Cavs and Lakers are The Big Two
By John Schuhmann, NBA.com
Posted Mar 23 2009 11:56AM
There were times during this season when it looked as if no team other than the Cavs, Celtics and Lakers would crack the top three. And there were times when it looked like no one other than those three, the Magic and the Spurs would crack the top five.
Those walls have been broken down, more so by the frailties of the teams listed above than by a big run from any of the other 25 teams. These days, with Kevin Garnett's return boosting the Celtics back to elite status, it's the Spurs who aren't looking very top-fivish.
The top two teams, though, are looking impenetrable. Each has an insurmountable lead atop the conference and, together, they are competing only against each other for home-court advantage .
It has been predicted in this space multiple times that Cleveland-L.A. will be the matchup in the 2009 NBA Finals, and that possibility is looking stronger than ever. Not only will the Lakers have the No. 1 seed in the West, but they also have a winning record against every Western Conference team except one. (They're 1-1 against the Jazz, with one game remaining.)
The only Eastern Conference team with a head-to-head edge on the Cavs is the Celtics, who visit Quicken Loans Arena on April 12. Cleveland also has split its first two games with the Magic and visits Orlando on April 3. But of course, the Cavs are 32-1 at home, 21-0 against the East. And even though Ben Wallace is out, Cleveland is looking much more healthy than the Celtics these days.
Meanwhile, the Elimination Watch is on. They're still mathematically alive, but put former partners Larry Bird (Indiana) and Donnie Walsh (New York) on the guest list for May 19 in Secaucus. Then pencil in Rod Thorn (New Jersey), John Hammond (Milwaukee) and Steve Kerr (Phoenix) as well.
It looks like the eighth spot in the East will come down to the Bulls and Bobcats. They play once more (April 11 in Chicago) and Charlotte already has the tiebreaker, with wins in the first two games between the two teams.
• Last Week: A Fine Line
• This Time Last Year: Rising Suns and Convincing Celtics -- The Celtics swept through the Texas Triangle, the Suns had won seven straight, the Magic were showing improvement on the defensive end, the Warriors controlled their own destiny, and the Wizards were waiting on Gilbert Arenas.
Hero Team of the Week: Houston (4-0)
Zero Team of the Week: New York (0-3)
High jumps of the week: Houston (+3), L.A. Clippers (+3), New Jersey (+3), Sacramento (+3)
Free falls of the week: New York (-7), Washington (-4), Miami (-3), San Antonio (-3)
East vs. West: The East leads 215-203 (.514) in inter-conference games, but the West was 14-11 last week.
Pace: Possessions per 48 minutes (League Rank)
Off: Points scored per 100 possessions (League Rank)
Def: Points allowed per 100 possessions (League Rank) The league averages through Sunday are 90.4 possessions (per team) per 48 minutes and 109.6 points scored per 100 possessions.
As always, the stats don't determine the rankings, but they help evaluate each team and provide a picture of where they stand on both sides of the ball.
NBA.com's Power Rankings are just one man's opinion and are released every Monday during the season. If you've got an issue with the rankings, or have a question or comment for John Schuhmann, send him an e-mail.
| |
TEAM (LAST WEEK) |
REC. |
BREAKDOWN |
| 1 |
Cleveland (1) |
57-13 |
Pace: 87.8 (25),
Off: 113.6 (4), Def:
103.5 (2)
The Cavs quietly have won nine
straight, and if Ben
Wallace wasn't out,
they would be more
than ready for the
playoffs. They tied
their franchise
record for wins Sunday in
New Jersey and with
12 games to play,
already have 12 more
wins than last
season. |
| 2 |
L.A. Lakers (2) |
55-14 |
Pace: 93.4 (5),
Off: 115.2 (2), Def:
107.0 (6)
If the Cavs finish a
game ahead of the
Lakers and the two teams
meet in the Finals,
Game 1 would be in
Cleveland thanks to
Andre Iguodala's
game-winning three
last Tuesday. L.A.
began its seven-game trip with
a Bench Mob-led
comeback in Chicago
on Saturday. |
| 3 |
Orlando (3) |
51-18 |
Pace: 91.1 (12),
Off: 111.9 (7), Def:
103.8 (3)
The Magic were less
than a minute from
handing the Cavs
their second loss at
the Q on Tuesday,
but a LeBron three
and a rare
three-second
violation sent them
home empty-handed.
They host the
Celtics on Wednesday
(8 p.m. ET, ESPN) in
a game that could go
a long way in
determining the two
seed. |
| 4 |
Houston (7) |
47-25 |
Pace: 89.1 (20),
Off: 109.7 (15),
Def: 105.3
(4)
The Rockets have won
four straight and
moved into second
place in the West
with Sunday's win
over the Spurs
(though San Antonio
is still a game
ahead in the loss
column). Put Rick
Adelman on the short
list for Coach of
the Year. |
| 5 |
Boston (6) |
53-18 |
Pace: 89.2 (19),
Off: 112.4 (5), Def:
103.4 (1)
For some reason, the
Celtics' defense was
much better in their
two games this
weekend (95.3) than
it was in their
previous 13 games
(110.5). Oh yeah,
No. 5 came back. That'll do the
trick. |
| 6 |
Utah (5) |
43-26 |
Pace: 91.2 (10),
Off: 111.9 (6), Def:
108.0 (11)
Wins over the
Wizards and Thunder
probably aren't
enough to say that
the Jazz are back on
track after losing
three straight last
week. The next six
games, in which they
play Houston,
Phoenix twice,
Portland and Denver,
will be a better
measuring stick. |
| 7 |
San Antonio (4) |
45-24 |
Pace: 87.0 (27),
Off: 109.7 (16),
Def: 105.4
(5)
The Spurs have lost
four of their last
six, including
Monday's shocker in
Oklahoma City,
thanks to an anemic
Ginobili-less
offense. A shooting
percentage of 43.4
percent and an
offensive rating of
99.3 over six games
is downright ugly. |
| 8 |
Atlanta (8) |
41-29 |
Pace: 88.5 (24),
Off: 110.9 (10),
Def: 108.6
(12)
It took just one
road game for the
Hawks' seven-game
winning streak to
come to an end. They
retreat home
for a four-game
stand, but that
includes visits from
the Spurs
(Wednesday), Celtics
(Friday) and Lakers
(Sunday). |
| 9 |
New Orleans (9) |
44-25 |
Pace: 86.4 (28),
Off: 110.9 (11),
Def: 107.8
(9)
The Hornets have won
three straight over
the dregs of the
West. Chris Paul has
been ridiculous over
the last 10 games,
averaging 27.5
points, 5.9
rebounds, 10.5
assists and 3.60
steals, while
shooting 55 percent
from the field and
69-for-71 from the
line. How exactly is
he getting
less MVP
consideration this
year? |
| 10 |
Portland (12) |
44-26 |
Pace: 85.7 (29),
Off: 114.3 (3), Def:
109.9 (18)
The banged-up
Blazers return to
Portland from a
solid 3-2 trip for a
four-game homestand.
In his second game
back, Greg Oden
racked up seven
points, eight trips
to the line, nine
rebounds and five
fouls in just 12:15
of action in
Cleveland on
Thursday. Whether
positive or
negative, that's
making an impact. |
| |
TEAM (LAST WEEK) |
REC. |
BREAKDOWN |
| 11 |
Denver (13) |
45-25 |
Pace: 92.9 (6),
Off: 110.9 (9), Def:
107.7 (8)
The Nuggets have won
five straight over
five pretty crummy
teams. J.R. Smith
dropped 40 on the
Wizards on Friday,
while the Birdman
was just a few
blocks short of a
triple-double. This
week, Denver's got
three big games on
the road: Phoenix,
New Orleans and
Dallas. |
| 12 |
Dallas (11) |
42-28 |
Pace: 90.4 (15),
Off: 111.1 (8), Def:
109.7 (16)
The Mavs are in the
middle of four full
days off after
Friday's win in
Indiana. And if Dirk
Nowitzki didn't pull
that one out with
his game-winning
jumper, it would be
a long four days.
The Suns are hanging
around, just three
games back in the
loss column. |
| 13 |
Miami (11) |
37-32 |
Pace: 89.0 (21),
Off: 109.2 (17),
Def: 109.3
(15)
The Heat avoided an
0-4 trip by the
thinnest of margins
in Detroit on
Sunday. Still,
they're now in a
battle with the
Sixers for that
fifth spot in the
East. Of course,
seeding means
nothing if Dwyane
Wade isn't healthy,
so keep an eye (and
some ice) on that
hip. |
| 14 |
Phoenix (15) |
38-31 |
Pace: 94.1 (4),
Off: 115.2 (1), Def:
112.8 (26)
With four straight
wins, the Suns are
still alive, but the
next six days could
seal their fate.
They host Denver and
Utah, and then face
Portland and Utah on
the road. They're
currently 7-15
against the eight
teams ahead of them
in the West
standings. |
| 15 |
Philadelphia (16) |
35-33 |
Pace: 89.6 (17),
Off: 108.4 (21),
Def: 107.8
(10)
Even though they
lost at Phoenix and
Golden State, the
Sixers would be
happy to come home
with a 3-2 trip and just a
game behind the Heat
in the loss column.
That would require a
win in Portland on
Monday and maybe
some more heroics
from Andre Iguodala. |
| 16 |
Detroit (14) |
34-35 |
Pace: 85.5 (30),
Off: 108.8 (18),
Def: 109.2
(14)
The Pistons are 2-12
on Sunday after this
week's frustrating
loss at the hands of
the Heat. Back under
.500 and with just a
2 1/2 game lead over
the Bulls for
seventh, Tuesday's
game in Chicago
becomes critical. Allen Iverson
is making some
progress with his
back and just might
return (to the
bench) sometime
soon. |
| 17 |
Chicago (18) |
32-38 |
Pace: 92.2 (9),
Off: 108.6 (19),
Def: 109.8
(17)
Saturday's game
against the Lakers,
where they were up
14 at the half and
couldn't finish, was
an opportunity for
the Bulls to pick up
their biggest win of
the season, put two
games between them
and the Bobcats and
even move to within
striking distance of
the seventh-place
Pistons. The last
playoff spot is
still theirs to lose. |
| 18 |
Charlotte (20) |
31-39 |
Pace: 87.0 (26),
Off: 106.2 (27),
Def: 107.5
(7)
If the Bobcats are
going to catch the
Bulls, they're going
to have to do it on
the road, with eight
of their final 12
games coming away
from Time Warner
Cable Arena. They've
won five of their
last seven road
games, but
Saturday's 25-point
loss at home to the
Pacers may have
killed whatever
momentum they had. |
| 19 |
New Jersey (22) |
30-40 |
Pace: 88.8 (22),
Off: 110.3 (13),
Def: 112.7
(25)
Friday's win over
the Heat may have
been one last sign
of life from the
Nets, but they
probably need a
miracle during this
stretch of three
games against the
Cavs and Lakers in order to
have a realistic
chance at the eighth
spot come April. They're playing without Devin Harris, too. |
| 20 |
Indiana (19) |
29-42 |
Pace: 94.9 (3),
Off: 108.5 (20),
Def: 110.5
(19)
They're still
mathematically
alive, but after
losing five
straight, the Pacers
were realistically
reduced to the roll
of spoiler. And by
winning in Charlotte
on Saturday, they
spoiled the Bobcats'
opportunity to tie
the Bulls for
eighth. |
| |
TEAM (LAST WEEK) |
REC. |
BREAKDOWN |
| 21 |
Golden State (25) |
25-45 |
Pace: 97.1 (1),
Off: 110.7 (12),
Def: 114.3
(28)
The Warriors are in the
middle of a five-game stretch
against teams with a
lot on the line.
They were able to
take down the Sixers
on Friday and showed
some fight in New
Orleans on Sunday.
Next up are visits
to San Antonio,
Dallas and Denver. |
| 22 |
Milwaukee (21) |
31-40 |
Pace: 91.2 (11),
Off: 107.9 (22),
Def: 109.0
(13)
The Bucks' fingertip
grip on eighth place
has been lost with a
2-4 homestand. Four
straight on the
road, where they've
lost nine of their
last 11, followed by
a visit from the
Lakers could finally
put them away. |
| 23 |
Oklahoma City (24) |
20-50 |
Pace: 92.2 (8),
Off: 104.9 (28),
Def: 110.6
(20)
Monday's upset of
the Spurs was the
biggest win in
Oklahoma City
Thunder history and
another display of
their much-improved
defense. Games
against the Lakers
and Celtics this
week provide two
more shock-the-world
opportunities. |
| 24 |
New York (17) |
28-41 |
Pace: 95.4 (2),
Off: 110.0 (14),
Def: 112.7
(24)
With four straight
losses (including
the Kings' first win
vs. the East ... by
27 ... in New York)
and four teams
between them and
eighth place, it
would be time for
the Knicks to book
their flight for
Secaucus for the May
19 Draft Lottery.
But they can just
drive. |
| 25 |
Toronto (25) |
25-45 |
Pace: 90.1 (16),
Off: 107.7 (23),
Def: 111.5
(21)
Not only did the
Raptors get an easy
win over the Cloppers on Sunday, but
Jose Calderon dunked
the ball. Toronto is
now undefeated with
a 24.0 point margin
of victory in games
that are broadcast
in Punjabi. |
| 26 |
L.A. Clippers (29) |
17-53 |
Pace: 91.0 (13),
Off: 103.7 (30),
Def: 113.0
(27)
You might be the
worst team in the
NBA if: You lose to
the Toronto Raptors
by 24, get
outrebounded by 23
and shoot 39 percent
against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. |
| 27 |
Sacramento (30) |
15-55 |
Pace: 92.7 (7),
Off: 106.6 (25),
Def: 115.6
(30)
You might be the
worst team in the
NBA if: You crack
champagne on the
flight home from New
York on Friday after
getting your first
win over an Eastern
Conference team. |
| 28 |
Minnesota (27) |
20-50 |
Pace: 90.8 (14),
Off: 107.6 (24),
Def: 112.7
(23)
You might be the
worst team in the
NBA if: You lose to
the Thunder at home,
are 4-23 since Jan.
28 and Ryan Gomes is
your leading scorer
for the month of
March. |
| 29 |
Memphis (28) |
17-52 |
Pace: 88.7 (23),
Off: 104.4 (29),
Def: 111.6
(22)
You might be the
worst team in the
NBA if: Big Baby's
dunk on Darko
Milicic on
Saturday is more
memorable than
anything else that
has happened in
Memphis this season. |
| 30 |
Washington (26) |
16-55 |
Pace: 89.4 (18),
Off: 106.4 (26),
Def: 115.4
(29)
You ARE the worst
team in the NBA if:
You lose by 15 to
the Clippers and are
about to make NBA
history as the first
team to go winless
in your own
division. |