Posted Mar 3 2011 11:57AM
In this NBA.com StatsCube study, StatsCube looks at a few deadline moves and how they may affect the teams involved.
The various trades that went down last week have all been digested. We've seen almost all of the traded players in their new uniforms.
Sample sizes are small when it comes to evaluating players on new teams in such a short timeframe, but it's never too early to fire up StatsCube and see what we can find.
No trade was more shocking than the deal that sent Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson to Oklahoma City for Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic. By moving Perkins, the Celtics seemingly compromised exactly what has made them so great over the last 3 ½ years. Their success has been built on an unyielding defense that has been its strongest on the interior.
Since the beginning of the 2007-08 season, the Celtics have allowed just 98.1 points per 100 possessions with Perkins on the floor, as opposed to 99.6 when he's off. That's not a huge dropoff (they actually dropped off more offensively), but maybe most telling is the 95.3 points per 100 possessions that the Celtics allowed when Perkins and Kevin Garnett were on the floor together. The Celtics weren't unbeatable with their starting bigs in the lineup, but they were certainly tough to score on.
One team that's certainly happy to see Perkins move West is the Orlando Magic. The Magic are the only team with a winning record (14-13) against Boston since the 2007-08 season, but Perkins' ability to defend Dwight Howard one-on-one had a clear effect on the Orlando offense.
|Dwight Howard vs. Boston, 2007-08 to present, per 40 minutes|
ORL Eff. = Magics points scored per 100 possessions
On the other coast, the Los Angeles Lakers may or may not like seeing Perkins more often. On one hand, the Lakers would have more of a size advantage should they meet the Celtics in The Finals again. On the other hand, they'll have less of a size advantage against Oklahoma City should they meet the Thunder in the West playoffs.
The individual numbers of Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum against the Celtics weren't affected much by Perkins' presence on the court, but the Lakers scored just 98.4 points per 100 possessions against the Celtics with Perkins on the floor over the last 3 ½ years, as opposed to 103.0 with him off it.
It's a little too early to get a gauge on the new Knicks. Before Wednesday, it was looking like Chauncey Billups was the key in this deal. In their first four games together, Carmelo Anthony and Amar'e Stoudemire were a plus-23 in 106 minutes together with Billups also on the floor, but were a minus-29 in 15 minutes together with Billups on the bench.
With the sample size so small, that number wasn't too meaningful, but it made for a fascinating tidbit as the Knicks prepared to play the Hornets on Wednesday without Billups (bruised quad). The Knicks then crushed the Hornets as Toney Douglas had a huge game as the starting point guard and that fascinating tidbit went out the window.
On the Denver side, we've had some interesting developments. The Nuggets are 4-1 since the 'Melo deal after beating the Bobcats by 40 on Wednesday. Denver's only post-trade loss came in overtime in Portland, and they've beat some pretty good teams at home: Memphis, Boston and Atlanta.
|Nuggets efficiency & assist rate|
|Off. Eff. = Points scored per 100 possessions|
Def. Eff. = Points allowed per 100 possessions
The big difference has been the Nuggets' defense, which has held opponents to just 43 percent shooting in those five post-'Melo games. But offensively, they've done just fine with more balance and better ball movement. They traded perhaps the most complete offensive player in the league, but by doing so, they should have a more fluid offense.
There seems to be a difference of opinion around the league regarding Corey Brewer. The Timberwolves essentially traded him for Anthony Randolph, who has yet to prove he can contribute consistently in the NBA. Then, the Knicks chose to waive Brewer instead of Roger Mason Jr. or Andy Rautins, who have combined to play 105 minutes this season.
Once the Knicks waived Brewer, real contenders like the Celtics, Mavs and Spurs came calling, with Dallas reportedly giving him a multi-year contract.
There's not much to like about Brewer's offensive game. He's not a very good shooter, nor a very good playmaker. Of 301 players who have logged at least 500 minutes this season, he ranks 293rd in effective field-goal percentage (which accounts for the extra point scored on 3-pointers).
But defensively, Brewer can certainly help. The Timberwolves were better defensively with him on the floor (106.6 points allowed per 100 possessions) than they were with him on the bench (109.0). They were at a Bulls/Celtics level, 96.7, in 301 minutes with both Brewer and forward Anthony Tolliver on the floor.
In the playoffs, defensive wings can help their teams when it comes to certain matchups. And there's one particular matchup that Brewer might be able to help the Mavs with.
|Kobe Bryant vs. Minnesota, 2007-08 through present|
Those numbers aren't enough evidence to label Brewer a "Kobe-stopper," but they're worth keeping in mind when the Mavs play the Lakers this season -- and if the teams should meet in the playoffs.
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