Fantasy Forecast: Monday, Nov. 12, 2012
The biggest news of the NBA this week is the breaking news this morning that the Los Angeles Lakers hired Mike D’Antoni to be their next head coach instead of ex-Lakers coach Phil Jackson. I personally don’t think he will impact any players fantasy value on the Lakers as Steve Nash, Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard are established players that know how to play their games and do it well. Coach Mike D’Antoni, for fantasy purposes, is more of a sheep herder than a horse trainer.
Looking at the Timberwolves, the loss of Kevin Love is hurting because fantasy owners drafted him to be the anchor for their team. Ricky Rubio still has not made his 2012-13 debut, but once these two guys get on the court they will be a force to be reckoned with.
Now, let’s move on to some guys that you will want to start this week, and others you will want to sit this week.
Jeremy Lin – PG Rockets: The big problem with Lin has been his turnovers. He has really cur down on them this season (2.7 TOPG), but it is only a matter of time before that ugly demon rears its ugly head again. If you can accept those and have other players that will off-set them, Lin would be a very good asset this week as the Rockets play four games. I don’t see any reason why he can’t score 50-plus points with 25 assists and 20 rebounds, but the turnovers will pile up so be aware and beware.
Kevin Martin – SG Thunder: The great thing about owning Martin this year is that he is no longer the focus for defenses. There are so many other weapons for them to focus on in Oklahoma City, that Martin can play his game and do what he does best, score (15.5 PPG over the last 7 days). The Thunder play four games this week and Martin is someone that should do very well throughout the year as a 3rd/4th option on offense.
Andrei Kirilenko – SF Timberwolves: AK has been one of the more underrated fantasy players this season (currently ranked #20 in Yahoo scoring) by the big-box websites. But, Timberwolves fans are well aware of what this guy has done for the team. Fantasy owners will want to move him up the list from the flex play they have him to a full-fledged starting SF here pretty soon. His stats support him being a starter, not the fill-in player the other websites rank him as.
Jason Thompson – PF Kings: Thompson is only owned in 29 percent of Yahoo leagues, but he scored double-digit points in his last 3 games, while stepping his rebounding up in each of those games. He is a great sneaky source of mid-teens points and high single digit rebounds off the waiver wire for 3 games this week.
Larry Sanders – PF/C Bucks: Sanders is owned in 46 percent of Yahoo leagues and someone that should be owned in closer to 80 percent of them. The guy is averaging 12.0 points 9.2 rebounds and 2.6 block per-game this season. His run of near double-double production might not keep up, but I am sure willing to ride the bang wagon until the wheels fall off!
Chris Paul – PG Clippers: Obviously this is for those in weekly transaction and cap leagues, but Paul plays just two games this week. He is always a beast when on the court, but there are no fantasy stats for practice or community outreach programs. And he will be doing more of those than playing games this week.
Manu Ginobili – SG Spurs: The Spurs are a hard team to get excited about in fantasy terms because they truly adopt the attitude that the team is more important than the individual. The Spurs play just three games this week and he has looked rusty in the last few games. If you are in a weekly/cap league, I’d look elsewhere for a SG this week. He is currently sitting at #201 in Yahoo and it isn’t likely to get better this week.
Jeff Green – SF Celtics: Too many fantasy owners think that because you are on a good team, that makes you a good fantasy pick. Such is not the case when you look at Green and the Celtics as Green is currently averaging 7.8 empty points a night. The Celtics have some good pieces in place and are a good team in the East, but Green is someone that should be benched on fantasy teams because he is a role player for them. You don’t get fantasy points for winning games, just the stats you put up in those games.
Blake Griffin – PF Clippers: I’m not a big fan of Griffin’s for fantasy purposes because dunks and ESPN highlights don’t translate into fantasy points. This week however the Clippers play just two games and that means his opportunities to help teams out will be even more limited than they are when he is playing a full schedule of games.
JaVale McGee – C Nuggets: McGee was highly touted by those big-box sites in the pre-season, and there is a reason why I advised people to stay away from him. The guy can’t seem to get on the court for more than 23 minutes at a time, and often less than that. He is owned in 77 percent of Yahoo leagues and currently sits in the #150 spot overall. I would consider trading him if you can find someone willing to take this headache off your hands.
James Morris hails from Rio Rancho, NM and has been playing fantasy sports for just over 15 years. Not only does he write the Timberwolves fantasy basketball section, but he crosses over the sports boundary and writes the Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals fantasy football sections. Just send him an email and he will reply back the same day with your answer. Or, find him on Twitter (Fantasyguy23) and Facebook to get all your NFL news before it hits the national media. For more news and notes on the team follow the Minnesota Timberwolves and Mark Remme on Twitter, and join the conversation at WolvesNation.com.