April 9 -- Most fantasy leagues lump the final ten days into one long "week," so this will likely be your last chance to make lineup changes this season. With so much on the line, how will you decide which teams' players to start? Game-counting will not be as big a factor, as 16 teams have six games left, 12 teams have five games, and only two have four. When it comes right down to it, I suggest you do what I do when I face a big decision: Consult MOM. Okay, I'm not actually talking about the woman who brought you into the world and could do no wrong until she inexplicably threw out your baseball card collection. I'm referring to a different M.O.M. Motivation Opportunity Momentum. As in, which players and teams: (1) have something to play for; (2) have favorable schedules; and (3) are playing well down the stretch. Finding M.O.M. is not only the key to roto success, but winning your fantasy playoffs might even make your real momma proud!
[Weekly Strength of Schedule Rating, adjusted for home court advantage, in brackets]
New Jersey Nets [58]
The Nets are peaking at the right time, riding the wave of a 14-game winning streak towards the playoffs. New Jersey actually has a shot at catching Miami for the #2 seed, especially with five of six games against Atlantic foes (NJ is 8-3 in division), including Philly, Boston and New York. Expect the most from Vince Carter, Jason Kidd (7.0 rebounds, 9.6 assists, but only 9.8 points on 29 percent shooting his past five games), Richard Jefferson and Nenad Krstic.
Indiana Pacers [52]
The struggling Pacers (3-7 in their last 10) are one of only three teams with four home games remaining, which just might help Indy (23-14 at home) hang on to a playoff spot. The Pacers don't play a team with a winning record the rest of the way, so maybe Jermaine ONeal, Peja Stojakovic, Stephen Jackson and Anthony Johnson (who is starting over Jamaal Tinsley) can turn it around and have productive weeks.
Orlando Magic [48]
Like Indiana, Orlando (23-14 and nine straight wins at home) has four home games in six remaining, with the Spurs as the only opponent over .500. The Magic (7-3 in their last 10) are playing some inspired ball, so take a chance on Dwight Howard, Jameer Nelson and Hedo Turkoglu (21.0 points on 63 percent shooting, but check if his knee's okay), and even consider Carlos Arroyo and Darko Milicic.
Portland Trail Blazers [46]
Portland is a lost cause and might just mail in their remaining six games, which include four playoff-bound opponents. Even Zach Randoph is only showing up every other game. If you are looking to catch lightning in a bottle, Juan Dixon is coming off a 28-point game.
Atlanta Hawks [45]
The Hawks have developed a more balanced attack during the season as Josh Smith (18.6 points, 9.6 rebounds, 4.0 blocks, and 1.8 threes), Josh Childress and Zaza Pachulia have complemented Joe Johnson's and Al Harrington's two-man game. Atlanta has been losing lately, but should be loose and could chalk up some stats against the Magic, Bulls, Bobcats, and Bucks. Even Miami and Cleveland might be less defensive-minded with little to play for their last two games.
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets [45]
New Orleans still has plenty to play for, including head-to-head match-ups with the Kings and Lakers, the teams they are chasing for the last playoff spot and over whom they have two games in hand. Chris Paul (20.4 points, 10.2 assists and 3.4 steals) and David West will need to sparkle for the Hornets to have a fairy tale finish to their Cinderella season. Speedy Claxton could get you some assists, but otherwise NOK has too many guys in the mix to depend on P.J. Brown, Desmond Mason, Rasual Butler or Marc Jackson.
Cleveland Cavaliers [45]
Cleveland (9-1 in their last 10) is another team with big MO-mentum on their side, but they are pretty well set with the #4 seed and unlikely to catch NJ at #3. So other than chasing the scoring title, LeBron James has little to play for and the Cavs might coast down the stretch. Drew Gooden (19.3 points his past three games) could pick up some of the scoring slack if Zydrunas Ilgauskas' ankle remains iffy, but Ronald Murray might share time with recently returned Larry Hughes.
Chicago Bulls [44]
The Bulls are hell-bent on breaking into the playoffs and recently passed Philly for the 8th seed. While their motivation remains strong, their schedule is only so-so, with tough games remaining against the Nets, Wizards and Heat, and more winnable ones with the Hawks, Magic and Raptors. Consider the following playa-Bulls: Kirk Hinrich, Andres Nocioni (19.6 points and 11.4 rebounds), Luol Deng, Ben Gordon and Chris Duhon.
Los Angeles Clippers [44]
L.A. may live to lament their #5 seed, but they'll get some extra practice against their possible first round opponent with two games against Dallas this week. The schedule also includes a double dose of Sonics, and single servings of the Blazers and Grizzlies, so it's not all bad. Chris Kaman (13.0 points, 11.0 rebounds) should give a hand to Elton Brand, but pencil in Corey Maggette (back), Sam Cassell (knee) and Cuttino Mobley (ankle) before confirming your plans.
Golden State Warriors [43]
Losers of seven straight, the Warriors have had a disappointing season despite a fast start. They face four tough opponents, but still get the Blazers twice. Jason Richardson (22.4 points, 2.8 three-pointers) has been the only constant all season long, but Mike Dunleavy, Derek Fisher and Troy Murphy have been better of late.
Washington Wizards [43]
With five-of-six games against Central Division teams (who currently make up five of the top eight Eastern seeds), the Wizards should sharpen their skills against possible playoff opponents. However, with only two home games left, and Washington fairly secure as the #5 seed, don't expect the Wizards to wear out their starters, especially with Caron Butler and Antonio Daniels a bit nicked up. Still, Gilbert Arenas (30.0 points, 9.4 assists, 3.0 steals) and Antawn Jamison should be good to go.
Phoenix Suns [41]
Phoenix (only 5-5 in their last 10) could be suffering from a lack of motivation as they are already locked into the #2 seed. Amare Stoudemire's re-injury reinforces the need to stay healthy, and with the Suns' depth, I wouldn't expect quite as much from Steve Nash, Shawn Marion and Boris Diaw. While Raja Bell, Leandro Barbosa and James Jones might have bigger roles, I wouldn't bet my Eddie House on it.
Philadelphia 76ers [41]
The Sick-sers might not get well in time to make the playoffs, as they must face the Nets (twice), Wizards, Heat, Magic and Bobcats, including only two-of-six at home. I would trust only Allen Iverson, Chris Webber and Andre Iguodala to get the job done. Samuel Dalembert and Kyle Korver have their moments, but are too inconsistent to depend on this week.
Utah Jazz [39]
With a remaining schedule that includes the Nuggets, Hornets, Mavericks and Spurs, Utah can likely kiss their slim remaining playoff hopes good-bye. But with six games, it's still worth playing the Jazz quartet of Andrei Kirilenko, Mehmet Okur, Carlos Boozer (20.6 points, 10.8 rebounds) and Deron Williams.
Seattle Supersonics [38]
Seattle's six opponents are all playoff contenders, including the Clippers twice and the Spurs. With only two home games left, limit your Sonics to Ray Allen, Rashard Lewis (if his ankle's okay), Chris Wilcox (19.2 points, 12.0 rebounds) and maybe Earl Watson (16.4 points, 5.6 assists).
New York Knicks [37]
The Knicks travel to Indiana, Cleveland, Detroit and New Jersey among their remaining six games, so things won't get any easier for New York. Among the remaining healthy bodies, Jamal Crawford (23.0 points in 42 minutes) has been hot, and Eddy Curry deserves a shot.
| Team | 4/10-4/19 | 10-Apr | 17-Apr | H | A | RTG | OPP | ||||||
| New Jersey | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | at CHI | vs PHI | at BOS | vs BOS | at PHI | vs NY | 58 | 36 |
| Indiana | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | vs NY | vs BOS | vs MIN | at CHA | at TOR | vs ORL | 52 | 35 |
| Orlando | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | vs ATL | vs TOR | at SA | vs PHI | vs CHI | at IND | 48 | 44 |
| Portland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | vs DEN | at LAC | at LAL | vs GS | at GS | vs PHO | 46 | 51 |
| Atlanta | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | at ORL | vs CHI | vs CHA | at MIL | vs MIA | at CLE | 45 | 55 |
| New Orleans | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | vs CLE | vs SEA | vs UTH | at SAC | at PHO | at LAL | 45 | 41 |
| Cleveland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | at NO | at DET | vs NY | at WAS | at BOS | vs ATL | 45 | 32 |
| Chicago | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | vs NJ | at ATL | vs WAS | at MIA | at ORL | vs TOR | 44 | 52 |
| LA Clippers | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | vs DAL | vs POR | at SEA | vs SEA | at MEM | at DAL | 44 | 36 |
| Golden State | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | at LAL | vs DAL | vs PHO | at POR | vs POR | at UTH | 43 | 51 |
| Washington | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | at PHI | at MIL | at CHI | vs CLE | vs MIL | at DET | 43 | 48 |
| Phoenix | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | at SAC | vs DAL | at GS | at LAL | vs NO | at POR | 41 | 43 |
| Philadelphia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | vs WAS | at NJ | at MIA | at ORL | vs NJ | at CHA | 41 | 62 |
| Utah | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | vs HOU | vs DEN | at NO | at DAL | at SA | vs GS | 39 | 48 |
| Seattle | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | at SA | at NO | vs LAC | at LAC | at SAC | vs DEN | 38 | 62 |
| New York | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | at IND | at CLE | vs MIL | at DET | vs CHA | at NJ | 37 | 64 |
| Miami | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | vs TOR | vs PHI | vs CHI | at ATL | at BOS | 58 | 31 | |
| Charlotte | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | vs MEM | at ATL | vs IND | at NY | vs PHI | 51 | 61 | |
| Detroit | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | vs CLE | at TOR | vs NY | at MIL | vs WAS | 50 | 19 | |
| Denver | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | at POR | at UTH | vs SAC | vs HOU | at SEA | 49 | 57 | |
| Milwaukee | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | vs WAS | at NY | vs ATL | vs DET | at WAS | 48 | 52 | |
| San Antonio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | vs SEA | vs ORL | at MIN | vs UTH | at HOU | 45 | 20 | |
| Dallas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | at LAC | at GS | at PHO | vs UTH | vs LAC | 42 | 27 | |
| Houston | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | at UTH | vs MIN | vs MEM | at DEN | vs SA | 38 | 38 | |
| Memphis | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | vs MIN | at CHA | at HOU | vs LAC | at MIN | 37 | 35 | |
| Toronto | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | at MIA | at ORL | vs DET | vs IND | at CHI | 35 | 51 | |
| Boston | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | at IND | vs NJ | at NJ | vs CLE | vs MIA | 35 | 55 | |
| Minnesota | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | at MEM | at HOU | at IND | vs SA | vs MEM | 32 | 27 | |
| Sacramento | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | vs PHO | at DEN | vs NO | vs SEA | 53 | 49 | ||
| LA Lakers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | vs GS | vs POR | vs PHO | vs NO | 51 | 38 |
Miami Heat [58]
Miami (only 5-5 in their last 10) might be hearing the Nets footsteps, but the Heat should finish strong against the Raptors, Sixers, Bulls, Hawks and Celtics, if they can stay healthy and motivated. Dwyane Wade, Shaquille ONeal and Antoine Walker are your best bets.
Charlotte Bobcats [51]
Other than Memphis, Charlotte's remaining opponents the Hawks, Pacers, Knicks and Sixers have all been struggling big-time. Even though the Cats are playing out the string, you could have a ball with Gerald Wallace, Raymond Felton (20.0 points, 7.8 assists), Brevin Knight and Jumaine Jones.
Detroit Pistons [50]
Depending on how close Detroit is to wrapping up the best record could determine how the Pistons divvy up playing time. Still, the Cavs, Raptors, Knicks, Bucks and Wizards offer a better than average schedule, so stay with Chauncey Billups, Richard Hamilton, Rasheed Wallace, Ben Wallace, Tayshaun Prince and maybe Antonio McDyess down the stretch. While Sheed faces additional suspensions for every other technical foul, expect him to keep his emotions in check
at least until playoff time.
Denver Nuggets [49]
Of Denver's five remaining games, only one team (Sacramento) has a winning record. The Nuggets are locked into the third seed, so go with Carmelo Anthony (29.0 points, 7.0 free throws made) and Andre Miller, but expect them to be cautious with Marcus Camby.
Milwaukee Bucks [48]
Milwaukee has two games left with Washington, the team they are chasing for the 5th seed, so they should stay focused. The Bucks' backcourt of Michael Redd, T.J. Ford and Charlie Bell (16.2 points, 3.4 three-pointers) have kept them in the playoff hunt, but their frontcourt of Jamaal Magloire, Bobby Simmons, Andrew Bogut and Joe Smith have all but disappeared.
San Antonio Spurs [45]
None of their five remaining opponents has a winning record, so look for the Spurs to have a slight edge in holding off Dallas for the West's top seed. Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili (17.8 points) have been San Antonio's only consistent fantasy weapons all season, so if you've ridden them this far, don't change horses now.
Dallas Mavericks [42]
Speaking of horses, the Mavericks are right on the Spurs' heels for the #1 seed, so giddy up and go with Dirk Nowitzki, Jason Terry, Josh Howard (21.7 points his past three games) and possibly Jerry Stackhouse. For those with two separate weeks left, note that Dallas has four games this week, but only one after April 17.
Houston Rockets [38]
Houston the third team of this Texas trio has a tough road to hoe, with their last three games against Memphis, Denver and San Antonio. Yao Ming, Rafer Alston and maybe Luther Head (14.2 points in 37 minutes) are your only recommended Rockets.
Memphis Grizzlies [37]
Even though Memphis has only one remaining winning opponent (Clippers), they still face unfriendly fantasy foes in Houston and Minnesota (twice). Plus, while the Grizzlies would never intentionally tank a game, they can't be motivated to catch the Clippers for the #5 seed to face the Spurs or Mavericks when their current slot at #6 has them meeting Denver instead. Pau Gasol (20.0 points, 9.0 rebounds, 6.2 assists) is your only must-play. Hopefully, you have more consistent options than Shane Battier, Chucky Atkins, Bobby Jackson, Eddie Jones and Mike Miller.
Toronto Raptors [35]
The Raptors are stuck in a seven-game losing skid, and might not win another game this season against the Heat, Magic, Pacers, Pistons and Bulls. Mike James (29.2 points, 7.4 assists), Morris Peterson and maybe Charlie Villanueva will keep filling up the stat sheet despite Toronto's late-season swoon.
Boston Celtics [35]
The only consolation to the Celtics' schedule vs. the Pacers, Nets (twice), Cavs and Heat is that most of their opponents are pretty well set in their playoff position. But Boston will still struggle to score, so don't reach beyond Paul Pierce and Delonte West this week.
Minnesota Timberwolves [32]
Minnesota has underachieved greatly this season, and has no chance to finish strong against the likes of the Grizzlies (twice), Rockets, Pacers and Spurs. According to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Coach Dwane Casey plans to play his entire roster the rest of the way, which means fewer minutes for anyone fantasy-worthy. Other than Kevin Garnett, you have no choice but to bench Ricky Davis, Trenton Hassell, Marcus Banks and Rashad McCants.
Sacramento Kings [53]
With only four games left (Suns, Nuggets, Hornets and Sonics), you will have to think long and hard about starting any Kings, especially if you have better six-game options. Sacramento should stay focused as they try to hold onto a playoff spot. But with so many weapons, it will be hard to choose among Ron Artest, Mike Bibby, Brad Miller, Shareef Abdur-Rahim and Bonzi Wells.
Los Angeles Lakers [51]
The Lakers also have only four games left, but they're all at home vs. the Warriors, Blazers, Suns and Hornets. Obviously, you've got to play Kobe Bryant, but Lamar Odom is not a good draw if you have a six-gun shooter.
*The weekly strength of schedule rating is computed based on each NBA team's opponents stats allowed (year-to-date, updated monthly) which are assigned a 1-10 rating (1 = stingiest, 10 = most generous) in each of eight statistical categories: field goal percentage, free throw attempts*, three pointers made, total rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, and total points.
**(Note: Whether your league counts free throw percentage or free throws made, free throw attempts is the best measure of the number of scoring opportunities allowed because the free throw itself is not really "defended".) Thus, each team receives an opponents stats allowed rating (OPP) between 8 and 80, with "44" being the median. Each NBA team's weekly rating (RTG) is derived by taking an average of their opponents' ratings for that week. Finally, the average rating is adjusted for home court advantage (+1 for each home game and -1 for each away game). Individual player's stats represent last five game averages unless noted otherwise.
Tony Targan is a fantasy expert for NBA.com. His column "Jump Ball: A Look at the Week Ahead" runs every Sunday as part of the NBA.com Premium Scouting Report. Contact him at Targan@TalentedMrRoto.com.
The views expressed by the TalentedMrRoto.com represent only the views of the writers; they do not represent the views of the NBA or any NBA team.

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