know landing with the Spurs is the perfect spot for him, but he also needs to prove that he can produce offensively before you put him in your fantasy line-up. It has been a month since his last fruitful game, so I’d let him prove something before jumping on the bandwagon.
Dominic McGuire: Who? I know, but in deeper leagues McGuire has been a solid pickup over the last month because Stephen Curry has been out and he duel qualifies at SF and PF. However, Curry is back and the addition of Richard Jefferson is sure to create fewer opportunities for McGuire to get on the floor. Feel free to look for another hot FA on the wire.
Al Harrington: Harrington is a big sell-high candidate right now because of McGee and Chandler coming in. Harrington is already behind Kenneth Faried on the depth chart, and now Chandler steals some of the minutes he was seeing. If your trade deadline has not passed yet, get what you can for Harrington; if it has, hold on to him and be ready to cut him when the time is right.
Joakim Noah: This is little more than a sit due to total games played in week 13 (3). He will give you about 10 points and 10 rebounds in his 3-games this week, but those in cap leagues can turn to someone like Bargnani or McGee and get an extra game for a little cheaper price.
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