April 16 -- Here it is, my valedictory Expert Eye. A few thanks are in order. First, thanks to all the readers who sent me their teams. As is no surprise, TalentedMrRoto.com readers did more than just send me a team roster and plead help. You shared your own ideas for improvement, gave me insight into the other teams, and let me know how things worked out. This made my job easier and far more enjoyable. So, again, thanks. The next thank you goes out to my editor, Brian McKitish. Brian checked me when I strayed too far beyond the three-point line with my advice, and on several occasions updated me on injury information that saved a few columns. It was great working with you, Brian. And the last, biggest thank you is for my wife, Catherine, who let me indulge in my fantasy obsession more deeply than ever before. The last few weeks, between the baseball column, game notes, and this column, have been pretty hectic. That a cast iron skillet hasn't been launched at my head is a testament to her patience. Thank you.
One piece of advice for those fantasy owners who have "stressed" their home lives by obsessing over their teams: If you are in line to win a money league as I am, take some of the earnings and blow it on your wives or girlfriends (or both). Consider it an investment for next season. When they start to give you that look next January—you know the one—you can look back, smile, and say, "Remember that dinner at Chez Panisse last April? That was nice wasn't it?" For the clueless out there, the dinner I am referring to is the one you took your girl to with the winnings from your money league.
That's enough romantic advice for fantasy players, though that might make a nice column for next year. On second thought…maybe not.
This week we are picking up from where we left off last time. Last week we looked at "deeper keepers." This week we will cover deeper sleepers. I define these players as the guys who are almost guaranteed to be available in the later rounds of your drafts. Some will be the typical second and third-year players who are poised to bust out. Others have been in the league a while but don't get the love. They were sitting in late rounds this year and will be there next year. These are twelve guys who don't the respect but who do get the stats. Again, the list is personal. But that just means these are the guys I'll be looking for late next season.
Antonio Daniels, PG: His year end totals will not blow anyone away. As of now, here they are: 9.5 points, 3.5 assists, 0.7 steals, 41.6 percent from the field, and 84.8 percent from the line. Those numbers go undrafted in most leagues. But check out his recent production over the last month: 14.9 points, 4.9 assists, 0.9 steals, 48.4 percent from the field and 85.9 percent from the line. Interested now? He should see a lot minutes next year alongside Gilbert Arenas, so don't view him as just a backup.
Speedy Claxton, PG: Speedy is another "backup" who shouldn't be treated as such on draft day. He finds a way to get on the floor and Byron Scott loves his defense. The big knock on Speedy is his penchant for injury. That won't change. He is slight of build and is assured of some injuries next year. Still in the last few rounds of your draft you want a guy who will score, dish, and rack up the steals, always a precious commodity in fantasy basketball.
Devin Harris, PG: I know I am not alone in this one. Devin is poised to take over starting duties in Dallas next year. He is blazingly fast and absolutely fearless in the lane. He will regularly get double-doubles in points and assists while shooting a decent percentage. He won't get you threes but the steals will help make up for it. Pre-season hype might drive up his value next fall but his numbers this year are not that impressive. This is because he didn't see a lot of minutes and was hurt toward the end of the season.
Derek Fisher, PG: Fisher is one of those guys who goes late, if he is drafted at all, in mid-sized leagues. Yet he provides threes, a great free throw percentage (.827), assists, and steals. Baron Davis will get injured. It happens every year, especially if his team is not looking playoff bound. When that happens, Fisher will step in a give you fantastic numbers. He can be frustrating when Baron is going strong because his minutes will diminish. Owners of Davis are almost obligated to handcuff Fisher to him. This should be easy because he is always sitting there in the late rounds.
Monta Ellis, PG/SG: Another Warrior I just love is Monta Ellis. In fact, I think this combo guard is more of a threat to Derek Fisher's minutes than Baron Davis. This kid has otherworldly speed. I mean Gilbert Arenas, Allen Iverson kind of wheels. If you think I am exaggerating, try to catch a Warriors game before the season's up and watch him rip steals from opposing guards and race up the court for layups. It's going to happen a lot next year. The Warriors could find themselves with a second Arenas situation, where a second-round draft pick exits for a fat contract and stardom on another team.
Josh Childress SG/SF: There are two kinds of players I just love. The first are the jets, guys like Harris, Claxton and Ellis who can outrun everyone else on the court. The second are the long guys. These are players who have long arms and quick hands, guys like Josh Howard, Gerald Wallace, Andrei Kirilenko, etc. These are the kinds of players who can get you steals aplenty because they use their length to get into the passing lanes. Childress is in the same mold. Despite his strong numbers, he will be there in the late rounds of your draft. People will see the crowded situation in Atlanta with Josh Smith, Marvin Williams, and Joe Johnson and wonder where the minutes will come from. They'll be there, trust me. I see Childress as a Shane Battier type but with more offensive potential. Take a flier on him late.
Darius Miles, SG/SF: Portland is a mess right now. They will probably be a mess next year as well. The only Blazer on your cheat sheet might be Zach Randolph. While the season totals aren't pretty for Miles, try to remember his November, when he was the hottest free agent add in fantasy. He averaged 18.8 points, 5.7 rebounds, 1.6 blocks, 1.4 steals and shot 49.1 percent from the field. The statistical marks against Miles are his free throw shooting and turnovers. The other marks are character-based. There are questions about his motivation and his relationship with coach Nate McMillan. If Darius is there late, you'll have to consider him. Also, think about teammates Sebastian Telfair and Martell Webster. The young players will get time next season.
Hedo Turkoglu, SG/SF: I wrote about him in this week's Tao of Roto. Here's the reader's digest version: Grant Hill will get hurt again. Hedo Turkoglu will step up again. In many leagues he went undrafted or very late. Next year won't be very different. He may move up a round or two but you could do a lot worse in the 11th round than a guy with great position flexibility who gets you threes, points, good percentages and decent assists and steals.
Andres Nocioni, SF: Yes, his minutes are up and down. Yes, his goatee is a poor use of facial hair. Still, you want anyone who can give you a combination of double-digit rebounds, good percentages, threes, and scoring. He will have his down nights for sure. Ride these out. His good nights, like the 20 point, 17 rebound game he hung on a good New Jersey team on April 11, are the ones you should remember. He is entering his third year in the league and is poised to build on his already strong numbers. Draft him with confidence.
Udonis Haslem, PF: If slow and steady wins the race, then Udonis is your man. He does the same thing year after year: average close to a double-double and get you 50 and 80 percent from the field and line respectively. And next year, there he will be in your draft, lingering past 11th and 12th rounds. If you find yourself in need of cheap rebounds but don’t want to hurt your free throw percentage, you have two options: P.J. Brown or Haslem. P.J. is getting older and his production has begun to decline. Haslem is entering his fourth season and his numbers will spike every time Shaquille O'Neal goes down with injury, which will happen more and more.
Kendrick Perkins, PF/C: Perkins earned Doc Rivers' trust this season and should enter next year as the starting center for the Boston Celtics. Luckily for you, Perkins' early start on the bench and mid-season shoulder separation depressed his season totals, making him less attractive on draft day. I love Perkins as a second center who gets you rebounds and blocks. Blocks are a rare commodity and Perkins averaged 1.6 per game. His game is developing—remember he was taken out of high school—and I think he is in line for improved offensive numbers as well.
Nenad Krstic, PF/C: Nenad Krstic does not block shots; he has averaged less than a block a game this year. This fact alone will cause him to fall further than he should next year. His season averages will look average to most players and the lack of blocks will keep people away. Look a little deeper and you will see a player you want. Since March he has averaged better than 15 points and 8 rebounds a game while shooting those magical 50-80 percentages you love to see out of your big men. Krstic is entering his third year in the league and I expect next season's averages to equal is end of the year run this season. Grab him late and smile.
That’s it for this season. It's been great. If you have any final thoughts on the season or the column, give me a shout at guylake@TalentedMrRoto.com.
Guy Lake is a fantasy expert for NBA.com. His column Expert Eye for the Roto Guy runs every Sunday as part of the NBA.com Premium Scouting Report. Contact him at guylake@TalentedMrRoto.com.
The views expressed by the TalentedMrRoto.com represent only the views of the writers; they do not represent the views of the NBA or any NBA team.

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