Now begins the tricky portion of the Drive to the Finals odyssey. Sunday’s pick depends entirely on one question: How much do you trust the Boston Celtics to take care of business at home? There’s reason to think that Boston will pull out Sunday’s game. They’ve won all three home games so far. All three of those wins have been by an average of 23 points. Boston was 35-6 at home in the regular season, while the Hawks were 12-29 on the road. Eight seeds have defeated top seeds only twice since the playoffs expanded. If you think, as we do, that Boston will put down the pesky Hawks on Sunday, then you’ll want to save your Celtics for later on in the playoffs. We’ve already used the three PRA-relevant Hawks, so someone from the Jazz/Lakers game (the only other game on Sunday) has to be the pick. Given that option, we’re going with Deron Williams. Williams has been remarkably consistent, both in the regular season and playoffs. You can count on him for at least 30 PRA, and often more, like the 40 he busted out on Friday against the Rockets. Also taking into consideration Williams’ play against the Lakers this season (33.3 average PRA), we’re feeling pretty good about the Jazz point guard on Sunday. However, the plot thickens if you’re not so sure about the Celtics’ chances on Sunday. Do you really want to let all of the players on a 66-win team go unused? That scenario could happen to a lot of Drive to the Finals players if the C’s lose on Sunday, as most of us were waiting to save Celtics for later rounds. If you’re not completely confident in Boston on Sunday, then you’ll want to take a Celtic while you still can. Kevin Garnett has averaged a PRA of 34 in the playoffs, but Paul Pierce and Ray Allen are also liable to explode for a big game. So the question remains: how much do you trust the Celtics? We as experts do, and that’s why we’re going with Deron Williams.
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