The Talented Mr. Roto: 10/16/06
By Matthew Berry, TalentedMrRoto.comBack to top
Know what I am? Frenzied about Fantasy.
Know what I am if you are reading the day AFTER Monday, October 16?
Recovering from my Frenzied Fantasy.
Welcome, kids, to another season of fantasy hoops. It’s only the second best day of the year. (The best being draft day, of course). I’m back for another season right here on NBA.com and in case you haven’t noticed, we got a lot of coolio, whiz-bang new features. Check out the FSPI. Stroll by our brand spanking new commissioner game, fully customizeable for any size league or scoring system and you can even include keepers (all for free!). Read our three free columns a day, cruise our stats section, stop and stay a while. May I take your drink order?
The draft kit, complete with player profiles, projections and my very own Draft Day Manifesto is a must read. We have more info than you can shake Kobe at and it’s only the beginning. By beginning, of course, I mean Laker references from me. I am an unabashed Laker homer. Kwame for President!
Okay, I’m a fan, but I’m not nuts. Just kidding. But I’ll tell you this: Whatever your fantasy needs are, we got it for you right here on NBA.com. Say it with me: NBA.com, I love youuuuu.
Okay, shameless pimping over, time to talk a few sleepers this year and dip into the mailbag. (Understand that that is a figure of speech, of course. The mailbag doesn’t actually exist, it’s my email account, so there’s nothing to “dip” into.
NINE GUYS I LIKE THIS YEAR:
Chris Bosh: Maybe it’s because he’s quiet or in Toronto or doesn’t spell his name all weird like “Dwyane,” but unless you have owned him, people don’t appreciate how studly Chris Bosh is. Dude is basically 22-and-10 (points/rebounds) a game, with a block per and crazy good percentages. Like 50 percent from the field and 80 percent from the line crazy good. That high percentage with the number of shots he takes let’s you absorb a gunner like AI without killing your FG percentage. First round production you can get in the second round.
Gerald Wallace: Other than Gerald, name the NBA stars who averaged more than 2 steals and more than 2 blocks a game last year. Go ahead, look it up, I’ll wait.
Josh Smith: You know what’s fun? You got 8 categories to fill up, right? Well, fun is filling them all up with one guy. Look at what Smith did post All-Star break last year: 15 points, 1.1 threes, 7.8 boards, 4.1 assists, 3.1 blocks and 1.0 steals. Okay, now look at those again. 3 blocks a game? Plus a three? And a steal? And he throws in 4 assists just for fun? What??? Seriously… what???? He’s Kirilenko without the injury risk. He’s LeBron lite that blocks. Here’s a guy that will never go this cheap again.
Raymond Felton: If I offered you a point guard that averaged 16.7 points, 7.6 assists, 1.4 steals and 2 threes a game, is that something you might be interested in? Apologies to the gang at Entourage but get back to me on those numbers. Because that’s what Felton did after the All-Star break last year.
David West: Here’s a fun bar bet. Other than Shawn Marion, Kevin Garnett and Chris Bosh, name the only starting power forward in the NBA to average more than 50 percent from the field and 80 percent from the line. 17-and-7 last year and with Tyson Chandler in town to help take attention away in the post, West is an unsexy name that will produce night in and night out. Incidentally, the same has often been said about me.
Chris Kaman: You come for the hair, you stay for the stats. The Big Tom Petty, as my buddy Steve Mason calls him, averaged 14 and 10 after the All-Star break with basically a block and a steal a game while shooting very good percentages. He’s goofy looking and seems slow as dirt, I’ll give you that, but you don’t have to watch him play, just enjoy his box scores the next morning.
Chris Wilcox: As I often tell the ladies, sometimes, all you need is a shot to prove what you can do. They never buy it, but Seattle did and in 29 games as a Sonic last year, Chris Wilcox put up 14-and-8 with a ridiculous 59% FG percentage. He shoots well from the line and even better, his overall numbers from last year look poor because he was in LA stuck behind a guy named Elton Brand for the first half of the year. Once traded, he took off and now, with a whole off-season under his belt to get truly comfortable, look for big things this year from Mr. Wilcox.
Channing Frye: 35 minutes. 5 minutes. Seemed like you never knew how long Channing Frye would be on the floor last year from game to game, you just knew that when he was, he produced. 15-and-8 with a block and good percentages when he started last year, he now gets a coach on the hot seat whose drafting of Frye is one of the few positives. Expect Isiah to play Frye a lot (“See? I drafted him and he’s good”) and with consistent PT, expect Frye to improve on already solid numbers.
Speedy Claxton: You know what the difference between regular play and junk time is? Absolutely nothing. Going to Atlanta worked for Joe Johnson last year and with a starting gig all to himself, it’s gonna work for Speedy. He averaged 13 and 6 when he started with Golden State and gets nice steals to boot. Love, love, love me the Speedy this year.
Joel Reese from Chicago. How's it going? Listen, I read your story on your theory about how to win your fantasy NBA league, and I wanted to ask you about it. I think it makes a lot of sense. But I'm in a head-to-head, points-based league that's not based on categories--it's strictly points. (So, since you don't win by categories, does your system make as much sense?
Here are the scoring categories:
2PM - Two Pointers Made: 2 points
So I don't know if your system holds up, since a basket counts as much as a block as an assist as a steal. I would suppose you'd want to get quick guards who score a lot, have a lot of steals, and drain a lot of threes (yeah, seems like sound reasoning...). So it would make sense to go for guards and forwards who rebound a lot (again, seems fairly obvious). Is there something I'm missing here? Is there any way to refine your system for this scoring? Any tips I'm missing here?
And, given your system, I'm wondering who you would recommend with the third pick. I'm thinking it will go: LeBron, KG. I'm leaning toward Kobe, but Wade does have more assists... but Kobe has more threes...
I'm sure you get a million e-mails, and so I'm sure personal responses are difficult to do. But if you get a chance, I'd be happy to get your thoughts...
The basic tenets of my theory still apply. You no longer have to worry about “building on strength” because in a points system like this, it doesn’t matter where the points come from. But getting points guards who shoot threes and steals and power forward with high percentages and blocks still works here because you are maximizing points by position. You just don’t need to worry about how many of each you are getting. In terms of drafting, it becomes more about best available from those two types of players rather than scarcity. And I’d go Kobe with the #3. Seeing as how you get points for minutes, Kobe should continue to be one of the league leaders in minutes played.
That’s all we have this week! Get ready for an amazing season of fantasy hoops.
Matthew Berry is a long time fantasy columnist, TV/Radio personality and Olympic Gold Medalist in synchronized swimming. You can read more of his work, including signing up for his free, daily fantasy blog, at TalentedMrRoto.com , a site featuring free news, analysis, rankings and advice for all fantasy sports. The site recently was nominated for four awards by the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, including best site. Cyberstalk Matthew at TalentedMrRoto@aol.com
The views expressed by TalentedMrRoto.com represent only the views of the writers; they do not represent the views of the NBA or any NBA team.